Eurozone economic growth at the end of last year was weaker than initially reported, with trade factors hindering progress. According to Jin10, the European Union's statistics agency announced on Friday that the fourth-quarter GDP grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, down from the preliminary estimate of 0.3%. The largest positive contribution came from household consumption, with public spending and investment also providing some support.
The future growth of the 21-country currency union now hinges on developments in Iran. Attacks by the United States and Israel have already led to a surge in energy prices, raising concerns that inflation might rise again and suppress economic activity. Much of this will depend on the duration of the conflict. Since the U.S. military action against Iran, several policymakers have stated that it is too early to assess its economic impact.
Germany's central bank governor, Joachim Nagel, believes that the inflation impact is more significant than the growth impact. The European Central Bank will decide on its course of action at its meeting in two weeks.