以太坊从工作量证明 (PoW) 合并到权益证明 (PoS) 现在距离感觉像是多年的预期还有大约 30 天的时间。虽然价格行为是投机的主要支柱，但对“合并”的预期持续增长——ETH 的市场主导地位也是如此。
新数据显示，随着合并临近，以太坊继续取得进展；让我们回顾一下数字反映的情况，因为我们倒数了几周。
围绕合并的确切时间的猜测一直是加密货币对话的长期主要内容，但最近在调整以太坊的终端总难度后已经缩小，根据加密货币最著名的名字之一的推文，Ethereum co-创始人 Vitalik Buterin：
终端总难度设置为58750000000000000000000。
这意味着以太坊 PoW 网络现在有（大致）固定数量的哈希值可供挖掘。https://t.co/3um744WkxZ 预测合并将在 9 月 15 日左右发生，但具体日期取决于哈希率。pic.twitter.com/9YnloTWSi1
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin)2022 年 8 月 12 日
这导致要挖掘的链的哈希值静态设置，并导致合并何时发生的视角更加狭窄。 Vitalik 引用的 Bordel 工具在发布时仍估计 9 月 15 日合并。
根据 Arcane Research 的数据，这种预期导致了近几个月来前所未有的市场份额强劲增长：
这主要对 BTC 不利，BTC 每周下跌几个百分点，而 ETH 则出现大幅增长。与大型、中型和小型股指数相比，BTC 在 8 月份的涨幅是迄今为止最弱的。根据 Arcane Research 的数据，ETH 今天的市场份额超过 20%——而 60 天前约为 14%。
以太坊期待已久的与股权证明的合并大约还有一个月的时间，而价格走势反映出在经历了迄今为止加密货币价格低迷的一年之后，人们的预期越来越高。 |来源：TradingView.com 上的 ETH-USD
当我们着眼于股权证明合并时，我们已经涵盖了各种观点，包括一篇关于为什么交易所喜欢的文章Coinbase 将在合并期间短暂暂停 ETH 交易 , 以及价格走势现货市场与期货市场 最近。
通常情况下，当涉及到合并后下半年我们可以从 ETH 中看到什么时，投机就占了上风。股权证明被吹捧为以太坊期待已久的可持续解决方案，它可以称赞区块链是一个现在环保的发电站，可以为 NFT、DeFi 等解锁解决方案。
此外，撇开价格影响不谈，共识转换一直是围绕链的去中心化（增加可访问性，因此有更多矿工）以及更快的每秒交易量 (TPS) 的预期增长的支柱。
共识调整会像它被大肆宣传的那样吗？如果是这样，预计 ETH 市场份额将继续呈现强劲增长。
特色图片来自 Pixabay，图表来自 TradingView.com此内容的作者与本文中提到的任何一方均无关联或隶属关系。这不是财务建议。
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