Polymarket's probability that "gold will fall below $4,300 by the end of March" has risen to 39%, up 21% in the last 24 hours.

According to Odaily Seer, as gold prices fall, the probability of gold falling below $4,300 by the end of March on Polymarket has risen to 39%, a 21% increase in 24 hours; the probability of gold falling below $4,000 by the end of March is currently 6%, a 2% increase in 24 hours. As of now, the trading volume of gold price prediction contracts for the end of March on Polymarket is approximately $2.825 million. Analysts believe that due to uncertainty surrounding the prospects of negotiations between the US and Iran, international crude oil futures prices have risen sharply, and the three major US stock indices in New York have fallen significantly. Affected by market concerns about inflation, international gold and silver prices have fallen sharply. According to Gate data, spot gold is currently trading at $4,402.51, a 0.55% decrease in 24 hours, and spot silver is currently trading at $68.154, a 0.08% decrease in 24 hours. Odaily Seer continuously focuses on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.