Bitcoin's recent price action and on-chain metrics suggest the current bull market may be approaching its final stages. Here's what investors need to know about BTC's potential cycle top and price targets for Q3-Q4 2025.Key Takeaways:- Bitcoin's 700% rally from $15,500 to $124,500 indicates a possible market top within 2-3 months.- 91% of BTC supply in profit for 273 days, signaling late-cycle behavior.- Critical support at $110,000-$112,000; breakdown could trigger drop to $90,000-$100,000 range.Bitcoin's Bull Run: Late Maturity Phase AnalysisAs of August 21, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is struggling to reclaim the $114,000 level, with on-chain metrics suggesting waning bullish momentum. The cryptocurrency's incredible 700% surge from its November 2022 low of $15,500 to last week's all-time high of $124,500 mirrors patterns seen in previous market cycles.On-Chain Indicators Point to Cycle PeakMarket intelligence firm Glassnode's latest Week On-chain report highlights several key metrics:1. Supply in Profit: 91% of Bitcoin has remained profitable for 273 days, the second-longest streak on record.2. Long-Term Holder (LTH) Behavior: Heightened profit-taking by LTHs, comparable to past euphoric phases.3. Cycle Duration: Current cycle length aligns with historical pre-peak periods.Glassnode concludes, "These signals reinforce the view that the current cycle is firmly in its historically late phase."Price Action and Support LevelsBitcoin's recent rejection at $114,000 strengthens the case for potential downside. Key levels to watch:- Critical Support: $110,000-$112,000 zone- Potential Buy Zone: $100,000-$90,000 range if support breaksAnalyst Michael van de Poppe suggests the $112,000-$110,000 region could offer a "great buy opportunity" if tested, according to Coitnelegraph.Looking Ahead: Cycle Top PredictionsBased on historical halving cycles, popular crypto analyst Rekt Capital predicts a potential bull market peak in mid-September to mid-October 2025, just 1-2 months away.Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin's price action around the $114,000 level and weekly closes relative to this threshold for confirmation of trend direction.

XRP Q4 Outlook: Key Chart Condition for Potential MoonshotXRP’s price action and on-chain whale flows suggest a short-term dip may precede a strong breakout rally in Q4 2025, potentially reaching new all-time highs.Key TakeawaysXRP recently closed below the $3 psychological level, extending a two-week correction.A market fractal pattern on the daily chart mirrors a setup from early 2025, hinting at a bullish Q4.Potential upside targets range from $4.35 to $4.85, representing a 60%–85% gain from current levels.Whale flows remain negative, indicating near-term selling pressure but approaching exhaustion.Accumulation zones likely between $2.65 and $2.33, where whales may re-enter positions.The critical breakout level is $3.85; surpassing this could trigger price discovery and a strong rally.Supportive macro factors like possible US interest rate cuts may sustain momentum.Technical Analysis DetailsMarket Fractal PatternXRP’s current daily chart structure resembles January 2025’s fractal, where price rallied to $3.40 before correcting to $1.60.The fractal suggests a similar bottoming process near a fair value gap (FVG) between $2.32 and $2.66.Filling this FVG could mark the start of a renewed expansion phase.Whale Flows and On-Chain DataLarge XRP holders (“whales”) have been selling but are nearing exhaustion of their distribution phase.The 90-day moving average of whale netflows indicates a peak in selling, historically followed by accumulation.Past whale accumulation between $2.00 and $2.50 preceded XRP’s previous rally.A similar accumulation zone may form again around $2.65–$2.33.Price Targets and OutlookShort-term dip expected before reaccumulation.Break above $3.85 is key to entering price discovery mode.Potential rally targets:$4.35 (initial target)$4.85 (extended target)Possible extension toward all-time highs if momentum sustains.SummaryXRP’s Q4 “moonshot” depends on holding key support zones near $2.33–$2.65 and breaking above $3.85 resistance. Whale behavior and fractal chart patterns support a bullish setup, though short-term volatility and dips are likely. Macro tailwinds like interest rate cuts could further fuel the rally.

