Pennsylvania lawmakers are seeking to pass House Bill 1812, which will prohibit public officials and their immediate families from owning or engaging in transactions involving Bitcoin and other digital assets. Lawmakers seek to ban […] source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/pennsylvania-bill-ban-officials-owning-btc/

University of Chicago’s Prophet Arena pits AI models against live prediction markets. Early results suggest machines can match, and sometimes beat, the wisdom of crowds. source: https://decrypt.co/336298/ai-now-matches-prediction-markets-in-forecasting-real-events-study-finds

Key TakeawaysCleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said current data does not justify a September rate cut.Her remarks signal support for Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish stance ahead of Jackson Hole.Bitcoin fell nearly 10% in a week, slipping to a session low near $112,800.Rate cut odds for September dropped to 71%, down from near certainty just a week ago.Hammack Pushes Back Against September Rate CutCleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack said Wednesday that the current economic data “do not make the case” for cutting rates in September, reinforcing Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish position.“We have inflation that’s too high and has been trending upwards over the past year,” Hammack told Yahoo News in Wyoming. “If the meeting was tomorrow, I would not see a case for reducing interest rates.”She added that the impact of tariffs on inflation is only starting to be reflected in data and that the full effect will be seen in 2026.Hawkish Consensus Builds Ahead of Jackson HoleHammack’s comments come as Powell faces pressure from President Donald Trump and some former Fed officials to ease policy. Earlier this week, former St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard called for rates to be cut by 100 basis points.Despite these dovish calls, Hammack’s remarks show Powell retains broad support inside the Fed. Two dissident votes for cuts at the last FOMC meeting appear to be outweighed by hawkish consensus.Markets now expect Powell to reaffirm his wait-and-see stance during his keynote speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Friday.Bitcoin Drops as Rate Cut Odds RecedeCrypto markets reacted swiftly. Bitcoin (BTC) fell to $112,800, nearly 10% below last week’s record high above $124,000. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a September rate cut dropped from nearly 100% to 71% in just seven days.Other risk assets also weakened as traders recalibrated expectations. Hammack’s remarks add to the growing view that the Fed will hold rates higher for longer until inflation shows clearer signs of easing.With Hammack’s hawkish comments and Powell’s speech looming, markets are bracing for more volatility. For Bitcoin, which has closely tracked monetary policy expectations, the next move may depend on whether Powell leaves the door open—or firmly shuts it—on rate cuts in 2025.

Key TakeawaysBitcoin’s long-term sentiment gauge flipped bearish for the first time since June 2023.DOGE, XRP, and SOL weakened, while Ether (ETH) showed resilience.Analysts cite Donald Trump’s backing of crypto in 401(k) plans as structural long-term support.Futures and options data show rising institutional preference for ETH over BTC.Bitcoin Sentiment Turns Bearish for First Time in Over a YearBitcoin’s late Wednesday rebound to $144,700 proved short-lived as a key measure of long-term sentiment flipped bearish for the first time since mid-2023. The shift comes amid growing caution in crypto markets, with DOGE, XRP, and SOL sliding alongside BTC. Ether, however, held up relatively stronger.Despite the sentiment downturn, broader market gauges remained in positive territory. The CoinDesk 20 Index rose 0.7% over 24 hours, while the CoinDesk 80 gained 0.4%.Analysts Remain Optimistic on BTC’s Structural OutlookSome analysts argued that long-term fundamentals remain intact. Donald Trump’s approval of crypto assets being included in 401(k) retirement plans is viewed as a step toward embedding digital assets deeper into U.S. capital markets.“This will shift flows from speculative to strategic, pension-style allocation,” said Jag Kooner, head of derivatives at Bitfinex. “It strengthens crypto’s structural outlook, though the effect will take time to play out.”Derivatives Show Diverging BTC and ETH TrendsIn derivatives markets, BTC and ETH futures open interest stalled above 700K BTC and 14.2M ETH, reflecting directionless trading ahead of the Jackson Hole central banking conference.CME: BTC futures’ three-month premium eased to 7%, while ETH open interest neared 2M ETH, signaling institutional preference for Ether.Deribit: BTC’s 180-day options skew fell to -0.42, its strongest demand for downside protection since June 2023. By contrast, ETH options maintained a bias toward calls.Paradigm OTC flows: Showed demand for BTC puts financed by selling calls, alongside mixed ETH activity.Meanwhile, Chainlink (LINK) futures open interest stayed near record highs as LINK climbed to $27, its strongest level since January.Volatility Steady Ahead of Fed’s Jackson HoleVolmex’s seven-day implied volatility indices held at 36% for BTC and 70% for ETH, suggesting markets are not anticipating a major volatility spike from Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.While Bitcoin sentiment has turned bearish for the first time in over a year, Ether’s resilience and growing institutional preference highlight shifting dynamics in the crypto market. With Powell’s remarks looming, traders may see more clarity on risk appetite in the days ahead.

