Key TakeawaysBitcoin sentiment shifted from “fear” to neutral after rebounding from a sharp correction.BTC dropped 10% from its August peak before recovering above $114,000.Santiment warns “FUD may not be over” as markets remain sensitive to crowd psychology.All eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech for the next major market move.Bitcoin Sentiment Shifts From Fear to NeutralBitcoin (BTC) recovered Thursday after dipping into the “fear” zone earlier in the week. The leading cryptocurrency fell to $112,350 on Coinbase Wednesday, a 10% correction from its August high above $124,000. The drop pushed the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index to 44—its lowest in two months.BTC has since rebounded, reclaiming $114,500 in early Thursday trading, according to TradingView. The index has now returned to a neutral 50, signaling improved sentiment.“As anticipated, crypto markets have begun to rebound,” analysts at Santiment said, while cautioning that further fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) could still pressure prices. The firm also highlighted growing social interest around Bitcoin, Tether (USDT), XRP, Cardano (ADA), and the memecoin SNEK.Sentiment Remains FragileBitcoin entrepreneur and U.S. presidential crypto adviser David Bailey noted how quickly market emotions swing. “One moment euphoria, moments later panic,” he said, urging investors to zoom out and stay focused on the long-term trend.Macro headwinds also weighed on sentiment. Augustine Fan, head of insights at SignalPlus, said crypto prices have been “treading water” as uncertainty builds. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent briefly fueled concern by stating the U.S. government would not expand its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, though he later appeared to soften his stance in an X post.Total crypto market capitalization has since recovered to $3.96 trillion, up 2% in 24 hours, but analysts caution that volatility is far from over.Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech in FocusThe next major catalyst for crypto markets may come Friday when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at the Jackson Hole conference, an event historically known for moving both equities and crypto.“Markets brace for Jackson Hole as Powell’s tone could jolt equities and crypto,” said BitGo.Traders remain divided: some expect Powell to maintain a hawkish tone and delay rate cuts, while others see potential for a dovish surprise. “If he comes in soft and leans that rate cuts are likely, we turbo rip,” author Jason Williams said.Ran Neuner of CNBC added: “Jackson Hole will shape crypto’s direction moving forward. Trump is pushing for a rate cut, but will Powell listen?”According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets currently price in an 82% chance of a rate cut on September 17, though expectations have been slipping.OutlookBitcoin’s rebound has stabilized market sentiment, but caution dominates ahead of Powell’s speech. With sentiment fragile and macro uncertainty rising, analysts say crypto markets could face sharp swings in the days ahead, according to Cointelegraph.

Despite some market predictions that Bitcoin’s historic four-year halving cycle is fading due to rising institutional interest, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode reports that Bitcoin’s current price action still “echoes prior patterns” and appears to be tracking its typical cycle.Key Insights from GlassnodeBitcoin’s price movements continue to reflect its traditional four-year halving cycle.Profit-taking among long-term holders (holding BTC for over 155 days) is comparable to previous euphoric phases, indicating the market may be in a late cycle stage.Capital inflows into Bitcoin are showing signs of fatigue, with spot Bitcoin ETFs experiencing outflows of approximately $975 million over the past four trading days.Since reaching a recent high of $124,128 on August 14, Bitcoin has corrected by about 8.3%, trading near $113,940 at publication.The decline in demand has pushed traders toward riskier bets, with open interest in major altcoins briefly hitting a record $60 billion before a $2.5 billion correction.Glassnode suggests that if Bitcoin continues to follow its historical cycle, the market peak could arrive as early as October 2025, consistent with previous cycles where highs occurred 2-3 months after the current stage measured from the cycle low.Supporting Analyst ViewsCrypto analyst Rekt Capital also forecasts a potential peak in October 2025, approximately 550 days after the Bitcoin halving event in April 2024, aligning with the 2020 cycle pattern.Contrasting Opinions: Is the 4-Year Cycle Over?Not all experts agree that the four-year cycle remains intact:Jason Williams, author and investor, highlights that the top 100 treasury companies hold nearly 1 million Bitcoin, suggesting institutional accumulation could alter traditional cycle dynamics.Data from BitcoinTreasuries.NET shows publicly traded Bitcoin treasury companies hold about $112.17 billion worth of BTC.Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer, argues the Bitcoin cycle is “dead” and predicts an “up year” in 2026 instead.Hougan believes the halving cycle’s influence is diminishing, with macro factors like the interest rate cycle playing a more significant role in crypto’s future price action.SummaryWhile some industry voices claim the four-year Bitcoin cycle is obsolete due to growing institutional demand and changing market dynamics, Glassnode’s on-chain data and several analysts suggest Bitcoin’s price action still aligns with its historic halving cycle. The next few months, especially leading into October 2025, will be critical in confirming whether Bitcoin’s traditional cycle remains relevant, according to Cointelegraph.