ChainCatcher partners with Alibaba Cloud to advance Web3 infrastructure amidst macroeconomic shifts affecting cryptocurrency markets. source: https://coincu.com/356535-chaincatcher-alibaba-cloud-web3-4

State Street has become the first third-party custodian to join JPMorgan’s tokenized debt platform, enabling it to custody blockchain-based debt securities for institutional clients.Key HighlightsState Street’s Role:As a custodian bank and asset manager with over $49 trillion in assets under custody and $5.1 trillion in assets under management, State Street now holds blockchain-based debt securities on behalf of investors via JPMorgan’s platform.JPMorgan’s Digital Debt Service:This platform facilitates trading and settlement of tokenized debt instruments—securities issued on blockchain representing government or corporate bonds.Inaugural Transaction:State Street purchased $100 million in tokenized commercial debt from Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), marking the platform’s first transaction, according to Cointelegraph.Significance for the Financial IndustryBridging TradFi and Digital Assets:State Street’s custody of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) signals growing institutional adoption of blockchain technology and tokenization in traditional finance.Growth of Tokenized RWAs:The tokenized RWA market has surged approximately 65% in 2025, reaching a market cap of over $26.4 billion (excluding stablecoins), reflecting strong momentum in this emerging sector. JPMorgan’s Kinexys Platform:Formerly known as Onyx, Kinexys is JPMorgan’s RWA tokenization platform launched in 2020 and rebranded in 2024. It supports seamless issuance, trading, and settlement of tokenized assets.Partnerships Enhancing Infrastructure:Oracle provider Chainlink partnered with Kinexys to develop payment infrastructure for tokenized RWA settlements. Recent cross-chain transfers involving Ondo Finance demonstrate growing interoperability in the ecosystem.Industry PerspectivesChainlink founder Sergey Nazarov emphasized the importance of tokenizing high-quality assets onchain to increase capital velocity and strengthen the crypto ecosystem. He highlighted the need for frictionless payment solutions that traditional institutions can easily adopt.

The commitment, made today by a high-ranking DOJ official, sparked mixed reactions from crypto leaders. source: https://decrypt.co/336327/tornado-cash-roman-storm-doj-crypto-charges

While the overall stablecoin market is up 4% in August, some synthetic stablecoins, such as Sky Dollar and Falcon USD, have had even more substantial gains. source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/ethena-crosses-500m-cumulative-revenue-synthetic-stablecoins-gain-ground?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

The delay impacts applications from major asset managers including Bitwise, Grayscale, and CoinShares, leaving institutional investors waiting longer for clarity. source: https://coindoo.com/altcoin-etfs-on-hold-will-xrp-solana-and-litecoin-finally-get-approved-in-2025/

Analyst eyes a 125% hike to $0. 000028 for Shiba Inu despite its strong downtrend. source: https://ambcrypto.com/shiba-inu-analyst-eyes-a-125-surge-to-0-000028-can-it-happen/

An anti-central bank digital currency provision has been added to what is viewed as must-pass defense funding legislation. source: https://www.theblock.co/post/367876/anti-central-bank-digital-currency-provision-added-to-us-houses-must-pass-defense-bill?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

India’s central bank said on Thursday that the existing inflation-targeting regime has broadly delivered for the economy and likely needs no overhaul, and it released a discussion paper to gather public input on the path ahead. As the framework comes up for review by April 2026, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) invited feedback on […] source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/rbi-opens-public-consultation-on-inflation-targeting-framework-ahead-of-2026-review/

本文深入分析 Galaxy Digital 2025 年第二季度的财报，这家数字资产和数据中心解决方案提供商正准备进行一次转型。

金色财经推出《金色Web3.0日报》，为您提供最新、最快的MEME、DeFi、DAO、NFT和元宇宙行业新闻。

“持仓量Ol大于市值MC”是一个极其强烈的投机信号。

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稳定币的夏天是否具有持久⼒，这对发⾏⽅、现有的⽀付和银⾏系统、市场以及更⼴泛的⾦融稳定可能意味着什么？

虽然11人的极简架构带来了效率和纯粹性，但也意味着人力不足以同时兼顾安全、合规、生态扩张等多条战线。一旦出现技术漏洞或黑客攻击，团队的应对能力将面临严峻考验。

Kanye West, now known as Ye, launched a Solana-based YZY token, sparking a market surge to a $3 billion valuation within 40 minutes. Most of the supply is controlled by insiders, raising concerns about long-term stability despite high trading activity.

监管领域同样体现对比价值。比特币账本完全开放使全球监管机构得以借助区块链实现合规。

Thailand’s Ministry of Tourism and Sports has unveiled plans to offer 200,000 free domestic flight tickets to foreign visitors in an effort to boost nationwide tourism over the next three months.

项目,CoinDesk,潘渡Watchlist：依然看涨 (Bullish)？ 金色财经,详细拆解Bullish的基本面和估值情况。