According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin's market cycles are not primarily driven by its halving events, as commonly believed. Analyst James Check argues that other factors, such as adoption trends and market structure, play a more significant role in shaping bull and bear cycles. Check contends that Bitcoin has undergone three distinct cycles, none of which are anchored around the halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce mining rewards. Check identifies the market's 2017 peak and 2022 bottom as key transition points in these cycles. He describes the first cycle, from 2011 to 2018, as an 'adoption cycle' fueled by early retail adoption. The second, from 2018 to 2022, is termed an 'adolescence cycle,' characterized by a 'Wild West boom and bust with leverage.' The current cycle, beginning in 2022, is labeled a 'maturity cycle,' driven by 'institutional maturity and stability.' Check emphasizes that the 2022 bear market marked a turning point, and those who expect past patterns to repeat may overlook new signals by focusing on historical trends. This perspective challenges the popular belief that Bitcoin's market cycles are tied to its halving events, which create a supply shock by reducing block rewards and increasing demand. Traditionally, bull market peaks have occurred in the year following a halving event, as seen in 2013, 2017, and 2021, with expectations for a similar pattern in 2025. Check also suggests that Bitcoin is 'literally the only other endgame asset alongside gold,' indicating that the current cycle might be prolonged. Recent predictions suggest that the traditional four-year cycle may be ending, with the current bull market potentially extending into next year due to increased institutional participation. Earlier this month, Bitwise's chief investment officer, Matthew Hougan, stated that the cycle is 'not officially over until we see positive returns in 2026,' but he believes the four-year cycle is concluding. Entrepreneur 'TechDev' also noted that understanding Bitcoin's market dynamics requires analyzing business cycle dynamics, highlighting the peaks and troughs of previous cycles. Macroeconomic factors, such as dollar liquidity and ETF inflows, may have contributed to an extended bullish phase. Analysts at Glassnode noted on August 20 that Bitcoin continues to follow its traditional cycle patterns, with recent profit-taking and increased selling pressure indicating a late phase of the cycle. Position trader Bob Loukas offered a pragmatic view, asserting that Bitcoin cycles persist, driven by human behavior and market dynamics, with the only difference being the extent of market impact and recovery speed.

Justin Sun supports Trump-backed crypto project with $30M, signaling potential U. S. policy shifts. source: https://coincu.com/357997-justin-sun-trump-crypto-investment

Analyst James Check argued Bitcoin has seen three market cycles driven by adoption trends rather than halving events as widely believed. source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-market-cycles-not-anchored-halvings-analyst?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

2028年美元稳定币总量将至少达到10万亿美元，美元稳定币的全球采用将推动DeFi应用的长期增长，特别是Ethena、Ether.fi和Hyperliquid。

In a new research note, Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital assets, argued that Ethereum and “digital asset […] The post Ethereum Is Still Cheap Despite Record Highs – Standard Chartered appeared first on Coindoo. source: https://coindoo.com/ethereum-is-still-cheap-despite-record-highs-standard-chartered/

The United States Commerce Secretary has said that the department will start publishing GDP data on a blockchain. source: https://cryptopotato.com/us-government-to-put-economic-data-on-the-blockchain/

Trump Media, Crypto. com, Yorkville announce $1B CRO token deal impacting markets. source: https://coincu.com/357994-trump-media-crypto-com-yorkville-cro-deal

أولًا، ارتفع سهم Nio الصينية للسيارات الكهربائية بشكل لافت اليوم. ثم، قفزت شهادات الإيداع الأمريكية للشركة بأكثر من 12% صباح الثلاثاء. وبعد ذلك، بقيت مرتفعة بنسبة 7. 6% حتى الساعة 11:40 صباحًا بتوقيت نيويورك source: https://www.twsiat.com/%d8%a7%d8%b1%d8%aa%d9%81%d8%b9-%d8%b3%d9%87%d9%85-nio-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b5%d9%8a%d9%86%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%b3%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%83%d9%87%d8%b1%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%a6/

