据 CME“美联储观察”：美联储 10 月维持利率不变的概率为 12.3%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 87.7%。美联储 12 月维持利率不变概率为 3.1%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 31.5%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 65.4%。

据市场消息，Galaxy Digital 首席执行官诺沃格拉茨（Novogratz）表示，美联储的鸽派政策将推动比特币价格升至 20 万美元，并助力黄金价格再创新高。

据官方公告，币安合约将于 2025 年 09 月 30 日 14：00（北京时间）调整多个 U 本位永续合约的杠杆和保证金层级，涉及 PUMPBTCUSDT、QUICKUSDT 等多个合约。 （本条快讯由AI辅助生成）

According to Cointelegraph, XRP has maintained its position above a crucial level in September, sparking optimism for a potential recovery in October. The cryptocurrency opened the month trading around $2.77, following a 14% decline over the previous two weeks. Analysts emphasize the importance of holding above the $2.75 mark, which aligns with the lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart. Maintaining this level could pave the way for a breakout above the descending trendline at $2.86, potentially leading to a bullish target of $3.62. The Glassnode distribution heatmap highlights significant demand between $2.75, where approximately 1.58 billion XRP were acquired, underscoring the importance of this price level. However, a supply wall around $2.81, reinforced by the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), may hinder short-term recovery efforts. A drop below $2.75 could trigger a sell-off towards $2.00, the bearish target of the symmetrical triangle. Analyst Hardy noted in a recent post that XRP remains in a bullish consolidation, with upside potential as long as the price stays above the $2.72-$2.75 range. Fellow analyst XForceGlobal added that prolonged consolidation around $2.75 could strengthen the breakout, with targets of $20-30 still in play. Historically, October has been challenging for XRP, with the cryptocurrency closing in the red for seven of the past twelve years, averaging returns of -4.58%. However, November typically marks a turnaround, making the October-December period the most favorable quarter for XRP rallies, with average gains of 51%, according to Cryptorank data. Notably, XRP experienced a 240% rally in Q4/2024 and a 20% increase in Q4/2023. The most significant surge occurred in 2017, with gains of 1,064% between October 1 and December 1. Despite occasional bear cycles, the last quarter consistently delivers substantial price movements, suggesting a potential reversal in Q4/2025, possibly starting mid-October. The upcoming focus on XRP ETFs could further boost the cryptocurrency's rally, with several SEC deadlines approaching in mid-October. Franklin Templeton's XRP ETF decision has been postponed to November 14, while REX/Osprey's XRPR launched on September 18, recording nearly $38 million in first-day volume. Grayscale's decision is anticipated on October 18, with other key deadlines falling between October 19 and October 25. Analysts predict streamlined SEC standards and post-Ripple lawsuit clarity could lead to a 100% approval rate by December 31, potentially unlocking $4–$8 billion in first-year inflows. However, market participants caution that this event may already be partially priced in, posing a risk of approvals turning into a "sell the news" scenario. Readers are reminded that this article does not offer investment advice, and all trading decisions should be made based on individual research and risk assessment.

尽管以太坊的长期前景被普遍看好，但其短期价格仍可能受市场情绪、监管政策等因素的显著影响，投资者应保持理性，避免过度杠杆。

Tether 首席执行官 Paolo Ardoino 在 X 平台发文表示，模仿是最好的奉承，USDT 的技术和策略正被用作其他美元稳定币的模板。

XRP price must hold above $2. 75 to ignite a recovery in October, which could be triggered by spot ETF approval and the potential influx of institutional capital. source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/will-xrp-price-rally-restart-in-october?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

An elderly customer of Wells Fargo has reportedly been defrauded out of $20,000 after bad actors posing as employees of the banking giant scammed them. According to a new report by CBS News Miami, a 22-year-old Omari Burke, from Pompano Beach, Florida was arrested for allegedly draining the savings account of an elderly victim. source: https://dailyhodl.com/2025/09/28/wells-fargo-customer-loses-20000-to-scammer-posing-as-bank-employee-report/

CZ clarifies involvement of former Binance staff in Aster DEX; YZi Labs holds minor stake. source: https://coincu.com/365131-cz-affirms-aster-dex-involvement

Speaking on The Master Investor Podcast with Wilfred Frost, the head of the $35 billion investment firm emphasized Bitcoin’s unique […] The post Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood Says Bitcoin Will Always Lead the Crypto Market appeared first on Coindoo. source: https://coindoo.com/ark-invests-cathie-wood-says-bitcoin-will-always-lead-the-crypto-market/

The UN has released a white paper praising the effects of blockchain technology in its pension fund system. source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/un-blockchain-aligns-with-digital-agenda/

金色财经推出《金色Web3.0日报》，为您提供最新、最快的MEME、DeFi、DAO、NFT和元宇宙行业新闻。

稳定币背后的“印钞机逻辑”，Tether 凭什么值 5000 亿美元？

DAT 现象有望超越叙事与算术之间这股古老的对立。

今日晚间推荐阅读：1. Plasma的未来前景如何？；2.Tether的全球雄心；3.Coinbase：近期加密市场为何回落；

这笔150-200亿美元的融资可能更多地是为了影响力，而不是为了现金。它表明了Tether的意图：不仅成为稳定币发行商，更要成为众多领域拥有全球影响力的机构。

围绕“将实体宝可梦卡牌铸造成可赎回 NFT 并在链上交易”的模式升温。

Falcon,项目,Falcon 能复制 ENA 的成功吗？ 金色财经,收息人和赌徒，共同构成了流动性土壤。

Plasma 创下了投资者可以用0.1美元攫取8390美元的空投神话，Plasma 的未来前景如何？

加密货币市场本质上就是泡沫，人工智能的炒作周期则属于更常见的泡沫类型。