MLMのモニタリングによると、TRUMPチームのウォレット（Hv1hq...jPCZ）は過去3週間で、1,554万TRUMP（時価総額4,600万ドル）をOKXに預け入れた。これは総供給量の1.5%に相当する。TRUMPの価格は3時間で18%下落し、15ヶ月前の高値からは96.8%下落している。

Binance Wallet announced on X the winners of its Prediction Markets Experience Campaign, where selected participants will receive 100 USDC each. The rewards are set to be distributed by May 7, 2026. This campaign aimed to engage users in predicting market trends and rewarded those who excelled in their predictions. The winners include @Edmond48263, @Fatimaa_Zahrra, @alenovino, @qasim1664278, @DanasEMS, @web3goz, @rapeli_ruh, @babarkhan9020, @Serjo449242, @temettu11, @Shahfad0, @Tarzan01122, @ManiacXBT, @AliyuKabir68067, @someone1i0, @Cryptonger1, @wittyexpertise, @esheov, @gentle_seersam, @SnehaJain3798, @anandjain3798, @SinhaMonigo, @fi3farrel, @doublehoki, @Donaldonchain, @MfonChris19, @lilvxxxx, @chalomset, @MoosaNadeem18, and @Enitan510. These individuals demonstrated exceptional skill in predicting market movements, earning them a share of the prize pool. The campaign reflects Binance Wallet's commitment to enhancing user engagement through interactive experiences. By participating in prediction markets, users had the opportunity to test their market knowledge and potentially earn rewards. This initiative is part of Binance Wallet's broader strategy to foster a dynamic and engaging platform for its community. As the rewards are distributed, participants can look forward to further opportunities to engage with Binance Wallet's offerings.

According to PANews, 41% of all newly identified ultra-high net worth individuals are from the United States.

Key Takeaways Whale addresses holding 10–10,000 BTC have accumulated approximately 40,967 BTC worth $3.17 billion since April 10, per SantimentSmaller holders under 0.1 BTC added just 46 BTC worth $3.56 million in the same period -- a whale-dominated accumulation structure historically associated with stronger medium to long-term uptrendsBitcoin rose to $79,327 before pulling back to around $77,390, up approximately 8.6% over the past 30 daysSantiment describes market sentiment as having shifted from "extreme pessimism" toward "strong FOMO" but notes the market remains in the "fear" zone and has not yet overheatedBitwise's European research head confirmed institutional demand is accelerating significantly; a break above $80,000 could attract fresh capital and revitalize broader market sentiment Bitcoin whale accumulation has accelerated sharply as the asset approaches the $80,000 level, with on-chain data pointing to one of the clearest large-holder buying signals of the current cycle -- a pattern that analysts say has historically preceded stronger medium to long-term price trends. According to Santiment data cited by BlockBeats on April 25, addresses holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC have accumulated approximately 40,967 BTC since April 10, a position worth roughly $3.17 billion at current prices. Over the same period, smaller holders with balances under 0.1 BTC added just 46 BTC -- approximately $3.56 million -- a fraction of whale buying that underscores the institutional and large-holder nature of the current accumulation phase. A Classic Bull Market Structure Santiment identifies the divergence between whale buying and retail caution as historically significant. The structure of "whales continuously buying while retail investors gradually take profit" has, in prior cycles, corresponded to stronger sustained uptrends rather than short-lived relief rallies. The platform describes the current setup as potentially "one of the strongest bull market signals" visible in on-chain data at this stage of the cycle. The accumulation has unfolded as Bitcoin climbed from the mid-$60,000s to an intraday high of $79,327 before pulling back to around $77,390 -- a 30-day gain of approximately 8.6%. The $80,000 level remains the critical threshold analysts are watching, with a decisive break above it expected to revitalize broader market sentiment and attract fresh capital that has so far remained on the sidelines. Institutional Demand Accelerating The whale accumulation data aligns with the institutional picture. Andre Dragosch, European research head at Bitwise, confirmed that institutional demand is accelerating significantly -- a view supported by US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording nine consecutive days of inflows totaling $2.12 billion between April 14 and April 24, absorbing approximately nine times the new BTC supply mined during that period. Sentiment Recovering But Not Overheated Market sentiment has undergone a meaningful shift through April, but analysts caution that the market has not yet reached the overheated conditions that typically precede sharp reversals. Santiment notes that sentiment has moved from "extreme pessimism" to "strong FOMO" territory, though the overall reading remains within the "fear" zone -- a condition that historically suggests room for further upside before sentiment becomes a contrarian sell signal. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index reading of 32, recorded earlier this week, corroborates the same picture: a market that has recovered significantly from its lows but has not yet transitioned to the greed-driven excess that typically marks cycle peaks. With whales accumulating aggressively, institutional inflows accelerating, and sentiment still below neutral, analysts argue the setup favors further upside -- contingent on Bitcoin's ability to clear and hold $80,000 in the sessions ahead.