XRP below $3: Is history ready to repeat? source: https://ambcrypto.com/xrp-looks-to-replay-bullish-q4-history-can-5-40-be-next/

On-chain analytics firm Santiment has revealed how the two largest spikes in trading volume coincided with recent buying and selling windows for Bitcoin. Trading Volume May Signal Tops & Bottoms For Bitcoin In a new post on X, Santiment has talked about a pattern associated with the trading volume of Bitcoin. The “trading volume” here refers to a metric that keeps track of the total amount of the cryptocurrency that’s becoming involved in trading activities on the various centralized exchanges. When the value of this metric is high, it means the traders are making a large number of moves on the market source: https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-volume-nailed-top-bottom-analytics-firm/

Key Takeaways65% of investors holding both stocks and crypto expect digital assets to deliver stronger growth than equities over the next 10 years. Nearly 70% plan to increase crypto allocations in the coming year, with men showing higher conviction than women. 42% said crypto outperformed their stock portfolio in the past 12 months, compared to 31% for equities. During global uncertainty, more investors choose crypto (33%) over stocks (20%) and cash (19%) source: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/28634087373249?utm_source=BinanceNewsRSS

Key Takeaways65% of investors holding both stocks and crypto expect digital assets to deliver stronger growth than equities over the next 10 years.Nearly 70% plan to increase crypto allocations in the coming year, with men showing higher conviction than women.42% said crypto outperformed their stock portfolio in the past 12 months, compared to 31% for equities.During global uncertainty, more investors choose crypto (33%) over stocks (20%) and cash (19%).Investors Turn to Crypto for Long-Term GrowthA majority of investors who hold both equities and crypto believe digital assets will outperform stocks over the next decade, according to a new Kraken survey.The poll of more than 1,000 U.S. adults found that 65% of dual-asset investors expect crypto to deliver stronger growth than equities in the next 10 years, while only 35% favored stocks.The survey also revealed shifting portfolio strategies: nearly 70% plan to boost their crypto holdings in the coming year, with men (74%) showing stronger conviction than women (59%).Crypto Already Outperforming for ManyOver the past year, 42% of respondents said their crypto investments outperformed their stock portfolios, while 31% reported better returns from equities.Confidence levels also leaned toward digital assets, with 61% saying they’ve grown more confident in crypto, compared with 53% for stocks.“Dual-asset investors are no longer treating crypto as a speculative outlier. They’re viewing it as a core growth driver,” said Mark Greenberg, Kraken’s global head of consumer.Crypto Emerging as a ‘Crisis Trade’The survey also highlighted crypto’s role as a potential safe haven. When asked where they would allocate fresh capital during global uncertainty, 33% chose crypto, compared to 20% for equities and 19% for cash.The findings suggest that crypto is increasingly viewed as an alternative to traditional safe-haven assets, particularly among younger investors seeking long-term upside.Blurring Lines Between Crypto and EquitiesThe results come as major exchanges—including Kraken—expand beyond digital assets by offering equities trading alongside crypto, underscoring how the lines between traditional finance and blockchain markets are fading.With a majority of dual-asset investors backing crypto for stronger growth, the survey reflects a paradigm shift in portfolio construction that could reshape how retail investors balance stocks and digital assets in the years ahead.

President Donald Trump’s search for a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is picking up speed, and the list of contenders is growing rather than shrinking. The White House is weighing sitting governors, former officials, and prominent Wall Street figures. As Cryptopolitan reporter earlier, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he plans to meet soon […] source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/trumps-fed-chair-shortlist-grows-longer-than-expected/

Key TakeawaysEther (ETH) futures premium stayed above the neutral 5% threshold, signaling resilience despite recent losses. Onchain metrics highlight Ethereum’s dominance in fees and TVL, strengthening long-term recovery prospects. ETH found support near $4,070 after a sharp 15% drop, with traders showing no panic despite macro headwinds. Ethereum’s seven-day fees surged 38% to $11 source: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/28633940392273?utm_source=BinanceNewsRSS

本文深入分析 Galaxy Digital 2025 年第二季度的财报，这家数字资产和数据中心解决方案提供商正准备进行一次转型。

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Kanye West, now known as Ye, launched a Solana-based YZY token, sparking a market surge to a $3 billion valuation within 40 minutes. Most of the supply is controlled by insiders, raising concerns about long-term stability despite high trading activity.

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Thailand’s Ministry of Tourism and Sports has unveiled plans to offer 200,000 free domestic flight tickets to foreign visitors in an effort to boost nationwide tourism over the next three months.

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