Following a significant decline in the first quarter, U.S. stocks have rebounded, influenced by geopolitical tensions and interest rate dynamics. According to Jin10, Wall Street is experiencing a divergence between bullish and bearish sentiments, with April potentially marking a decisive period for the market. Analysts are closely monitoring these factors as they continue to shape investor behavior and market trends.

Circle has unveiled cirBTC, a fully on-chain verified wrapped Bitcoin token backed 1:1 by native BTC reserves

Estimated liquidations in the crypto perpetual futures market have exceeded $209 million over the past 24 hours. According to NS3.AI, Bitcoin accounted for $112.28 million of these liquidations. Short positions were predominant across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana contracts.

Ceasefire expectations between the U.S. and Iran have increased significantly, according to BlockBeats. PolyBeats monitoring indicates that the probability of a ceasefire by the end of April has risen from 18% to 28%, by the end of May from 34% to 42%, and by the end of June to 53%. This surge in expectations is largely driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's ultimatum for peace talks with Iran, which has set a deadline for negotiations by Tuesday 8 p.m. Eastern Time (Wednesday 8 a.m. UTC+8). Additionally, various reports have bolstered ceasefire prospects, with sources revealing that the U.S., Iran, and regional mediators are discussing a potential 45-day ceasefire agreement that could lead to a permanent end to the conflict. Iran and Oman also held talks on Saturday to explore options for ensuring safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of a ceasefire between the US and Iran by April 30th on Polymarket briefly surged to 32%, currently trading at 28%, a 10% increase in the last 24 hours. The total trading volume for the "When Will the US and Iran Reach a Ceasefire?" event contract has now exceeded $95 million. The contract's rules state that if the US and Iran reach a formal ceasefire agreement (defined as a public announcement and mutual agreement to cease direct military action) before a specified date (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will mark it as "yes"; otherwise, it will be "no." A "formal ceasefire agreement" requires explicit public confirmation from both the US and Iranian governments that they have agreed to cease military hostilities against each other, or overwhelming consensus confirmed through media reports. Currently, the US, Iran, and regional mediators are urgently negotiating a 45-day temporary ceasefire agreement, aiming to create space for a permanent end to the war. The urgency stems from Trump's ultimatum, extending the original Monday deadline by 20 hours, with the new deadline set for 8 PM Eastern Time on Tuesday. The discussions reportedly focus on a two-phase plan: the first phase involves a 45-day temporary ceasefire during which both sides will initiate in-depth negotiations on a permanent ceasefire, which could be further extended if progress is smooth; the second phase involves reaching a final agreement, which will cover the complete reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the disposal of Iran's highly enriched uranium (including removal from Iran or dilution). Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing them in.

James Wynn, a trader known for shorting Bitcoin, has faced a significant financial setback. According to PANews, Wynn's account was forcibly liquidated, causing his funds to plummet from $100 million to just $900. This dramatic decrease highlights the risks associated with short selling in the volatile cryptocurrency market.

Drift Protocol was hacked on April 1, 2026, losing $285 million in minutes as an attacker drained funds using a fake token and manipulated oracles.

Changpeng Zhao (CZ), founder of Binance, shared an excerpt from his book Freedom of Money on X,  recounting the moment Binance went live on July 14, 2017. The passage describes the team counting down to launch with the BNB trading page open, only to see the screen flood immediately with sell orders and no buy orders. As a handful of bids appeared at low prices they were quickly taken, and BNB's price began to decline. "This is not good, right?" CZ writes that he murmured. The room, initially filled with anticipation, fell silent. The personal memoir titled: Freedom of Money: A Memoir of Protecting Users, Resilience, and the Founding of Binance, is scheduled for release on April 8, 2026.

Circle's Arc blockchain has announced a roadmap for post-quantum security design, aiming to proactively defend against potential threats posed by quantum computing to blockchain technology. According to Foresight News, the roadmap focuses on ensuring end-to-end security for wallets, private states, validators, and infrastructure. The plan includes supporting quantum-resistant wallet signature schemes upon the mainnet launch. In the short term, quantum-resistant private state protection will be implemented through private virtual machines. Over the medium to long term, there will be gradual upgrades to infrastructure and validator signatures. Arc's quantum-resistant design features full-stack coverage and user-selectable options, supporting quantum-resistant wallets and private smart contract state protection. It is also compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) ecosystem, avoiding the need for large-scale mandatory migrations.

Hyperbot data reveals that prominent trader Huang Licheng has closed his BTC and HYPE long positions. According to Odaily, he currently maintains a 25x leveraged long position on 8,200 ETH, with a liquidation price of $2,002. The total value of his position stands at $17.54 million, with an unrealized profit of $465,000. Additionally, he has placed 33 ETH limit sell orders in the $2,141-$2,200 range. Over the past week, Huang Licheng closed 10 trades, achieving a profit in 8 of them, resulting in an 80% success rate.

Brother Machi has closed all his Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE long positions this morning. According to NS3.AI, Hyperbot data revealed an 80% win rate across 10 closed trades over the past week. Despite these closures, Brother Machi continues to maintain a 25x leveraged Ethereum long position, backed by 8,200 ETH.

WTI crude oil prices have dropped below $110 per barrel, experiencing a 2.06% decline intraday. According to NS3.AI, this decrease reflects ongoing market volatility and investor concerns over global economic conditions. The oil market has been influenced by various factors, including geopolitical tensions and fluctuating demand forecasts, contributing to the current price movement.

The turmoil in energy and fertilizer markets triggered by the war in Iran is threatening global agricultural markets and food prices.

The war with Iran has disrupted market predictions for 2026. Joseph Powers, chief investment officer at wealth management firm RWA Wealth, believes there are still many opportunities.

Golden Weekly is a weekly blockchain industry summary column launched by Golden Finance, covering key news, mining information, project updates, technological advancements, and other industry dynamics.

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