From threatening the "extinction of all civilization" to a "two-week ceasefire," Trump's dramatic reversal took only ten hours and twenty-six minutes. During this time, global markets and oil prices fluctuated wildly with each of his tweets.

Global stock markets experienced significant gains following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran. According to Odaily, the Taiwan Weighted Index rose by 4.61% to close at 34,761.38 points. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index saw an increase of 5.39%, closing at 56,308.42 points, while South Korea's KOSPI Index climbed 6.87% to 5,872.34 points. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index expanded its gains to 5%, with Sri Lanka's All Share Price Index rising by 4.2%. In India, both the SENSEX and NIFTY indices increased by 3.7%. European markets also showed positive movement, with the Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 5.3%, Germany's DAX futures rising 5.2%, and the FTSE 100 futures gaining 2.9%.

In his memoir, *Binance Life*, CZ sporadically mentions his love life, detailing three relationships and one marriage. He admitted to using breakups as a threat in his youth. His high school girlfriend was a kind Taiwanese girl. Due to the long-distance relationship, she broke up with him after three months, which saddened CZ but wasn't unexpected. In his sophomore year of college, CZ dated another gentle and kind Taiwanese girl, Amanda. However, he was immature at the time, escalating minor conflicts and threatening to break up with her. Finally, when he used the breakup threat for the last time, Amanda agreed. CZ cried and berated himself for being foolish and dramatic. Later, CZ went to Tokyo, met Winnie at a Chinese restaurant, and they began dating and married within a few years. However, by the time he went to work in Beijing, his family had moved to Tokyo. CZ states in his memoir, "It was from this time that my ex-wife and I separated, and we officially divorced a few years later." Notably, CZ makes no mention of his relationship with He Yi throughout the entire memoir. For more interesting content from CZ's new book, "The Binance Life," please read "CZ's New Book Reveals Ten Secrets: First-hand Knowledge of 'September 4th,' and the Inside Story of Huobi's Ownership Change."

Following the two-week ceasefire agreement reached between the US and Iran, stock markets across Asia and the Americas surged. The Taiwan Weighted Index closed up 4.61% at 34,761.38 points. The Nikkei 225 Index closed up 5.39% at 56,308.42 points. The South Korean KOSPI Index closed up 6.87% at 5,872.34 points. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index extended its gains to 5%, the Sri Lanka Stock Exchange Composite Index rose 4.2%, and the Indian SENSEX and NIFTY indices both rose 3.7%. Euro Stoxx 50 futures rose 5.3%, German DAX futures rose 5.2%, and FTSE 100 futures rose 2.9%. (Jinshi)

German bonds experienced a significant surge as energy prices fell sharply after a ceasefire was reached between the United States and Iran. Bloomberg posted on X that the agreement between the two nations led to a decrease in geopolitical tensions, which in turn affected the energy market. The decline in energy prices provided a boost to the bond market, with investors seeking safer assets amid the changing economic landscape. This development comes as part of broader market reactions to geopolitical events, highlighting the interconnectedness of global markets.

Polymarket's prediction market has seen a significant increase in the probability that U.S. President Donald Trump will announce the end of military action against Iran by April 30. According to Odaily, the probability surged to 78% before settling at 61%, marking a 30% rise over 24 hours. The total trading volume for the event contract has surpassed $15.669 million. The contract stipulates that if Trump, the U.S. government, or military officially announces the end of the military action initiated on February 28, 2026, by the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will be deemed a 'yes.' Otherwise, it will be a 'no.' Valid statements must clearly indicate the action's conclusion. Informal statements, anonymous sources, or leaked information do not qualify. Trump's public written statements, such as posts on his "Truth Social" account, and videos on his social media accounts are considered valid. The primary basis for market determination is official statements from the U.S. government and its representatives, supplemented by consensus from other credible reports. Previously, Trump announced a two-week ceasefire agreement with Iran and stated that the U.S. would assist in managing the increasing shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. However, his post on Truth Social did not provide details on how the U.S. would help the strait or address Iran's continued collection of passage fees from certain vessels.

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U.S. President Donald Trump announced that significant aspects of the Iran plan have been fully agreed upon. According to Odaily, this statement was reported by Sky News in the UK.

