According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 1.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.8%, and the probability of raising rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 1.7%.

The CoinDesk 20 index recorded a minor decrease, trading at 2,007.93, reflecting a 0.2% drop or a decline of 3.4 points from the previous day's close. According to NS3.AI, individual asset performances varied, with HBAR experiencing a 1.9% decline and ADA falling by 1.3%. In contrast, AVAX saw a rise of 0.6%, while BTC increased by 0.3%.

Annex Wealth Management's Chief Economist, Brian Jacobsen, commented on April 10 that while he anticipated a rise in overall CPI due to increasing gasoline prices, the actual data was surprising. According to Jin10, Jacobsen noted that there is currently no evidence of high energy prices affecting core inflation. He explained that this process might take time to manifest, as businesses are likely to absorb most of the initial impact. In a way, consumers cutting back on other discretionary spending could potentially lower core inflation rather than increase it.

Citigroup economists have made a preliminary estimate that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will show a monthly increase of 0.3%, based on today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. According to Jin10, this figure exceeds the Federal Reserve's target of a 2% year-over-year increase but is an improvement over the 0.4% rise recorded in February. The Citigroup team noted that they will need to consider Producer Price Index (PPI) data to make a more accurate prediction for the PCE.

The probability of the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal by May 31 has significantly decreased on Polymarket, with a 6% drop in one hour and a 12% decline over 24 hours. According to Odaily, the event contract stipulates that if the International Monetary Fund's Portwatch reports a seven-day moving average of ship arrivals at the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 on any date from market creation until May 31, 2026, the market will resolve as 'yes'; otherwise, it will resolve as 'no'. The daily count includes container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and tankers, excluding those not reported by the IMF Portwatch. Pakistani media confirmed today that an Iranian delegation has arrived for negotiations, with major talks between Iran and the United States scheduled for tomorrow. The discussions in Pakistan will focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and extending the ceasefire. Additionally, the U.S. delegation participating in the talks has departed for Islamabad, Pakistan, with U.S. Vice President Vance already on board. Before departure, Vance expressed anticipation for the negotiations on the Iran issue, stating that U.S. President Donald Trump has provided 'quite clear guidelines' for the talks.

U.S. Vice President Vance has departed for Islamabad, Pakistan, aboard Air Force Two to participate in negotiations between the United States and Iran. According to BlockBeats, accompanying him are U.S. Special Envoy for Middle East Affairs, Whitaker, and U.S. President Donald Trump's son-in-law, Kushner. Before boarding, Vance expressed optimism about the upcoming talks with Iran, stating that he anticipates positive discussions in Islamabad. He emphasized that if Iran approaches the negotiations with sincerity, the United States will remain open-minded. However, he cautioned Iran against attempting to 'play games with the United States.' Vance noted that U.S. President Donald Trump has provided 'quite clear guidelines' for the negotiations.

Compared to the Federal Reserve's preferred PCE indicator, core CPI has consistently shown unusually small increases. Based on today's CPI data, Citigroup economists initially estimate a rounded-to-the-round month-over-month increase in core PCE of 0.3%. This level is higher than the Fed's 2% year-over-year target, but better than yesterday's data showing a 0.4% increase in February. The Citigroup team points out that they need to combine PPI data to make a more accurate forecast for PCE. (Jinshi)

Securitize, a platform specializing in the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), has announced its integration with the TRON network. According to Foresight News, this development enables Securitize to introduce its tokenized funds and securities onto the TRON blockchain. This integration marks a significant step in expanding the accessibility and functionality of tokenized assets within the blockchain ecosystem.

SimpleChain has announced the successful completion of a $15 million seed funding round. According to Foresight News, the funding was supported by family offices and institutional investors. SimpleChain aims to develop a Real World Asset (RWA) Layer 1 network, positioning itself as an 'Institutional OS' for RWA. The network will be powered by Granular Data and native CaaS, focusing on providing financial-grade infrastructure for the tokenization of real-world assets globally.

Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo of Goldman Sachs Asset Management said the market had already priced in strong inflation data, so today's in-line figures provided some relief. However, this may be the best overall inflation reading we'll see for some time to come, as it likely only partially reflects the full impact of the Iranian conflict, which at one point pushed U.S. crude and gasoline prices up by about 70%. She added, "The Fed has room to be patient, and there's good reason to be. Today's data bought the Fed time, but the real test is yet to come." (Jinshi)

No matter how advanced the large model becomes, the first principle in building an Agent will always be: let AI handle intelligence, and let code handle deterministic operations.

Why are there so many obstacles to the on-chain deployment of artificial intelligence, AI agents, and AI intelligent agents? Golden Finance: Blockchain is built for machines, but not designed for intelligent agents.

Regarding application scenarios and development directions, Yu Weiwen stated that issuers are encouraged to explore and expand applications related to the real economy, including cross-border payments, local payments, tokenized asset trading, and innovative applications.

AI is giving rise to a new type of startup: they don't need a large initial team, heavy fixed costs, or necessarily rely on multiple rounds of financing.

For Hong Kong, this round of stablecoin license issuance is not only an extension of the existing virtual asset framework, but also a key strategic move in the payment and settlement field.

Hong Kong has issued its first stablecoin issuer licences under its new regulatory regime, approving HSBC’s Hong Kong banking arm and a Standard Chartered-linked consortium led by Anchorpoint Financial.

Elon Musk’s AI firm xAI has filed a lawsuit against the state of Colorado, arguing that new regulations targeting algorithmic discrimination could restrict free speech and force its chatbot Grok to conform to state-defined standards on fairness and equity.

On April 10, 2026, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced that the Monetary Commissioner had granted stablecoin issuer licenses to Idle Fintech Limited and The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited under the Stablecoin Ordinance to issue stablecoins in Hong Kong.

Japan has approved a bill moving cryptocurrency under financial securities law, introducing insider trading rules, stricter penalties, and annual disclosure requirements for issuers.

After a 70% drop in node count, Solana is now in a panic. According to Jinse Finance, the number of Solana nodes has decreased by 70% from its historical high.