Key TakeawaysBitcoin reclaimed $113,000 Thursday despite renewed selling from an “OG” whale who sent 250 BTC ($28M) to Binance.Daily gains of 1.6% triggered $40M in short liquidations, but traders say BTC must clear $117,500 to avoid a bearish “double top.”Accumulation by retail and institutions is at its highest since April, suggesting potential for further upside.Bitcoin Holds Firm at $113K as Whales SellBitcoin’s price rebounded to $113,365 on Thursday, overcoming fresh selling pressure from a long-dormant whale entity, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.The uptick came as traders liquidated around $40 million in crypto shorts over a four-hour span, per CoinGlass. Despite whale activity, demand from Asian markets helped keep Bitcoin in positive territory.Blockchain tracker Lookonchain flagged the latest whale sale, with 250 BTC transferred to Binance following a 750 BTC sell-off the day prior. The whale, identified as address “bc1qlf,” still holds about 3,000 BTC ($339M).Analysts Split on Whale Distribution and Market Top RisksVeteran trader Peter Brandt noted that the selling reflected “classic market tops,” warning that supply-driven distribution often signals local price ceilings.“It represented SUPPLY. Tops in markets are created by SUPPLY or DISTRIBUTION,” Brandt wrote on X.However, analysts at Bitwise pointed to growing accumulation instead. Andre Dragosch, head of research at the firm, said both retail and institutional buying are now at their highest since April, during Bitcoin’s recovery from sub-$75K lows. “Such high levels of accumulation tend to precede major breakouts,” Dragosch said, citing Bitwise data.Technical Watch: $117,500 Key to Confirm BreakoutWhile Bitcoin’s recovery has eased concerns of further downside, analysts caution that the market remains at a crossroads.Brandt said BTC/USD must reclaim $117,500 to avoid forming a double top pattern, which would invalidate seven weeks of bullish structure.Meanwhile, the Coinbase Premium Index turned red on Wednesday, according to CryptoQuant, suggesting weakening U.S. demand compared to Asia-led buying earlier in the week.Bitcoin’s ability to shrug off whale selling is a bullish sign, but traders warn that the next leg higher depends on breaking resistance near $117,500. Until then, risks of a technical reversal remain, even as long-term accumulation strengthens the bullish case.

Key TakeawaysPresident Nayib Bukele highlighted prediction markets betting on El Salvador’s Bitcoin holdings reaching $1B by late 2025.Kalshi odds surged from 20% to 38% for a November milestone before retracing to 27%.Rival Polymarket launched a similar bet, showing 43% odds for December 2025.El Salvador currently holds over $700M in BTC, making the $1B mark plausible if prices climb further.Bukele Draws Attention to Bitcoin Betting MarketsEl Salvador President Nayib Bukele reignited global attention on his nation’s Bitcoin experiment by pointing to growing activity on prediction platforms that wager on the country’s BTC holdings surpassing $1 billion by 2025. On Wednesday, Bukele posted on X about Kalshi’s prediction market, where traders bet on whether El Salvador’s Bitcoin stash would exceed $1 billion by late 2025.“I could do the funniest thing right now,” Bukele quipped, as Kalshi odds for hitting $1B before November jumped from 20% to 38%.Kalshi and Polymarket Compete on $1B BetKalshi has been tracking the odds since mid-August, with markets split between “before November 2025” and “before December 2025.”Before November 2025: surged to 38% before easing back to 27%.Before December 2025: climbed to around 35%.Shortly after Bukele’s post, rival prediction platform Polymarket introduced a nearly identical market. The odds there stood at 43% for December 2025, higher than Kalshi’s comparable bet.“New Polymarket: Will El Salvador hold $1 billion of Bitcoin by…?” the platform posted on X, directly responding to Bukele’s tweet.El Salvador’s Bitcoin Holdings Near MilestoneEl Salvador, the world’s first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, currently holds more than $700 million in BTC (depending on market prices).At current prices near $112,000, El Salvador’s holdings are steadily appreciating, making the $1B milestone feasible within months if Bitcoin rallies further.The renewed prediction market activity highlights growing global interest in El Salvador’s Bitcoin experiment, often viewed as a bellwether for sovereign crypto adoption.Outlook: All Eyes on $1B MarkWith both Kalshi and Polymarket fueling speculation, El Salvador’s Bitcoin bet continues to attract worldwide attention.If Bitcoin maintains its uptrend, Bukele could oversee one of the most profitable sovereign investments in history, with prediction markets suggesting the $1B threshold could arrive before year-end 2025.

