According to Odaily Seer, in Polymarket's "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner" prediction event, France's probability of winning has overtaken Spain's, currently ranking first with 17%. Spain is second with 15%, England has 11%, and Argentina and Brazil are both at 9%. To date, the total trading volume for this prediction event has exceeded $770 million. The contract rules state that the final result of the national team winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup will be immediately settled as "No" if, according to FIFA rules, the team has no chance of winning the World Cup (e.g., being eliminated in the knockout stage). The settlement is primarily based on official FIFA information, but also considers consensus from other reliable reports. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.