Bitcoin (BTC) has closed a weekly candle below its 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) for the first time since October 2023, marking the end of a technical uptrend that persisted for 882 days. According to Cointelegraph, this shift in trend has renewed attention on Bitcoin's onchain cost-basis levels and its historical interactions with this key moving average across previous cycles, suggesting a broader recovery timeline based on past market behavior. The 200-week EMA is a critical indicator of Bitcoin's long-term trend, historically distinguishing expansion phases from deeper corrective periods. On the weekly chart, BTC closed below the average near $67,628, ending a support streak that began in late 2023. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital highlighted this development, noting that the EMA has been lost as support and could potentially turn into resistance during any forthcoming recovery. Previous cycles indicate that reclaiming the 200-weekly EMA has required time. For instance, in 2018, Bitcoin traded below this level for approximately 14 weeks before regaining it. During the Covid-led March 2020 liquidity shock, the recovery took about eight weeks, while in 2022, BTC remained under the average for nearly 30 weeks. Across these instances, the average duration below the 200-weekly EMA was around 17 to 18 weeks. Momentum indicators also reflect a cooling of longer-term investor participation. Last week, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. observed that entity-adjusted liveliness peaked in December 2025 after BTC reached an all-time high near $126,000 in October. Liveliness measures the ratio of coin days destroyed to coin days created, adjusted for internal transfers. The metric has since declined below its 30-day and 90-day moving averages, while the 90-day remains above the 365-day at 0.02622. Similar rollovers in 2020 and 2022 preceded extended accumulation phases lasting one to two years. A sustained decline in the liveliness metric typically signals reduced spending activity and slower capital rotation, conditions that may prolong the time required for BTC to rebuild a position and reclaim the 200-weekly EMA. Bitcoin's realized price, near $55,000, reflects the average onchain cost basis of all coins. The shifted realized price, near $42,000, projects this metric forward and historically highlights deeper value areas during drawdowns. With BTC trading between the 200-weekly EMA and the realized price band cluster, this region has historically acted as a long-term accumulation zone since 2015. Prior cycles show consolidation periods of six to eight months around these levels before broader upside continuation. A reclaim of the 200-weekly EMA would restore the price above a key long-term trend threshold, while failure to do so maintains focus on the $55,000 realized price and the lower shifted band near $42,000 as potential areas of liquidity concentration.

The People's Bank of China has opted to maintain its key lending rates, keeping the one-year Loan Prime Rate at 3% and the five-year rate at 3.5%. According to NS3.AI, this decision reflects a cautious stance in response to prevailing economic conditions. While this move may affect borrowing costs and liquidity within China, it does not have an immediate impact on global cryptocurrency markets.

Omers reported a 6% return last year, driven by strong performances in stock holdings and private credit investments. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting that these gains were sufficient to counterbalance losses in private equity and the impact of a weak dollar. The pension fund's diversified investment strategy helped navigate the challenges posed by currency fluctuations and equity market volatility. Despite setbacks in private equity, Omers' overall portfolio benefited from strategic allocations in stocks and private credit, contributing to its positive annual performance.

According to data from Polymarket, the "Premier League title race" has generated over $260 million in trades. Currently, Arsenal has a 63% chance of winning, Manchester City has a 37% chance, and all other teams have less than a 1% chance.

Peru's economy has demonstrated robust growth, achieving an expansion rate of over 3% for the second consecutive year in 2025. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the country's sustained economic performance amid global uncertainties. This growth reflects Peru's resilience and effective economic strategies, contributing to its stability and development. The consistent growth rate underscores the nation's ability to navigate challenges and maintain a positive trajectory in its economic activities.

Jamie Dimon has expressed concerns about the intense competition within the financial industry, noting similarities to the period leading up to the 2008 financial crisis. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting Dimon's observations on the current market dynamics. He pointed out that the aggressive push to issue loans during that era ultimately led to significant financial turmoil. Dimon's remarks underscore the need for caution as the industry navigates competitive pressures reminiscent of past challenges.

