Odaily Seerのモニタリングによると、Polymarketの「NBAプレーオフ・ウェスタンカンファレンス準決勝第1戦：サンダー対レイカーズ」の予測イベントにおいて、勝率55%を超える のアカウント（アドレス：0xc8075693f48668a264b9fa313b47f52712fcc12b）が、サンダー対レイカーズの合計得点が214.5未満となるベットを16万ドル分購入し、平均購入価格は52.2¢であった。NBAプレーオフ・ウェスタンカンファレンス準決勝第1戦、サンダー対レイカーズは、北京時間明日午前8時半に開幕する。今シーズン、レイカーズはサンダーとの対戦成績が0勝4敗で、平均29点差で敗れている。さらに、レイカーズのエース、ドンチッチは明日の試合を欠場する。Odaily Seerは予測市場を注視し続け、価格決定の前に変化を捉える。

Key TakeawaysWTI crude futures fell approximately 6% to $95.28 per barrel after Axios reported the US and Iran are close to a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the warBitcoin climbed toward $82,000 during European morning trading alongside a more than 1% rise in Nasdaq futures as risk sentiment improved sharplyThe draft MOU -- negotiated by US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner with Iranian officials -- reportedly includes Iran agreeing to remove highly enriched uranium from the countryThe prospect of normalizing oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz drove the sharp risk-on shift, though some analysts remain skeptical about Iran making durable nuclear concessionsForexLive currency analyst Justin Low said he is "a bit skeptical on the final point about Iran ceding ground on the nuclear front"Oil's six percent single-session crash is the number Binance users should be staring at on Wednesday morning -- because if it holds, it changes the entire macro picture that has been weighing on crypto markets since February.WTI crude futures fell to $95.28 per barrel, their sharpest single-session decline since the US-Iran conflict began, after Axios reported that Washington and Tehran are close to finalizing a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the war. The draft agreement was negotiated directly and through intermediaries by US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian officials, and reportedly includes a provision for Iran to remove highly enriched uranium from the country -- a long-standing US demand that Tehran had previously refused to accept.Why This Matters for BitcoinThe Strait of Hormuz has been the single most important macro variable for Bitcoin since late February. Iranian forces mining the strait and disrupting oil flows created an energy shock that pushed Brent above $126 at its peak, kept inflation expectations elevated, pushed the Fed toward a higher-for-longer stance, and capped Bitcoin's ability to sustain moves above $79,000--$80,000 through April.A credible path to normalizing Hormuz oil flows removes all of those headwinds simultaneously. Lower oil means lower inflation expectations, a more accommodative Fed, reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar, and improved risk appetite across all asset classes. Bitcoin, which has shown an increasingly strong response to geopolitical de-escalation signals throughout this cycle, climbed toward $82,000 during European trading as traders rapidly repriced the scenario.Nasdaq futures rose more than 1% in parallel, confirming that the risk-on shift is broad rather than crypto-specific.The SkepticsNot everyone is ready to call the trade. ForexLive currency analyst Justin Low said he is "a bit skeptical on the final point about Iran ceding ground on the nuclear front. But we'll have to wait and see I guess" -- a caution that reflects a legitimate concern. Iran has resisted uranium removal demands through multiple rounds of negotiations, and a one-page MOU is a long way from a fully implemented agreement with verification mechanisms in place.Some market participants are also aware that previous Iran ceasefire signals triggered sharp Bitcoin rallies that partially reversed when talks stalled. The April 18 ceasefire announcement, for example, produced a $593 million short squeeze before subsequent complications moderated the move.The Trader's SetupFor Binance users watching the price action, the key levels are straightforward. Bitcoin is currently trading near $81,912 with $82,000 acting as the immediate psychological target. A confirmed MOU announcement -- moving from an Axios report to official statement -- could be the catalyst that finally breaks Bitcoin decisively above the $80,000--$82,000 resistance band that has capped the past several rally attempts.The derivatives setup supports an asymmetric upside scenario. Bitcoin futures open interest is near a record 800,000 BTC with flat to slightly positive funding rates -- meaning the market is not overheated and has room to absorb fresh bullish capital. The OI-adjusted CVD has already flipped positive across most major tokens, confirming buyers are in control of price action heading into any further de-escalation confirmation.Oil's next move will tell the story. If WTI holds below $100 on confirmation of the MOU progress, the inflation-rate-dollar headwind that has defined this entire market period begins to lift in a meaningful and sustained way.

