According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket has added a prediction event for whether Trump Mobile will release a phone by the end of April or June. Currently, the probability of a release before April 30th is 6%, and the probability of a release before June 30th is 22%. According to the rules, if Trump Mobile officially releases a phone (including the T1 or any other model) before the specified date (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will mark it as "yes"; otherwise, it will mark it as "no." The product must be available to the public for purchase within the specified time to be considered released; announcements, unveilings, pre-orders, or reservations are not sufficient. The market's primary basis for judgment is information provided by Trump Mobile, but it also considers consensus from other reliable reports. In December 2025, Trump Mobile, owned by the Trump Organization, postponed its planned delivery of its gold smartphone by the end of 2025; on January 24, 2026, The Verge published a blog post reporting that the original T1 phone had not yet shipped. Similar to the Trump Organization's previous brand licensing practices, the T1 phone and services are not directly designed, developed, or sold by the Trump Organization, but rather licensed to a third-party company. Odaily Seer continues to monitor and predict the market, seeing changes before pricing.