According to Bloomberg, the recent surge in Bitcoin prices has reached 'very frothy levels,' with the token rising as much as 5.12% to $63,649 on Thursday before trading little changed. This rally has been largely driven by massive net inflows into US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, which exceeded $7 billion this week. The current momentum has led to comparisons with the environment during Bitcoin's all-time high of nearly $69,000 in November 2021, raising questions about whether this marks the beginning of a new bull market for cryptoassets.
A persistent concern has been the limited supply of Bitcoin available for purchase in the open market, as more than half of all Bitcoin tokens in circulation have not moved in over two years, according to Glassnode data. However, some experts believe that the market will not break due to a liquidity crisis. There is still time for a pause in momentum, as the unrealized profit margin of short-term Bitcoin holders, who are likely frequent traders rather than long-term investors, is at extreme levels following the recent rally, according to data from CryptoQuant. Margins are currently around 45%, with any ranking above 40% signaling a potential price correction.
Additionally, Bitcoin's recent rally has made it extremely expensive to open new long positions in the token's perpetual futures market, indicating that a slowdown could be on the way. The funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures is at its highest level since April 2021, according to CryptoQuant. Historically, when the cost of opening new long positions becomes too high, Bitcoin prices tend to pause or experience a correction.