US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick has invested in Bitcoin funds amid market uncertainty caused by President Trump's trade policies. Key Takeaways:1. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's firm invests $120.7 million in a Fidelity Bitcoin Fund.2. Trump administration extends China tariff delay while introducing new aluminum tariffs.3. Officials connected to the administration deepen ties with crypto and tariff-affected businesses.4. Trade groups express concern over economic uncertainty caused by unpredictable tariff policies.Lutnick's Bitcoin Investment Amid Tariff TurmoilAs the Trump administration navigates complex trade negotiations, Secretary Lutnick's family-controlled firm, Cantor Fitzgerald, has made significant investments in sectors influenced by current economic policies. Most notably:- $120.7 million invested in Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FTBC)- $116.8 million invested in trading platform RobinhoodThese investments come after Lutnick received a waiver allowing him to participate in matters that may affect Cantor Fitzgerald, raising questions about potential conflicts of interest.Trump's Tariff Policy and Its ImpactThe administration's recent actions include:- Extending the tariff delay on China- Introducing aluminum tariffs on over 400 productsThese decisions have led to:- Concerns from trade groups about delayed growth and disrupted operations- Increased prices for domestic produce (38.9% year-over-year increase for fresh and dry vegetables)- Potential average household income loss of $2,400 in 2025 due to tariffsCryptocurrency and AI: The New FrontierThe article also highlights the growing importance of cryptocurrency and AI in the current administration:- Bo Hines, executive director of the Presidential Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, suggested using tariffs to fund a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.- David Sacks, the administration's crypto and AI Czar, sold $200 million in crypto investments but later received a waiver similar to Lutnick's.As Trump's trade policies continue to create market uncertainty, some administration officials appear to be positioning themselves to benefit from the volatility. The intersection of cryptocurrency, AI, and traditional finance is becoming increasingly prominent in this evolving economic landscape, according to Cointelegraph.

Bitcoin is facing critical price action around the $114,000 resistance level, while traders largely shrug off the recent US-EU trade deal. Market focus shifts to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming Jackson Hole symposium, with key BTC support and resistance levels under scrutiny.Key Points- $114,000 emerges as a make-or-break price level for Bitcoin into the weekly close.- Bid liquidity clusters just below recent local lows, raising concerns about weakening market structure.- Despite the US-EU trade deal, odds of a Fed rate cut in September have declined.- Bitcoin volatility increased at Thursday’s Wall Street open as markets digested the trade news.Bitcoin Struggles at $114K ResistanceData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows BTC/USD repeatedly testing but failing to break above $114,000, which remains a strong short-term resistance.Popular analyst Rekt Capital highlighted on X (formerly Twitter):“Bitcoin is clearly rejecting from ~$114k resistance on the Daily timeframe.”He further emphasized that a convincing break and weekly close above $114,000 is crucial to avoid further downside.“$114k needs to be convincingly lost for BTC to go lower. Weekly close relative to $114k will also be key.”Fellow trader Daan Crypto Trades dentified a critical local support zone between $109,850 and $111,900, warning that a drop below this range could weaken Bitcoin’s market structure.“Generally you don't want to see price move back into such a large range/consolidation period after breaking out of it.”Order Book and Liquidity InsightsExchange data from CoinGlass reveals a band of bid liquidity starting at $112,900, aligning with recent daily lows and providing a potential support floor.Market Reaction to US-EU Trade Deal and Fed OutlookThe US-EU trade agreement had minimal impact on US equities, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite trading sideways after the open.Meanwhile, market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September have diminished:- Prediction service Kalshi shows a rise in odds for no rate cut to 36%, the highest since August 1.- CME Group’s FedWatch Tool gives a 25% chance that rates will remain unchanged.Mosaic Asset, a trading firm, noted from the Fed’s latest meeting minutes: “A broadening consensus over inflation risks outweighing employment concerns.”The upcoming Jackson Hole symposium, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak, is highly anticipated for potential clues on future monetary policy, according to Cointelegraph.SummaryBitcoin’s price action is tightly bound by the $114,000 resistance and support near $110,000–$112,900. A decisive weekly close above or below $114K will likely dictate the near-term trend. Despite the US-EU trade deal, traders are focused on the Fed’s Jackson Hole event, which could influence rate cut expectations and market direction.