On April 8, Jiang Zhuoer, founder of the mining pool B.TOP, announced a short position on Ethereum at $2,242. According to BlockBeats, Jiang commented on the geopolitical tensions involving U.S. President Donald Trump and Iran, suggesting that the conflict might conclude with Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz and imposing transit fees, a situation the U.S. might not legally recognize but tacitly accept. Jiang likened this scenario to the Suez Canal crisis of 1956, which marked the end of British imperial dominance. He noted that the bear market cycle is not yet complete, and any event-driven rallies present opportunities to increase short positions. Jiang also mentioned the possibility of renewed conflict, emphasizing that his strategy is focused on short- to medium-term operations, similar to his previous trades of going long at $1,850 and closing at $2,144.

According to Sky News, Trump stated that most of the key points of Iran's plans have been fully agreed upon. (Jinshi)

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of Polymarket's "Trump announcing the end of military action against Iran before April 30" surged to 78% at one point, and is currently at 61%, a 30% increase in 24 hours. The total trading volume for the "When will Trump announce the end of military action against Iran?" event contract has now exceeded $15.669 million. The rules of this event contract are: if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announces that the military action against Iran launched on February 28, 2026, has ended by a specified date (Eastern Time), the market will mark it as "yes"; otherwise, the market will mark it as "no." A valid statement must clearly indicate that the action has ended. Informal statements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaked information are not eligible. Public written statements by Trump (e.g., posts on his personal "Truth Social" account) are considered valid statements, as are videos posted on Trump's social media accounts. The market's primary basis for judgment is the official statement of the US government and/or its official representatives, but it also considers consensus from other credible reports. Previously, Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran and stated that the US would assist in addressing the growing shipping congestion in the Strait of Hormuz. However, Trump's post on Truth Social did not provide specific details on how the US would help with the strait, nor did it discuss the possibility of Iran continuing to charge tolls for certain vessels passing through the strait. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

Three newly created wallets have collectively profited $484,575 by betting on a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, raising concerns of potential insider trading. According to Cointelegraph, these wallets were established and funded on Tuesday, with no prior activity before engaging in Polymarket's 'US x Iran ceasefire by April 7' market. Blockchain data shared by Lookonchain on Wednesday revealed the profits for the three wallets amounted to $200,525, $158,600, and $125,450, respectively. The bets were placed with probabilities ranging from 2.9% to 10.3%. The latest trader on Polymarket made their initial trade in the 'US x Iran ceasefire by April 7' market at 1:59 pm UTC on Tuesday, approximately eight and a half hours before U.S. President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire agreement on TruthSocial at 10:32 pm UTC. The other two traders placed their first bets at 10:01 am UTC on Tuesday and 8:50 pm UTC on Monday. The bets were settled after the U.S. and Iran's Supreme National Security Council agreed to a two-week ceasefire on Tuesday, although both nations have not ruled out the possibility of further military actions. Prediction markets, which have become a rapidly growing application for cryptocurrency, consistently exceed $10 billion in monthly trading volume. However, these platforms are under intense scrutiny from lawmakers and regulators worldwide due to concerns about insider trading and market manipulation. In January, U.S. lawmakers proposed a bill to prevent government officials from trading on prediction market platforms after a Polymarket user gained over $400,000 from a market concerning Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces, raising suspicions of insider knowledge. In February, Israeli authorities arrested and charged two individuals for allegedly using confidential information to place bets on Polymarket regarding Israel striking Iran in June 2025. One of the arrested individuals was a member of Israel's military. To combat insider trading, Polymarket and Kalshi have implemented measures to identify and prevent such activities. In February, Kalshi announced the formation of an independent advisory committee and a partnership with crypto trading surveillance platform Solidus Labs to detect, investigate, and address market abuse.

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In his new book, "The Binance Life," Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) records some of his principles and ways of doing things in seven aspects: mindset, team, business and cooperation, communication, product, public relations, and leisure life.

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Trump announced a temporary halt to attacks on Iran early this morning, and Iran also declared its acceptance of the ceasefire agreement. Tensions in the Middle East eased, significantly boosting risk appetite. BTC rebounded back to $72,000, giving global markets a brief respite. What's next?

Bitcoin is holding firm near $68,500 as President Donald Trump’s April 7 deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz arrives under threats of infrastructure strikes—yet $471 million in ETF inflows suggests markets are positioning for de-escalation, not disaster.

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