Altcoins News: XRP Price Eyes $25 Amid 98% ETF Approval Odds — But Analysts Warn of 90% Crash After Bull Cycle
Key Takeaways:XRP trades around $2.27, up nearly 10% from recent lows, fueled by surging optimism over ETF approval.Polymarket odds for a 2025 XRP ETF approval have hit 98%, reflecting strong investor confidence.Analysts predict a rally to $25–$27 followed by a potential 90% correction if history repeats.Corporate adoption, CME futures, and Ripple's legal clarity are boosting XRP’s institutional appeal.XRP Price Surges Toward $2.30 as ETF Sentiment Hits Record HighXRP is trading at approximately $2.27 on Binance.com, recovering from last week’s dip to $2.06 and posting a 9.7% rebound. Analysts attribute the rally to rising optimism surrounding the potential approval of a U.S.-based spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) — a catalyst that could dramatically reshape the altcoin's price trajectory.According to prediction market platform Polymarket, the odds of an XRP ETF approval by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) by year-end have surged to 98%, up from just 68% in April. The jump in sentiment follows several bullish developments, including Ripple’s legal wins, the successful launch of CME’s XRP futures, and new filings from institutional players like Bitwise, Grayscale, and 21Shares.Institutional Interest in XRP Soars with ETF and Treasury MovesThree separate firms — including Webus International, which filed for a $300 million XRP strategic reserve — plan to allocate over $471 million to XRP holdings. These corporate treasuries, combined with institutional demand signaled through CME futures (which posted $19 million in first-day volume), reflect growing investor appetite for regulated XRP exposure.Though the SEC has not yet approved any XRP ETF, analysts believe the mounting pressure from major asset managers and a maturing derivatives market have dramatically improved the asset’s regulatory outlook.Price Forecast: Analysts See $25–$27 XRP, Then Sharp PullbackCrypto analysts, including Egrag Crypto and Jaydee_757, suggest XRP could reach between $20 and $27 in 2025 if an ETF is approved and market momentum holds. Their projections rely on long-term technical patterns, such as the 21-week EMA and 33-week SMA alignments and historic bullish divergences similar to 2017.Jaydee_757 specifically draws parallels between current charts and the 2017 XRP rally that saw prices multiply 20x from $0.0055 to over $3.40. If history repeats, XRP could climb 1,000% to hit $25 before entering a deep bear cycle correction.However, both analysts caution that after a parabolic rise, XRP may experience a severe crash — potentially retracing as much as 86% to 90%, bringing the price back down to $2–$3.Volatility Expected Ahead of ETF DecisionWhile XRP continues to trade under its February high of $3.00, the growing institutional narrative could change the game. Investors are advised to prepare for extreme volatility in either direction as ETF approval odds tighten and macro market conditions — including interest rate decisions and crypto regulation — evolve.If an ETF gets the green light, XRP could finally break above its long-term resistance. But as history suggests, parabolic rallies often end in steep declines.
