Crypto economist Timothy Peterson's latest analysis points out that Bitcoin still has structural upside potential during the current bear market correction: 50% of the past 24 months have recorded positive returns (according to CoinGlass data, positive return months in 2025 include January, April, May, June, July, and September). This indicator suggests a high probability of a positive return inflection point in any 24-month cycle. Peterson extrapolates that there is an 88% probability that Bitcoin will be higher than its current level in the next 10 months (until December 2026). He emphasizes that this statistical model suggests the market may be approaching a turning point, rather than continuing its downward trend. Currently, Bitcoin is priced at approximately $68,173, down nearly 25% from its year-to-date high, erasing most of the gains following the 2024-2025 US election; the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has fallen to "Extreme Fear" 9 points, and social media Bitcoin prediction activity is drying up (Santiment data), indicating a neutral sentiment. (Cointelegraph)

Kalshi's trading platform is poised to surpass its previous record with a projected nominal trading volume of $10.1 billion for February. According to NS3.AI, this would exceed the $9.5 billion record set in January. As of February 18th, Kalshi reported a monthly volume of $6.5 billion, with an average daily volume of $361 million. This sustained high trading activity underscores increasing user engagement on the platform.

Economist Timothy Peterson expects Bitcoin to trade above its current level by December, though some analysts are pushing back on that view. source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-uptrend-economist-forecast-december?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

According to a recent tweet from Santiment, XRP has just experienced its largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022. The analytics firm noted that when a similar weekly milestone of approximately -$1. 93 billion in realized losses occurred 39 months ago, XRP went on to rally 114% over the following eight months source: https://www.ethnews.com/xrp-records-largest-realized-loss-spike-since-2022/

EigenCloud (EIGEN) is set to unlock approximately 38. 35 million tokens on March 1 at 5 a. m. UTC+8. According to ChainCatcher, this token release is valued at around $7. 5 million, based on data from the Web3 asset data platform RootData. source: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/294251808465618?utm_source=BinanceNewsRSS

EigenCloud (EIGEN) is set to unlock approximately 38.35 million tokens on March 1 at 5 a.m. UTC+8. According to ChainCatcher, this token release is valued at around $7.5 million, based on data from the Web3 asset data platform RootData.

Audiera is set to unlock approximately 21. 25 million tokens on March 1 at 9 a. m. UTC+8. According to ChainCatcher, this token release is part of the schedule outlined by the Web3 asset data platform RootData. The tokens are valued at around $5. 22 million. source: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/294251787340513?utm_source=BinanceNewsRSS

Audiera is set to unlock approximately 21.25 million tokens on March 1 at 9 a.m. UTC+8. According to ChainCatcher, this token release is part of the schedule outlined by the Web3 asset data platform RootData. The tokens are valued at around $5.22 million.

KalshiData stated on the X platform that Kalshi's cumulative nominal trading volume has exceeded $43 billion, reaching $43.107 billion.

KalshiData stated on its X platform that as of February 18th, Kalshi's monthly notional trading volume was approximately $6.5 billion, with a daily average of approximately $361 million. If this pace continues, Kalshi's notional trading volume in February is projected to reach $10.1 billion. Previous reports indicated that Kalshi's notional trading volume in January exceeded $9.5 billion, setting a new monthly record.

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