Market watchers argue that investors may be underestimating just how much demand the product could generate if greenlit. source: https://coindoo.com/xrp-etf-news-analysts-predict-unstoppable-demand-on-approval/

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show signs of weakness after recently setting a new all-time high earlier this month. As of today, the cryptocurrency is trading at $110,595, reflecting a 4. 2% decline over the past week and an 11% drop from its peak of $124,000. The correction highlights an ongoing struggle for momentum even as broader market conditions remain uncertain source: https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-faces-pressure-as-taker-ratio-hits-lowest-level-since-last-cycles-peak/

According to Cointelegraph, a recent survey conducted by UK insurance company Aviva reveals that approximately 27% of British adults are open to incorporating cryptocurrency into their retirement plans. This interest suggests a potential shift in the UK's multitrillion-dollar pension fund market towards digital assets. The poll, which surveyed 2,000 UK adults, indicates that over 40% of those open to crypto investments are motivated by the prospect of higher returns. Additionally, 23% of respondents expressed willingness to withdraw part or all of their existing pension to invest in cryptocurrencies. Despite the growing interest, UK adults face limited options for integrating crypto into their retirement funds. This development coincides with U.S. President Donald Trump signing an executive order earlier this month, allowing U.S. 401(k) retirement plans to include Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, thereby granting access to over $9 trillion in assets. The survey also highlights that around one in five UK adults, equivalent to approximately 11.6 million people, have engaged with crypto investments, with two-thirds still holding digital assets. Notably, nearly one-fifth of adults aged 25 to 34 have already withdrawn pension funds to invest in crypto, contributing significantly to the 8% of all respondents who reported doing the same. Despite the enthusiasm for crypto investments, concerns persist among Brits regarding the risks associated with digital assets. Security issues such as hacking and phishing attacks, along with a lack of regulation and protection, are cited as major concerns by 41% and 37% of respondents, respectively. Crypto volatility is also flagged as a significant worry by 30% of those surveyed. Michele Golunska, Aviva's managing director of wealth and advice, acknowledges the appeal of crypto investments but emphasizes the enduring benefits of traditional pensions, including employer contributions and tax relief. The survey further reveals that nearly one-third of respondents are interested in crypto but admit to not fully understanding the potential benefits they might forgo by cashing in their pensions. Meanwhile, 27% are unaware of any risks involved in crypto investments. The UK has been cautiously advancing its crypto regulation, proposing a framework in May that aims to treat crypto exchanges, dealers, and agents similarly to traditional financial firms, with stringent compliance checks focused on transparency and consumer protection. However, UK banks appear to be slowing adoption, as 40% of recently surveyed crypto investors reported having their bank block or delay payments to crypto providers.

Animoca Brands and Ibex Japan have launched a fund to bring unused Japanese anime and manga IP onto the blockchain. The plan aims to turn dormant stories and characters into digital products for global audiences, backed by rising NFT market demand.

BTC,投资,剖析广受欢迎的比特币市场指标 金色财经,通过 Pi 周期顶部指标解读比特币的市场节奏。

Chinese AI powerhouse DeepSeek has unveiled a next-generation chip entirely designed and manufactured in China, a move that could potentially break the fragile balance between artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency.

金色财经推出加密货币和区块链行业早报《金色早8点》2798期，为您提供最新、最快的数字货币和区块链行业新闻。

特朗普家族与加密极客联手打造的World Liberty Financial正迅速扩张。

金色财经推出《金色Web3.0日报》，为您提供最新、最快的MEME、DeFi、DAO、NFT和元宇宙行业新闻。

鲍威尔,加密货币,鲍威尔的鸽派发言为何没能支撑住币价？ 金色财经,比特币“任性下跌”背后的深度思考。

门罗与 Qubic 的事件揭示了在矿工激励与算力集中时，小型 PoW 区块链可能暴露在共识中断的风险之下，从而最终动摇网络信任。

今日晚间推荐阅读：1.比特币财库公司的崛起与风险；2.Pantera跑步入场SOL储备计划 巨头们为何看好SOL？；3.Bitwise：BTC未来十年预测；