The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April was 99.5% before the release of the ADP data.

According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by June is 9.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 90.1%, and the probability of cumulatively raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 0.5%.