Key TakeawaysOver 1 million ETH ($4.96B) is awaiting withdrawal, the largest validator exodus in Ethereum’s history.Validator exit queue wait time has stretched to 18 days 16 hours.Analysts argue exits may be profit-taking after ETH’s 72% rally in three months, but institutional demand offsets risks.Standard Chartered projects $7,500 ETH by year-end, with Polymarket odds showing a 26% chance of $5,000 this month.Ethereum Exit Queue Surpasses 1 Million ETHEthereum’s proof-of-stake (PoS) network is witnessing an unprecedented validator exodus, with over 1 million ETH — worth nearly $5 billion — awaiting withdrawal as of Thursday, according to validatorqueue.com.The spike has extended the validator exit waiting time to a record 18 days and 16 hours, marking the largest withdrawal queue since Ethereum transitioned to PoS. Validators are key to Ethereum’s operation, securing the network and verifying transactions.While not all withdrawals translate into immediate selling, the timing comes after ETH’s 72% surge in the past three months, raising concerns that a portion of these holdings could be liquidated to lock in profits.Analysts: “Healthy Dynamics, Not Panic”Despite the record exit queue, market analysts suggest the outflows are not inherently bearish.“The exit queue hitting 1 million ETH reflects healthy market dynamics rather than a cause for concern,” said Marcin Kazmierczak, co-founder of blockchain oracle firm RedStone, in comments to Cointelegraph.Kazmierczak emphasized that validator withdrawals are outpaced by institutional inflows, pointing to demand from corporate treasuries and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs).Ethereum Remains a “Liquidity Magnet”Institutional participation continues to underpin Ethereum’s price strength, with ETH futures open interest climbing to $33 billion, according to Iliya Kalchev of Nexo.“Standard Chartered reiterated that ETH remains undervalued even at these levels, projecting a $7,500 year-end target,” Kalchev said. He added that prediction markets (Polymarket) now assign a 26% probability of ETH hitting $5,000 this month.Upcoming U.S. macroeconomic data — including jobless claims (Thursday) and the PCE inflation report (Friday) — may also influence ETH price direction in the short term.Entry vs Exit: Network Still StableWhile withdrawals dominate headlines, Ethereum’s staking inflows remain active:737,000 ETH are currently queued for staking, with an average wait of 12 days 19 hours.The network maintains over 1 million active validators and 35.6M ETH staked, representing 29.4% of total supply.This balance suggests that while profit-taking is occurring, Ethereum’s validator base remains strong.Outlook: $5,000 Test Ahead?Analysts agree that the $5,000 mark is the next key level. If achieved, it could trigger further institutional momentum and reinforce Ethereum’s role as the leading altcoin.Despite the short-term selling pressure risk, Ethereum’s long-term trajectory remains bullish, with both corporate adoption and ETF inflows expected to absorb validator exits.

