According to Cointelegraph, the recent increase in the value of privacy-focused cryptocurrency Zcash (ZEC) may be more a result of capital rotation than a sustained structural bull trend, as suggested by Real Vision founder and macro investor Raoul Pal. During a discussion on the "When Shift Happens" podcast, Pal expressed skepticism about the longevity of Zcash's rally, noting that it is premature to determine whether this marks the start of a broader uptrend. He emphasized the need for the entire market to rise and maintain its trend to confirm a structural bull market, rather than just a rotation of capital.
Zcash, which is currently trading at $385.81, has experienced a significant increase of 699.07% since January 1, according to CoinMarketCap. However, the momentum has slowed, with the token's price declining by approximately 37% over the past 30 days. Pal highlighted the importance of Zcash establishing a strong floor price following its recent surge, indicating that a stable base would be a positive sign for future growth. Despite the recent gains, Pal expressed caution about purchasing Zcash at its current levels, suggesting he might consider buying during the next down cycle.
The rise in Zcash's price occurred even as the broader cryptocurrency market faced declines. Its market capitalization increased from under $1 billion in August to over $7 billion in early November. The surge was partly fueled by a prediction from crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes, who suggested that Zcash could eventually reach $10,000, leading to a 30% price increase in just 24 hours on October 26. Additionally, there has been a growing interest in privacy tokens as more market participants prioritize anonymity.
Institutional interest in Zcash has also been on the rise. On November 27, Grayscale Investments submitted a filing to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, indicating its intention to convert its Zcash fund into a spot ETF. This move follows Grayscale's launch of other spot ETFs linked to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), and XRP (XRP). The increasing institutional interest and the potential for a spot ETF could further influence Zcash's market dynamics in the future.