The three major U.S. stock indices experienced an upward movement at the opening today. According to NS3.AI, the S&P 500 led the gains with a 0.62% increase. The Nasdaq followed closely, opening up by 0.63%, while the Dow Jones saw a modest rise of 0.10%. This positive start reflects investor optimism in the market.

The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has launched an investigation into Mastercard, Visa, and PayPal over potential anti-competitive practices related to the flow and use of funds in PayPal's digital wallet. According to ChainCatcher, the FCA announced on Wednesday that it has not yet reached a conclusion on whether these companies have violated competition laws. PayPal disclosed the investigation in a regulatory filing this week. A PayPal representative stated that the company is cooperating with the FCA's investigation but declined to comment further as the case is ongoing.

According to ChainCatcher, Federal Reserve official Musalem stated that the current financial environment is very accommodative.

Gold prices increased to $4,685.60 per ounce, while silver saw a rise to $76.838 per ounce. According to NS3.AI, in contrast, WTI crude oil experienced a decline of 6.18%, settling at $97.91 per barrel. Similarly, Brent crude oil fell by 6.35%, reaching $108.00 per barrel.

「メーデー」の連休中、ある「Unipeg」（unipeg.art）というプロジェクトが突如としてネットで話題となった。

U.S. Federal Reserve official Musalem stated that the current inflation level is notably higher than the 2% target. According to Jin10, this assessment reflects ongoing concerns about inflationary pressures in the economy. Musalem's comments come amid discussions on monetary policy adjustments to address these challenges.

Uber's stock price increased by 5.4% following the company's optimistic forecast for its second-quarter bookings and profits. According to Jin10, Uber anticipates that both metrics will exceed market expectations, contributing to the positive investor sentiment.

国内有数のAI企業であるDeepSeek（深度求索）のシリーズAラウンドの資金調達が、市場の大きな注目を集めている。

Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee spokesperson, Ebrahim Rezai, has criticized recent statements made by the U.S. According to Foresight News, Rezai expressed on social media that the remarks published by Axios represent the U.S.'s wish list rather than reality. He emphasized that what the U.S. cannot achieve in face-to-face negotiations cannot be obtained through a failed war. Rezai further stated that Iran is prepared to take action if the U.S. does not make necessary concessions.

msx.comのデータによると、米国株式市場は寄り付き時点で、ダウ平均が0.98%高、S&P 500種指数が0.62%高、ナスダック総合指数が0.64%高となった。暗号資産セクターのパフォーマンスはまちまちで、SharpLinkは1.58%上昇、Solanaは0.93%上昇、Circleは0.65%上昇した一方、Strategy (MSTR)は2.26%下落、Coinbaseは1.95%下落、Bitmineは0.74%下落した。報道によると、msx.comは分散型RWA取引プラットフォームであり、これまでにAAPL、AMZN、GOOGL、META、MSFT、NFLX、NVDAなどの米国株やETFを原資産とする数百種類のRWAトークンを上場させている。

先月、孫さんが自身の中継拠点「B.ai」を立ち上げたばかりなのに、今月になってトランプ一家が参入してきた。

サム・アルトマンはかつて、広告をChatGPTの「ラストリゾート（最後の手段）」と呼んだことがある。

ステーブルコイン、暗号資産、台帳は航海図ではない　会計の視点からは新大陸は見えない　金色財経、「暗号資産の終局」は傷跡を暴いたが、未来を誤って判断した。

Agent Paymentは、PoC段階からインフラストラクチャの競争段階へと移行しつつある。

人工知能、AIエージェント、Grokが悪用された背景：AIエージェントの権限チェーンの悪用に関する分析　金色財経、典型的なAIエージェントの権限チェーンに関するセキュリティインシデント。

MicroStrategy、BTC、マイクロストラテジーがついにBTCを売却するのか？ 金色財経、今回は市場の憶測ではない。

Zcash（ZEC）が再び600ドルを突破：これは単なる偶然の急騰ではなく、7つの要因が相乗効果を発揮した結果である。金色財経によると、ZECが今回600ドルを突破したのは、7つの要因が同調して作用したためである。

Coinbaseの人員削減は決して例外ではない。視野をWeb3業界全体に広げれば、2026年の春は、むしろ業界全体による「自浄のための痛みを伴う決断」の時期と言えるだろう。