Key TakeawaysAnalysts say XRP remains in a macro bullish trend, with long-term cycle targets between $19–$30.A symmetrical triangle on the daily chart points to a short-term breakout toward $4.Current “distribution” is seen as consolidation before a potential Wave 3 rally.XRP Consolidates, But Macro Target Stays at $20XRP’s recent pullback has not changed its long-term bullish outlook, according to crypto analyst XForceGlobal. Despite falling 22% from a multi-year high of $3.66 on July 18 to a local low near $2.72, XRP has since recovered to around $3.The analyst argues that XRP remains on track for a cycle top above $20, projecting two scenarios that both support higher price levels.Distribution before breakout – The current pullback mirrors past cycles where XRP built new bases before rallying higher.Wave structure formation – Distribution may extend between Waves 1 and 2 before a larger Wave 3 breakout.“We are very close to a much larger upward move. There are just no signals supporting a larger sell-off to the downside,” XForceGlobal said.Both scenarios highlight long-term targets between $19 and $30, reinforcing confidence that XRP’s bull cycle is far from over.Symmetrical Triangle Signals $4 Short-Term TargetXRP is currently trading inside a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart, a setup often associated with continuation rallies.A daily close above $3 would confirm a bullish breakout.The next resistance is at the eight-year high of $3.66.A successful breakout projects a measured move to $4 (+34% from current levels).Veteran trader Matthew Dixon also supported the triangle thesis, calling it part of a “distribution phase” that precedes a larger Wave 5 rally.Outlook: $4 in the Short Term, $20 in the CycleWhile short-term resistance remains near $3–$4, analysts agree that XRP’s broader structure points to significantly higher valuations.If XRP can clear the $3.66 multi-year high, technical targets of $4–$6 open up in the near term, with a macro cycle top above $20 still intact.With institutional interest in altcoins rising and technical setups aligning, XRP may be gearing up for one of its strongest upside moves yet, according to Cointelegraph.

According to the announcement, Soneium Score assigns points to users based on their blockchain activity, such as staking, token swaps, […] The post Sony Pushes Deeper Into Web3 With New On-Chain Reputation System appeared first on Coindoo. source: https://coindoo.com/sony-pushes-deeper-into-web3-with-new-on-chain-reputation-system/

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has dropped to a value of 20, hinting that a potential bearish transition could have occurred for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Now In “Extra Bearish” Territory In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has shared how the analytics firm’s “Bull Score Index” has changed for Bitcoin after its recent price drawdown. The Bull Score Index is an indicator that tells us about the market phase the cryptocurrency is currently going through. It determines this by referring to a bunch of key on-chain metrics source: https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-rally-cryptoquants-bull-score-turns-bearish/

Key TakeawaysBitcoin’s megaphone pattern signals price targets between $144,000 and $260,000 this cycle.Short-term holders (STHs) show signs of capitulation, pushing BTC into oversold territory.A breakout above $125,000 resistance could trigger a parabolic rally.Bitcoin Megaphone Pattern Points Toward $260KBitcoin (BTC) is flashing a series of bullish megaphone patterns across multiple time frames, suggesting the next breakout could send BTC price toward $260,000, analysts say.The megaphone pattern, or broadening wedge, occurs when price forms progressively higher highs and lower lows. A confirmed breakout above the upper boundary typically signals a parabolic expansion phase.On the daily chart, BTC rebounded from the lower trendline at $108,000, validating the formation. A break above $124,900 (new ATH) would confirm the setup, with a measured move toward $144,200 (+27%).A 280-day megaphone pattern shows resistance near $125,000, with a breakout target of $206,800 (+82%).On the weekly chart, crypto influencer Faisal Baig highlighted an even larger megaphone targeting $260,000: “The next leg up is inevitable.”Short-Term Holders Signal Panic, Market OversoldBitcoin’s recent 12% correction from $124,500 to $108,000 shook out leveraged longs and pressured short-term holders (STHs), defined as wallets holding BTC for less than 155 days.The correction pushed Bitcoin’s STH MVRV ratio to the lower band of its Bollinger Bands, a classic oversold signal.Analyst Frank Fetter noted that BTC “tapped the oversold zone on the short-term holder MVRV BB” — the same condition seen in April before BTC rallied 51%.This suggests that $108,000 may have been a local bottom, with accumulation trends echoing those after April’s dip below $75,000.Why $125K is the Key Level to WatchFor the bullish megaphone to fully play out, Bitcoin must decisively break $125,000 resistance.Above $125K: Technical targets extend to $144K, $206K, and potentially $260K.Below $125K: Consolidation or a retest of $108K support remains possible.With institutional accumulation at peak levels and on-chain metrics showing panic exhaustion among STHs, analysts argue Bitcoin is preparing for its next expansion leg.Bitcoin’s oversold conditions, combined with megaphone breakout structures, suggest the leading cryptocurrency could be entering a new parabolic growth phase.If BTC clears $125,000, technical models project price targets ranging from $144K to $260K this cycle — levels that would mark Bitcoin’s most aggressive expansion to date.

