Polymarket has reported a significant increase in the probability of WTI crude oil prices dropping to $75 in April 2026, with the current probability standing at 39%, marking a 25% rise over the past 24 hours. According to ChainCatcher, the total trading volume for this event contract has exceeded $40 million. The contract rules specify that if the highest price of any one-minute candlestick for WTI crude oil futures during April 2026 equals or exceeds the listed price, the market will be deemed 'yes'; otherwise, it will be 'no'. Previously, the March WTI oil price prediction contract stipulated that if the official settlement price of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's crude oil futures contract for the current active month equals or exceeds the listed price by the last trading day of March 2026, the market will be deemed 'yes'; otherwise, it will be 'no'. U.S. President Donald Trump has stated that negotiations regarding the Iran conflict will continue over the weekend. When asked if Iran might impose restrictions or tolls on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, Trump asserted, "Absolutely not," and "There will be no tolls." Trump also mentioned receiving "quite good news" regarding the Iran issue but declined to provide further details. "Twenty minutes ago, we heard some quite good news, and it seems that progress in the Middle East concerning Iran is going very well," Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One. When asked about the specifics of the good news, Trump replied, "You will hear about it. I think it's something that should happen. It's the right thing to do, and I think it will happen. We'll see, but I think it will happen."

A significant investment has been made in the outcome of the MLB regular season game between the Texas Rangers and the Seattle Mariners. According to Odaily, an account with profits exceeding $500,000 has purchased positions worth approximately $630,000 favoring a Rangers victory, with an average opening price of 74.4¢. The game is set to take place at local time, with both teams closely ranked in their division, though the Rangers hold a slight advantage. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.

Bitdeer, a Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining company, has released its latest Bitcoin holdings data on the X platform. According to Odaily, as of the week ending April 17, Bitdeer produced 177 BTC through mining activities. However, the company sold an equivalent amount of 177 BTC during the same period, resulting in a net addition of zero BTC to its holdings. Bitdeer continues to maintain zero Bitcoin holdings.

Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示， Polymarket“WTI 原油将在 2026 年 4 月跌至 75 美元”概率大幅上涨，今日早间一度升至 65%，现报 39%，24 小时上涨 25%。截至目前 Polymarket“WTI 原油 2026 年 4 月价格”事件合约总交易量已超 4000 万美元。该事件合约规则为：如果在 2026 年 4 月期间 WTI 原油期货活跃月份的任何 1 分钟 K 线“最高价”等于或高于上市价格，则该市场将判定为“是”，否则该市场将判定为“否”；而此前 WTI 原油 3 月价格预测事件合约的规则为：在任何交易日的芝加哥商品交易所原油期货合约当前活跃月份(近月)的官方结算价等于或高于截至 2026 年 3 月最后一个交易日的上市价格，则该市场将判定为”是”，否则市场将判定为“否"。美国总统特朗普已表示，有关伊朗战争的谈判将在周末持续。被问及伊朗是否会对通过霍尔木兹海峡的船只通行实施限制或收取通行费时，特朗普称：“绝对不可能，”“不会有过路费。”特朗普此前还称伊朗问题传来一些“相当不错的消息”，但他拒绝透露更多细节。“20 分钟前我们听到了一些相当不错的消息，看来在中东方面与伊朗的相关进展非常顺利，”特朗普在空军一号上告诉记者。当被问及所谓的好消息是什么时，特朗普说道：“你们会听到的。我认为这是应该发生的。这是理所当然的事情。而且我认为它会发生。我们拭目以待，但我认为它会发生的。”Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场，在定价之前，看见变化。

Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示， 在 Polymarket“MLB 常规赛德州游骑兵对战西雅图水手”预测事件中，盈利超 50 万美元账户（0x5d58e38cd0a7e6f5fa67b7f9c2f70dd70df09a15）购入约 63 万美元游骑兵胜出头寸，开仓均价为 74.4¢。MLB 常规赛德州游骑兵对战西雅图水手将于当地时间进行，本场比赛双方分区排名接近，游骑兵略占优势。Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场，在定价之前，看见变化。