ProShares' recent launch of its money market exchange-traded fund (ETF) has set a new record, reflecting the significant demand for cash-management products as the asset class undergoes tokenization. According to Cointelegraph, this shift is seen as a way for funds to stay competitive amid the rising adoption of U.S. stablecoins. Money market funds typically invest in short-term, high-quality debt instruments like U.S. Treasury bills, repurchase agreements, and commercial paper. These funds aim to preserve capital while providing modest yields and daily liquidity, making them a favored choice for investors seeking cash-management solutions. The debut of the ProShares Genius Money Market ETF (IQMM) is particularly noteworthy in this context. The actively managed fund, which primarily holds short-duration government securities, achieved an unprecedented $17 billion in first-day trading volume, setting a new benchmark for newly launched ETFs. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that IQMM's debut far surpassed other high-profile launches, such as BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust and a BlackRock ESG-focused ETF. Despite revelations that much of IQMM's activity was due to internal allocations, with ProShares reallocating cash from its existing funds into IQMM for treasury management, the launch underscores the strategic importance of money market vehicles. Even if the flows were not entirely organic, the move highlights the role of money market funds in modern portfolio construction. The surge in interest also coincides with the growing traction of tokenized money market funds on blockchain platforms, where they are increasingly seen as yield-bearing alternatives to traditional stablecoins. As dollar-pegged stablecoins continue to expand in payments and decentralized finance, tokenized money market funds are being marketed as compliant, interest-generating complements within the same ecosystem. The ProShares fund's "GENIUS" branding is due to its compliance with the GENIUS Act, legislation that established a federal regulatory framework for payment stablecoins. This law sets reserve, transparency, and supervisory standards for issuers, reinforcing the role of high-quality liquid assets in backing digital dollars. Market strategists have positioned tokenized money funds as Wall Street's competitive response. As reported by Cointelegraph last July, JPMorgan strategist Theresa Ho suggested that tokenized money market funds could serve as an institutional alternative to stablecoins, particularly in collateral markets. Ho noted that instead of posting cash or Treasurys, institutions could post money-market shares without losing interest, highlighting the versatility of money funds. The Bank for International Settlements also emphasized the growing role of tokenized money market funds in a November bulletin, describing them as a rapidly expanding collateral and savings instrument.

1. Ondo Finance multisignature wallet transferred 24.475 million ONDO tokens to Coinbase; 2. Vitalik Buterin has sold 21,700 ETH since February 2nd, worth $21.74 million; 3. In Polymarket's "Who will ZachXBT target?" prediction event, Meteora ranked first with a 44% probability; 4. Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced net outflows for five consecutive weeks, marking the longest outflow record since early 2025; 5. Backpack plans to offer company equity to token stakers; 6. Terraform Labs liquidators sued Jane Street for insider trading and are seeking damages; 7. IoTeX offered a 10% bounty to cross-chain bridge hackers, demanding the return of $4.4 million in assets within 48 hours; 8. Trump's "Peace Commission" is considering issuing a Gaza stablecoin for the digital payment system; 9. A former Chainlink executive joined the SEC as the chief legal counsel for the Crypto Task Force; 10. Trump signals de-escalation of tensions between the US and Iran: he prefers an agreement to war.

Uber has announced its acquisition of the parking reservation app SpotHero, marking a strategic move to broaden its customer base. Bloomberg posted on X that this acquisition is part of Uber's ongoing efforts to diversify its services and enhance user experience. By integrating SpotHero, Uber aims to offer a more comprehensive range of transportation solutions, catering to the evolving needs of its users. This move reflects Uber's commitment to expanding its market presence and providing added convenience to its customers.

Soybean prices experienced a turnaround on Monday, moving higher as traders assessed the potential effects of changes to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies on American crop exports. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the market's reaction to the evolving trade landscape. The shift in soybean prices reflects the uncertainty surrounding how the revised tariffs might influence the agricultural sector, particularly in terms of international trade and export dynamics. As traders continue to analyze the situation, the market remains attentive to further developments in the tariff regime and its implications for U.S. crop shipments.

The market has indeed entered a deep bear market. Although Wu Jihan is an individual, his liquidation is representative, and to some extent represents the sentiments and actions of some early Bitcoin OGs.

人工智能,研究报告,非农就业,AI Agent,2028年全球AI危机 金色财经,一场来自未来的金融史思想实验。

Artificial intelligence, payments, Google, Stripe, Circle, AI payment battle: Google and 60 allies, Stripe built its own road. Golden Finance, two futures, two logics, two camps.

As the Lunar New Year holiday draws to a close, the cryptocurrency market has failed to see the much-anticipated rebound, instead remaining sluggish. Jinse Finance has compiled ten key cryptocurrency news stories from the Spring Festival period to give you a glimpse into this unforgettable holiday.

BitGo Bank & Trust is serving as the issuer and custodian for FYUSD, a new dollar-backed stablecoin launched by New Frontier Labs for institutional investors in Asia. The token is fully GENIUS Act-compliant, backed by cash or U.S. government debt, and includes programmable features that enable AI-driven transactions.

Over 5,500 cryptocurrency miners have registered with Russia’s tax authority since mining was legalised in November 2024, including 1,500 companies and 4,000 individuals. Despite this, officials estimate that around two-thirds of miners still operate without registration, while new rules require reporting, tax payments, and regional restrictions to control the sector.

OpenClaw founder Peter Steinberger has banned all crypto mentions on Discord after a user was removed for mentioning Bitcoin in a technical discussion. The rule followed a scam in which hijacked accounts promoted a fake $CLAWD token that briefly reached about $16 million before collapsing.

Bear markets create tremendous opportunities for investors who stay focused. The DeFi space is currently witnessing such an opportunity.

Large-scale sell-offs by major investors or mining companies are often seen by retail investors as a signal that the market has peaked or collapsed. But looking beyond the emotions, this is not a simple “miner surrender” but a textbook example of corporate capital operation and strategic transformation.

An AI crypto trading bot called Lobstar Wilde accidentally sent all its meme coin holdings, worth around $250,000, to a stranger on X after misreading a request for a small amount of Solana. The recipient sold the tokens quickly for about $40,000, though the sudden attention later pushed their value above $420,000.