Key TakeawaysSolana’s SOL/BTC pair is flashing a golden cross, a pattern that historically preceded 1,000%+ rallies.SOL/USD technicals point to a breakout toward $295–$300 resistance by October.Nearly $3 billion in new Solana treasury demand strengthens institutional backing.Golden Cross Signals Solana Breakout PotentialSolana (SOL) is showing a rare golden cross pattern against Bitcoin (BTC), where the 50-day simple moving average is set to move above the 200-day SMA. Historically, this has been a powerful signal for explosive upside.In 2021, SOL/BTC’s golden cross triggered a 1,900% rally, pushing SOL/USD from $13 to $260.In 2023, the same setup preceded a 1,000% rebound, lifting SOL from $20 to above $250.Analyst Ran Neuner highlighted the similarity, noting the chart is “screaming for a major move in SOL.”Altseason Tailwinds Boost SolanaGolden cross rallies have coincided with altseasons, when capital rotates from Bitcoin into high-beta altcoins.In 2021, Solana’s rally rode the DeFi boom.In 2023, the move followed post-FTX liquidity flows into altcoins.In 2025, Ether’s recent outperformance vs. Bitcoin suggests altseason momentum is returning.With Bitcoin halving liquidity patterns also pointing to capital rotation one year post-halving, market conditions appear supportive for another Solana surge.Solana Technicals: $300 in SightSOL/USD is trading within a megaphone pattern (broadening wedge), with resistance aligned at $295–$300 by October.50-week & 200-week EMAs: SOL is trading comfortably above both, reinforcing the bullish setup.Weekly RSI (61): Suggests continued upside momentum.Fibonacci retracement: Highlights $295 as a critical breakout zone.A breakout above $300 could open the door to higher price discovery, extending Solana’s multi-year bullish cycle.$3B in Solana Treasury DemandInstitutional interest is further bolstering the bullish case:Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, Multicoin Capital: Raising over $1B for a Solana treasury fund.Sharps Technology: Committed $400M to Solana reserves.Pantera Capital: Preparing a $1.25B Solana vehicle.Together, nearly $3 billion in new Solana treasury demand could tighten supply and accelerate the path toward $300.With a golden cross forming on SOL/BTC, historical precedents of 1,000%+ rallies, and nearly $3 billion in institutional demand, Solana’s price structure points toward a potential breakout to $300 in the coming weeks.Analysts caution short-term volatility, but the combination of technical signals and treasury inflows may give Solana one of the strongest bullish outlooks of the altcoin market, according to Cointelegraph.

Blockchain tracing firm Chainalysis has announced its role in a joint investigation that led to the freezing of almost $50 million tied to a pig butchering scam. The company disclosed this on X, noting that it worked with Binance, Tether, and OKX on the investigation. Blog posts from Chainalysis and the other firms involved in […] source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/binance-tether-okx-and-chainalysis-helps-freeze-50-million-in-crypto-tied-to-pig-butchering-scam/