纳斯达克上市的比特币矿企 Bitdeer 在 X 平台发布比特币持仓最新数据，截至 4 月 17 日当周其比特币挖矿产出为 177 枚 BTC，但同期出售 177 枚 BTC，净新增 0 枚 BTC，当前仍维持比特币零持仓。

Pharos 主网上线在即，Topnod 钱包宣布正式成为 Layer1 公链 Pharos 官方合作伙伴。 作为 Pharos 生态的 Web2 原生入口，Topnod 旨在通过无需助记词、秒级上手的交互体验，打破 RWA 赛道的准入门槛。据悉，Topnod 将深度支持 Pharos TGE 后的官方空投活动，用户可直接在 Topnod 钱包内完成 $PROS 奖励赢取及链上交易。作为核心入口之一，Topnod 未来还将赋能 Pharos 链上 RWA 资产分发，助力 Web2 用户丝滑捕捉链上真实收益。

根据 SoSoValue 数据，昨日（美东时间 4 月 17 日）以太坊现货 ETF 总净流入 1.27 亿美元。昨日单日净流入最多的以太坊现货 ETF 为富达（Fidelity） ETF FETH，单日净流入为 8413.44 万美元，目前 FETH 历史总净流入达 23.56 亿美元。其次为贝莱德（Blackrock） ETF ETHA，单日净流入为 3079.51 万美元，目前 ETHA 历史总净流入达 118.30 亿美元。截至发稿前，以太坊现货 ETF 总资产净值为 142.63 亿美元，ETF 净资产比率（市值较以太坊总市值占比）达 4.87%，历史累计净流入已达 119.44 亿美元。

根据 SoSoValue 数据，昨日（美东时间 4 月 17 日）比特币现货 ETF 总净流入 6.64 亿美元。昨日单日净流入最多的比特币现货 ETF 为贝莱德 (Blackrock） ETF IBIT，单日净流入为 2.84 亿美元，目前 IBIT 历史总净流入达 646.33 亿美元。其次为富达 (Fidelity） ETF FBTC，单日净流入为 1.63 亿美元，目前 FBTC 历史总净流入达 110.09 亿美元。截至发稿前，比特币现货 ETF 总资产净值为 1014.53 亿美元，ETF 净资产比率（市值较比特币总市值占比）达 6.55%，历史累计净流入已达 577.40 亿美元。

Google's recent quantum computing research suggests that a Bitcoin key-recovery attack could be executed in approximately nine minutes if a target public key is exposed. According to NS3.AI, this scenario would require fewer than 500,000 physical qubits. The study indicates that around 6.9 million Bitcoin are currently at risk in wallets with exposed public keys.

这是一个缓慢而稳定的过程：将新的素养融入既有的体系。它意味着一种觉悟——要治理美元的未来，首先必须理解那种正在书写未来的语言。

今早AI圈炸了！从不融资的DeepSeek首度开口：寻求100亿美元估值，筹集3亿美元。V4即将来袭，万亿参数+华为昇腾加持，连老黄都慌了！

八个功能点。一条一条拆。 每一条背后，是一条产业链的葬礼。 这不是情绪，是商业逻辑。

金色财经推出《金色Web3.0日报》，为您提供最新、最快的MEME、DeFi、DAO、NFT和元宇宙行业新闻。

在币安 3 月底宣布整治主动做市商后，主动做市商开始行动了。

整体而言，尽管少数强势山寨币放大了行情效应，但多数资产仍处于流动性真空中。

比特币成功打破了 $62.8k–$ 72.6k 的僵持区间，一度触及 $74k 关口。这一突破在战略上标志着市场已从地缘政治诱发的“强制去杠杆”阶段进入“初步稳定期”。

围绕稳定币的讨论，市场长期聚焦于一个问题：谁将发行下一个主导性稳定币。

A group of Drift Protocol investors are seeking to bring stablecoin issuer Circle to court, blaming the company for its inaction following the Drift Protocol hack.

OpenAI has paused its Stargate UK data centre plan, saying energy costs and regulation were the main reasons. The UK AI minister disputes this, saying conditions have not changed and pointing instead to OpenAI’s financial pressures.