Investment bank TD Cowen has highlighted several obstacles that could delay the legislative process of the CLARITY Act. According to Odaily, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is currently understaffed, with only one commissioner in place, making it difficult for Congress to entrust more crypto regulatory responsibilities to the agency. Filling these positions could take months.
Additionally, the issue of prediction markets is gaining attention. The decision on whether to include them in the bill's regulations, along with concerns about insider trading and political conflicts of interest, including controversies related to projects associated with U.S. President Donald Trump, may lead some Democratic lawmakers to oppose the bill.
The ongoing controversy surrounding the Trump family's crypto project, World Liberty Financial, is also increasing the political sensitivity of the bill, making bipartisan consensus harder to achieve.
Geopolitical factors are also at play, with discussions about Iran potentially using crypto payments intensifying focus on anti-money laundering provisions, which could lead to amendments unfavorable to the industry.
Furthermore, some lawmakers are attempting to incorporate the Credit Card Competition Act into the legislation, which could spark new conflicts of interest and further hinder the overall legislative process.
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