Key TakeawaysBitwise projects Bitcoin (BTC) to hit $1.3 million by 2035, implying a 28.3% annualized return.Institutional adoption now dominates Bitcoin demand, with corporate holdings up 35% QoQ.Supply scarcity, hodling behavior, and rising U.S. debt create a “perfect storm” for long-term growth.Crypto asset manager Bitwise has released a bold forecast for Bitcoin (BTC $112,451), projecting prices could climb to $1.3 million by 2035 as institutional adoption accelerates and supply tightens.The prediction is outlined in Bitwise’s Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions report, which models a 28.3% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for Bitcoin over the next decade — far outpacing equities (6.2%), bonds (4.0%), and gold (3.8%).Bullish, Bearish, and Base Case ScenariosWhile the base case sets a $1.3M target, Bitwise provides multiple scenarios:Bullish Case: Bitcoin reaches $2.97M (39.4% CAGR).Bearish Case: BTC trades at $88,005 (2% CAGR).The wide range reflects Bitcoin’s inherent volatility despite stronger institutional flows.Institutions Drive Bitcoin DemandChief Investment Officer Matt Hougan and analysts Ryan Rasmussen, Josh Carlisle, Mallika Kolar, Andre Dragosch, and Juan Leon highlighted that Bitcoin is no longer a retail-driven asset.Over 75% of Coinbase’s BTC trading volume now comes from institutional investors, a level historically tied to major price moves. Demand has at times exceeded six times daily mining production, intensifying supply pressures.Corporate adoption is also accelerating:35 publicly traded firms now hold at least 1,000 BTC each (up from 24 in Q1 2025).Corporate Bitcoin purchases grew 35% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2025.MicroStrategy continues to lead, with 632,457 BTC ($71B) and over $25B in unrealized profits.Bitcoin Scarcity Meets Macroeconomic PressuresBitwise stresses that inelastic supply is Bitcoin’s defining feature. With 94.8% of supply already mined and annual issuance dropping to just 0.2% by 2032, new production cannot meet institutional demand.Around 70% of Bitcoin supply has remained unmoved for over a year, reflecting strong long-term holder conviction.Meanwhile, macroeconomic conditions add fuel to Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge. U.S. federal debt has risen $13 trillion in five years to $36.2T, with interest payments now $952B annually, the fourth-largest federal budget item. With interest rates outpacing GDP growth, fiat debasement fears remain elevated.A “Perfect Storm” for Bitcoin’s Next DecadeWith miners producing only 450 BTC daily against institutional withdrawals of 2,500 BTC over 48 hours, Bitwise describes the setup as a perfect storm for price discovery.“The inelastic supply of Bitcoin, combined with continued demand growth, is the single most important driver of our long-term assumptions,” Bitwise wrote.If projections hold, Bitcoin could cement its role as a superior store of value relative to traditional assets, reshaping institutional portfolios worldwide, according to Cointelegraph.

「DATは暗号資産にとってより適切な資金調達手段かもしれない。かつての株式市場でETFがインデックス投資やバスケットストック投資戦略に適していたように、DATは今後3～5年で見られる新しいトレンドなのかもしれない。"

ゴールデンファイナンスがお届けするゴールデンウェブ3.0デイリーでは、MEME、DeFi、DAO、NFT、メタバース業界の最新・最速ニュースをお届けします。

BTCFiの盛衰を振り返ると、暗号エコシステムにおけるBTCの位置づけを見直す必要があるかもしれない。

Caiku、「暗号Caiku」ブームは虚偽を隠す：インサイダー取引疑惑で複数のCaiku企業 ゴールデンファイナンス、暗号Caikuブームにおける情報漏洩とインサイダー取引

フロックはウォール街のDAT（デジタル・アセット・トレジャリー）物語陣営にも加わっている。

この1年で最も不思議な暗号ストーリーは、ワールド・リバティ・フィナンシャル（WLFI）に他ならない。

「浪人がイーサリアムに帰ってくる」。

安定したコインは、通貨の長い進化における次のステップである。従来の不換紙幣のように、主権者の信用に依存している。

中国・上海で開催されたペットフェア・アジアで、毛のない犬の背中に大きな精巧なタトゥーを入れた犬を展示した上海の男性が、広く怒りを買っている。

米ドル、ステーブルコイン、米ステーブルコイン法は米ドル覇権への「劇薬」か？ ゴールドファイナンス, ステーブルコイン規制1年目, 米国法制化の衝撃波。