Key Takeaways SpaceX is planning a June IPO targeting a $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation, which would rank among the largest IPOs in historyCombined with potential IPOs from OpenAI and Anthropic, the three listings could absorb more than $240 billion in the second half of 2026 -- exceeding total US venture-backed IPO fundraising since 2000Analysts warn that crypto and tech stocks share the same risk-on liquidity pool, with large-scale IPOs potentially triggering fund reallocation away from Bitcoin and altcoinsApproximately 30% of the SpaceX IPO -- around $22 billion -- is expected to be allocated to retail investors, directly competing with BTC and altcoin inflowsSpaceX currently holds approximately 8,285 BTC worth around $600 million, making it the first super unicorn IPO to carry significant Bitcoin on its balance sheet SpaceX's planned June IPO is emerging as a potential liquidity headwind for crypto markets, with analysts warning that a wave of mega-listings in the second half of 2026 could trigger a significant reallocation of capital away from Bitcoin and digital assets. According to market analysis cited by BlockBeats on April 25, SpaceX is targeting a $75 billion raise at a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion. If the offering proceeds as planned, it would rank among the largest IPOs in history and arrive at a time when crypto markets are already navigating geopolitical uncertainty and a contested technical recovery. $240 Billion in Competing Listings The SpaceX IPO does not stand alone. Combined with potential public offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic -- both of which have been flagged as candidates for listings in 2026 -- the three companies are expected to collectively absorb more than $240 billion in funding in the second half of the year. That figure would surpass the total raised across all US venture-backed IPOs since 2000, representing an unprecedented concentration of capital demand in a compressed timeframe. The Liquidity Drain Thesis The concern for crypto markets centers on a shared pool of risk-on capital. Analysts argue that Bitcoin, altcoins, and high-growth tech stocks compete for the same marginal dollar from retail and institutional investors with an appetite for speculative, high-beta assets. A series of landmark IPOs absorbing hundreds of billions of dollars could reduce the capital available for crypto allocation, particularly if the listings are priced attractively and generate strong early returns. The retail dimension is especially significant. Approximately 30% of the SpaceX IPO -- roughly $22 billion -- is expected to be directed toward retail investors, a cohort that overlaps substantially with active crypto market participants. A retail allocation of that magnitude arriving in June could divert meaningful inflows that would otherwise have entered Bitcoin and altcoin markets. SpaceX's Bitcoin Holdings Add a Novel Dimension SpaceX brings an additional layer of crypto market relevance to its IPO: the company currently holds approximately 8,285 BTC, valued at around $600 million at current prices. This makes SpaceX the first super unicorn to go public with a material Bitcoin position on its balance sheet -- a development that could influence how institutional investors frame Bitcoin exposure within a broader tech equity context. May and June as the Key Test Analysts identify Bitcoin's price behavior during the SpaceX roadshow period in May and June as the critical market signal. If Bitcoin comes under pressure as the roadshow builds momentum, it would suggest liquidity is being withdrawn from crypto in favor of the IPO pipeline. If Bitcoin continues to strengthen through the period, it would indicate that spot ETF inflows have sufficiently decoupled from traditional risk-on capital flows to absorb the competing demand. The outcome of that test will have implications beyond the immediate price action, potentially reshaping how analysts model the relationship between crypto market inflows and the broader tech equity fundraising cycle.

Iranian Parliament member Behnam Saeedi announced that Iran has formulated a detailed strategy to oversee the passage through the Strait of Hormuz. According to NS3.AI, the plan mandates that vessels must secure Iran's authorization, pay security and licensing fees, and exclusively use the term 'Persian Gulf' in all correspondence and commercial documents. Additionally, Saeedi stated that Israeli vessels would be prohibited, and ships from nations considered hostile by Iranian security agencies would be denied passage.

According to PANews, institutions considered 'too big to fail' are encountering significant issues. These challenges necessitate collective efforts from various stakeholders to address the situation. The concept of 'too big to fail' implies that the failure of such institutions could have widespread repercussions, prompting the need for intervention to stabilize the financial system. The current situation underscores the importance of coordinated action to mitigate potential risks associated with these large entities.