Public companies continue to diversify into altcoins, but with mixed effects on share prices and mixed reception from investors. source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/altcoin-treasury-race-verb-ton-acquisition-company-dollar780m-assets?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

Bitcoin's recent price action and on-chain metrics suggest the current bull market may be approaching its final stages. Here's what investors need to know about BTC's potential cycle top and price targets for Q3-Q4 2025.Key Takeaways:- Bitcoin's 700% rally from $15,500 to $124,500 indicates a possible market top within 2-3 months.- 91% of BTC supply in profit for 273 days, signaling late-cycle behavior.- Critical support at $110,000-$112,000; breakdown could trigger drop to $90,000-$100,000 range.Bitcoin's Bull Run: Late Maturity Phase AnalysisAs of August 21, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is struggling to reclaim the $114,000 level, with on-chain metrics suggesting waning bullish momentum. The cryptocurrency's incredible 700% surge from its November 2022 low of $15,500 to last week's all-time high of $124,500 mirrors patterns seen in previous market cycles.On-Chain Indicators Point to Cycle PeakMarket intelligence firm Glassnode's latest Week On-chain report highlights several key metrics:1. Supply in Profit: 91% of Bitcoin has remained profitable for 273 days, the second-longest streak on record.2. Long-Term Holder (LTH) Behavior: Heightened profit-taking by LTHs, comparable to past euphoric phases.3. Cycle Duration: Current cycle length aligns with historical pre-peak periods.Glassnode concludes, "These signals reinforce the view that the current cycle is firmly in its historically late phase."Price Action and Support LevelsBitcoin's recent rejection at $114,000 strengthens the case for potential downside. Key levels to watch:- Critical Support: $110,000-$112,000 zone- Potential Buy Zone: $100,000-$90,000 range if support breaksAnalyst Michael van de Poppe suggests the $112,000-$110,000 region could offer a "great buy opportunity" if tested, according to Coitnelegraph.Looking Ahead: Cycle Top PredictionsBased on historical halving cycles, popular crypto analyst Rekt Capital predicts a potential bull market peak in mid-September to mid-October 2025, just 1-2 months away.Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin's price action around the $114,000 level and weekly closes relative to this threshold for confirmation of trend direction.

XRP Q4 Outlook: Key Chart Condition for Potential MoonshotXRP’s price action and on-chain whale flows suggest a short-term dip may precede a strong breakout rally in Q4 2025, potentially reaching new all-time highs.Key TakeawaysXRP recently closed below the $3 psychological level, extending a two-week correction.A market fractal pattern on the daily chart mirrors a setup from early 2025, hinting at a bullish Q4.Potential upside targets range from $4.35 to $4.85, representing a 60%–85% gain from current levels.Whale flows remain negative, indicating near-term selling pressure but approaching exhaustion.Accumulation zones likely between $2.65 and $2.33, where whales may re-enter positions.The critical breakout level is $3.85; surpassing this could trigger price discovery and a strong rally.Supportive macro factors like possible US interest rate cuts may sustain momentum.Technical Analysis DetailsMarket Fractal PatternXRP’s current daily chart structure resembles January 2025’s fractal, where price rallied to $3.40 before correcting to $1.60.The fractal suggests a similar bottoming process near a fair value gap (FVG) between $2.32 and $2.66.Filling this FVG could mark the start of a renewed expansion phase.Whale Flows and On-Chain DataLarge XRP holders (“whales”) have been selling but are nearing exhaustion of their distribution phase.The 90-day moving average of whale netflows indicates a peak in selling, historically followed by accumulation.Past whale accumulation between $2.00 and $2.50 preceded XRP’s previous rally.A similar accumulation zone may form again around $2.65–$2.33.Price Targets and OutlookShort-term dip expected before reaccumulation.Break above $3.85 is key to entering price discovery mode.Potential rally targets:$4.35 (initial target)$4.85 (extended target)Possible extension toward all-time highs if momentum sustains.SummaryXRP’s Q4 “moonshot” depends on holding key support zones near $2.33–$2.65 and breaking above $3.85 resistance. Whale behavior and fractal chart patterns support a bullish setup, though short-term volatility and dips are likely. Macro tailwinds like interest rate cuts could further fuel the rally.

The bill pushed by the representative included a ban on lawmakers and their families from "launching, promoting, or trading in coins where they hold a personal financial interest. ” source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/pennsylvania-bill-ban-public-officials-crypto?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss%3Fnocache%3D1710837569325&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

"Technical analysis of Solana's price charts suggests that the cryptocurrency is poised for a significant breakout above the $260 threshold. However, it is important to note that there are still strong resistance levels in play that could impede this upward movement. Traders and investors should closely monitor these resistance points, as they may impact the likelihood of a successful breakout." source: https://blocknews.com/solana-charts-line-for-260-breakout-but-resistance-still-in-play/

ChainCatcher partners with Alibaba Cloud to advance Web3 infrastructure amidst macroeconomic shifts affecting cryptocurrency markets. source: https://coincu.com/356535-chaincatcher-alibaba-cloud-web3-4

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