An account with an 81% win rate purchased $40,000; Trump will continue to block the Strait of Hormuz until April 30.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event "Trump will continue to block the Strait of Hormuz before April 30," an account with an 81% win rate (@Pajamapants) purchased $40,000 worth of positions, with an average opening price of 68.5¢, indicating that Trump would not end the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz before April 30. The specific rule is: if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announces the end of the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on the specified date (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will turn "yes." Otherwise, the market will ultimately decide "no." The statement must clearly and explicitly state that the US has lifted, ended, or will lift or end the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on the specified date, or use equivalent, clear language to explicitly state that the blockade has ended or will end on the specified date (e.g., a statement explicitly stating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased qualifies). Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumes shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly stating the lifting of the blockade are insufficient. Informal announcements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaks are not eligible. Written public statements by Donald Trump (such as posts on his personal Truth Social account) will be eligible. Videos posted by him on social media will also qualify for a “for” resolution. The primary source of solutions for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government and/or its official representatives; however, credible consensus reports may also be used. Note: This market will be determined solely based on whether a qualified announcement is issued within the specified timeframe. Whether a blockade is effectively enforced, or whether sea traffic has resumed, will not be considered without a qualified announcement. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.