Key Takeaways Nearly 35 million XRP were withdrawn from exchanges in 24 hours -- the sixth-largest daily outflow of 2026 -- reducing immediately available sell-side supply, per SantimentSimilar outflow spikes preceded a 20% XRP rally in March and a 48–50% surge in February, strengthening the case for a May price moveUS spot XRP ETFs recorded three consecutive weeks of net inflows totaling $82.88 million, pushing total AUM to $1.1 billion, per SoSoValueXRP whale flows have turned positive for the first time since early 2026, with the 90-day moving average crossing back above zero, per CryptoQuantA falling wedge technical setup targets the $1.87–$1.89 zone -- approximately 30% above current levels -- by June, aligning with the 50-week EMA and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement XRP is flashing a convergence of bullish on-chain, institutional, and technical signals that analysts say could drive a 30% price rally by June, with exchange outflows, whale accumulation, and ETF inflows all pointing in the same direction as the asset attempts to break out of a two-year falling wedge structure. Exchange Outflows Hit Sixth-Largest Day of 2026 As of Saturday, the XRP Ledger recorded nearly 35 million XRP in exchange outflows over the prior 24 hours -- the sixth-largest daily outflow of 2026 -- according to Santiment data. Large exchange outflows typically indicate investors are moving tokens into private wallets or cold storage, tightening the supply of XRP immediately available for sale on exchanges. The historical precedent for this signal is encouraging. A similar outflow spike in March preceded a roughly 20% XRP price rebound. February's outflow surge was followed by an even stronger move, with XRP gaining approximately 48–50% in the subsequent period. If the pattern holds, the latest withdrawal spike raises the probability of a meaningful price move in May. ETF Demand Signals Institutional Appetite Institutional interest in XRP is also building through regulated products. US-listed spot XRP ETFs have posted three consecutive weeks of net inflows totaling approximately $82.88 million as of Saturday, per SoSoValue data, pushing total assets under management to $1.1 billion. The sustained inflow streak reflects growing institutional appetite for XRP exposure through compliant, regulated vehicles -- a dynamic that adds a structural demand floor beneath the current price. Whales Shift to Accumulation On-chain whale flow data from CryptoQuant adds further weight to the bullish case. The 90-day moving average of XRP Ledger whale flows has crossed back above zero after spending much of early 2026 in negative territory -- a shift from distribution to accumulation among the largest market participants. Historically, positive whale flow regimes have preceded stronger XRP price trends, including the May–July 2025 rally that marked one of XRP's strongest multi-month periods in recent memory. Wedge Setup Targets 30% Upside by June From a technical standpoint, XRP has spent the past two years inside a falling wedge defined by two downward-sloping converging trend lines. April's rebound from the wedge's lower trend line support raises the probability of a move toward the upper boundary -- a target zone aligning with the 50-week EMA and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level near $1.87–$1.89, approximately 30% above current levels, with June as the potential timeframe. The downside scenario carries equal clarity. A decisive break below the wedge's lower trend line would invalidate the bullish setup and shift the target to the $0.98 level, aligning with the wedge's apex and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement -- a decline of approximately 40% from current prices.

イランのマイヘル通信が25日に報じたところによると、イラン・イスラム議会のベフナム・サイーディ議員は、イランがホルムズ海峡の管理に関する包括的な計画を策定したと述べた。サイーディ氏はマイヘル通信の取材に対し、この計画の重要な内容の一つとして、すべての公文書および商業文書において「ペルシャ湾」という名称のみを認め、その他の名称は一切受け入れないと述べた。同海域を航行する船舶および艦艇は、イランの許可を得なければならない。ホルムズ海峡の主権は完全にイランの手に委ねられる。同氏はまた、イラン最高国家安全保障会議または軍参謀本部によって敵対国と認定された船舶はホルムズ海峡を通過してはならず、イスラエルの船舶は同海域の通過が絶対的に禁止されると述べた。同海域を通過する船舶は、安全、環境保護、航行管理、許可発行などの事項に関して関連費用を納付しなければならず、支払いは優先的にリアルで行う。（新華社）

DeepSeek is reportedly opening a new round of financing due to significant talent loss, according to ChainCatcher. Several key researchers have left the company to join major firms such as ByteDance, Tencent, Xiaomi, and autonomous driving company Yuanrong Qixing. This development comes as competitors Zhizhi Technology and MiniMax have recently listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, while another rival, Dark Side of the Moon, has completed three rounds of financing in the first quarter of this year, quadrupling its valuation since the end of last year.

仮想通貨プロジェクトが特定のビジネスモデルの特徴を備えている場合、現在国内で仮想通貨の投機取引に対する取り締まりが強化されている政策動向を踏まえると、マルチ商法組織・指導罪として認定されるという重大な刑事上のリスクが存在する。

ステーブルコインは取引ツールから汎用的な決済インフラへと進化しつつあり、その過程は多くの人が予想していたよりも静かで、かつ徹底的なものとなっている。

米イラン間の停戦が再び延長、BTC現物ETFは6日連続で資金流入。

数々の新しいモデルをご紹介したところで、今日の記事では、AI業界のリリースサイクルが生み出す「非現実的」な現象についてお話ししたいと思います。

今日のテーマは、何がプロトコルに反脆弱性をもたらすのか、そしてトークンがどのようにエコシステムを動かすためのてことして機能するのかについてです。

NVIDIAの時価総額は5兆ドルの大台を堅守し、世界最高時価総額企業の座を確固たるものにしている。

米国、イラン、ステーブルコイン、米国がイランの暗号資産3億4400万ドルを凍結　金色財経、米国が再びイランに手を下した。

すでに一部の機関が、ディスカウント価格での即時ロックアップ解除を選択したことを公表している。同プロジェクトはまもなく、一度限りの巨額のロックアップ解除に伴う売り圧力の試練に直面することになる。AI分野の爆発的な成長に追随できるかどうか、今回の試練が極めて重要となる。

暗号資産市場、暗号資産、相場、楊海坡著『暗号資産の終局』への反論　金色財経、これこそが暗号資産にとって真の試練なのかもしれない。

ワールドカップを前に、暗号資産業界における「世界的な波」は予測市場に必ず現れるだろうが、これを「巨大な波が押し寄せる始まり」ではなく、「撤退の好機」と捉えるのが賢明だ。