From crazy profit-taking in exchanges to making money on the chain, is liquidity exhausted?

Author: Professor Suo said Source: X, @hellosuoha

Foreword: I stayed in the sky for 5 hours today, slept for the first 2.5 hours, and thought for the last 2.5 hours. People should think most of the time, and thinking is actually something worth doing in life.

"Lack of liquidity, everyone is crazy about profit-taking"

How to say this, just in the past few days, I saw some trader friends in many groups start to withdraw spot, it was still a small scale at the time, but today there are really more people running away, one faster than the other, the speed of cutting meat is really exaggerated.

Especially with the macro data coming out this week, a lot of brothers have begun to brew @realDonaldTrump's plan to not cut interest rates after taking office, and have begun to advocate not to cut interest rates within a year, and the US dollar index has returned to above 110 again after 2 years.

What can I say about macro things? Anyway, everyone is an "economist", so I choose to believe everyone.

But this has already entered the "prisoner's dilemma. If others run away and you don't, you will be cut, unless this is the bottom. But whether it is the bottom or not, the brothers themselves should not know, after all, if they knew, they would not have held it until now.

But anyway, it's not important. What's important is how to operate the stop profit. It has always been said that stop profit = as long as you make money, stop profit at any time is good.

So it all depends on whether you can control your greed and desire.

It's like even in this situation, most people still make money. Can you believe it? That's why I said that they are actually crazy about stop profit, but they may have made 1,000wu before and now make 20wu.

So who cares who, now everyone is a counterparty, if you run away, the market will lose your funds, if more big investors run away, it will take hundreds or thousands of retail investors to stop this big investor from escaping, it seems that there is indeed a lack of "liquidity".

After all, it is the big investors themselves who proposed "stop profit" and "lack of liquidity". When they run away, they find that no one is taking over. Retail investors rarely have such operations. After all, retail investors are full-position and only have 10,000 times, and never stop profit or stop loss.

Anyway, I don't know anything else. I took a look at the overall exodus of memecoin. I really don't understand it. It seems that the liquidity has been withdrawn. Fortunately, I only opened one $cheems. At present, it is almost close to a liquidation. Tonight, I watched it fall from 76 to 58 and completely gave up resistance.

I don’t know when my emotions will rise, I can only endure it. I remembered what I said, if you like to buy at the bottom, there will be endless bottoms to buy, but the boomerang will always fly over your head.

"The wealth-creating effect on the chain is exaggerated"

I forgot who said it a few days ago, the manifestation of lack of liquidity on the chain is frequent golden dogs, and then they are all intraday or hourly trading.

It is true that a lot of " Golden Dogs" have been released recently, but they are not " sustainable". Basically, they quickly took away a wave of people, and also caused other "Old Golden Dogs" to be directly sucked blood, which was called " terrible".

What the chain needs now is more and more leeks to come in and stack Lego, so that everyone's wealth will be provided by more and more people. After all, it is a process of "transfer" in itself.

Moreover, the "entrepreneurship effect" on the chain has become more and more exaggerated recently. Starting from $AIOS, this trading idea is simply "textbook-level". Until now, you can't judge whether the team is "real". After all, they said "no rejection, no recognition, no responsibility, no understanding".

Then this morning, all the coins of the team were burned directly and started to build a public chain. It can only be said that in the end it found that the valuation of a single coin was still too low, so it was better to build a public chain. This may also be AI's choice.

The story of AI concluding that the public chain is greater than the meme coin based on judgment.

"Predicting the future"

Yesterday at the @virtuals_io meeting, I heard @everythingempt0 asked yesterday which track he thought AI would be able to run in the future.

He replied that he didn't know.

It’s like before @aixbt came out, no one could have imagined that AI KOL would emerge.

It’s like before @luna_virtual came out, no one could have imagined that AI entertainment would emerge.

These are all unpredictable. It is precisely because of the existence of various unknown things that new things can emerge. Otherwise, if everything is predictable, then can you outperform those who are already in the "leading position"? Then the "class solidification" will not change at all.

So in fact, I never felt that the ability to "predict the future" was real. I only believed in discovering trends through "clues", or identifying problems from a metaphysical perspective. That is, my sixth sense may not be very good.

You will often see "experts" analyzing things very well, but the kernel is 250.

To put it bluntly, today's weather forecast may not be accurate. How can you think that your money-making and money-losing or the development of the industry changes with your thoughts?

So there is no need to predict, just take it step by step. You can't predict what will happen hundreds of years from now, nor can you predict what will happen decades from now. You can't even predict what will happen a few days from now, so just be honest and seize the present.

If the teacher is really so good, why would he teach you? Can't you just go all in yourself?

Always remember that analysts and traders are not the same thing.

「Hotspots use sleepless」

Always believe that the bull market will always exist, although it may be a local bull market!

It’s like the hunters who are doing airdrops, @movementlabsxyz @berachain @StoryProtocol must be doing it, and they are likely to make money, and @_kaitoai’s things that are obvious to make money, let’s brush Yap together.

It’s like @Azuki is preparing to issue its own token @animecoin. It’s the same principle, learning $PENGU, but I don’t know if it can really succeed, but NFT has risen, and expectations have also come, at least from the current hot spots.

The exchange may not be able to maintain the "bull market", but the "bull market" on the chain will always exist. You can’t deny that people have been "printing money" on the chain. Isn’t this "prosperity" a "bull market"?

Always stay sensitive to the market, just like I said before, you can't get $AICC for free, you have to find a way to become someone who can get it, if you can't, then choose other similar platforms, such as @daosdotworld.

Keep hungry enough, bro.