In-depth analysis: Is the bull market boom about to come?

Author: Riyue Xiaochu Source: X, @riyuexiaochu

The hottest trend in the bull market is the countless opportunities to get rich. That is not 20 or 50 points, nor is it a 2 or 5 times increase. But the market is 20 times or 50 times better.

And the sectors are rising in turn. As long as you hold the currency, sooner or later it will be your turn for the currency to skyrocket. If you are lucky enough to catch the two waves of rotation, it is simply unthinkable.

I often see people shouting, The big one is coming? You will also see people shouting, this April/May. So is it coming soon?

For this issue, I would like to analyze it from a financial perspective. I think the situation is changing, the situation is changing, the long-short game is changing, and the bookmakers are also changing. Therefore, simply replicating history and data may not necessarily succeed.

The financial aspect and irrational behavior are the first principles. No matter how the dealer draws the K-line or publishes bad news, the funds are real. Similarly, at any time, people can never overcome their own weaknesses and behave irrationally. So these two are like the basic theorems of physics. No matter whose head the apple falls and hits, what he discovered is the law of universal gravitation.

So, we judge the boom of wealth in the bull market from the perspective of capital. It mainly comes from the superimposed release of three waves of funds.

1 btc switching funds

A big round of copycat market, all in btc It was after a big rise. Then the market also formed a consensus. Bitcoin rose first, and then copycats flew everywhere. In addition to consensus, the more important point is that Bitcoin's profit-making funds will enter altcoins. Just imagine, if Bitcoin reaches 100,000 US dollars, the total market value will reach 2 trillion US dollars. Even if only 5%-10% of the funds are switched to altcoins, that is 100 billion to 200 billion in funds. You must know that the issuance of an additional 1 billion US dollars in USDT can usually make people climax, let alone 100 billion US dollars.

2 Shortage of funds in the market

Before the start of a market trend, people often experience A wave of adjustments. Many people will panic and cut their flesh, leaving their hands full of utensils. While Bitcoin is rising, it is basically in a state of shortfall, and is often in a situation where it is afraid to buy. As the market continues to rise, these shorted funds will begin to slowly buy. Due to the large scale of the market, tens of billions of dollars are often bought during a rise that starts from the bottom.

3 New Admission Funds

With the previous two waves of funds, there will be The skyrocketing currency has a skyrocketing leader. For example, 21-year-old doge and shib. Those who are in the car will also be brought in by his relatives and friends. Even in 2021, many of my friends only knew about Bitcoin and Dogecoin, and had never even heard of Ethereum. Newcomers often enter the market like this. They buy a little bit to test the waters. After a while, they find that the price has risen. I believe that the currency circle is indeed a place full of gold. Then I regretted buying less, continued to increase investment, and entered the market quickly.

Understand the three major logics of the bull market from a financial perspective. Only then can you see clearly when the big one will come. So based on this logic, it is impossible to get big now.

The first is Bitcoin switching funds. First, Bitcoin has risen in the middle, and there are relatively few people willing to switch to copycats. Second, the main market push this year is ETF funds cannot be exchanged for altcoins.

Secondly, short funds, the overall market position is relatively heavy, and there is not much short funds.

So we still need to wait, don’t be discouraged, don’t be discouraged. Hold on, family, we will eventually usher in the dawn of victory.