Key Takeaways:Ether futures and options markets signal neutral-to-bearish sentiment despite recent price gains.$129M in outflows from ETH ETFs last week show declining institutional appetite.Ethereum’s TVL dropped 9% in the past 30 days, compared to gains on BNB Chain and Solana.Without a fresh catalyst or strong institutional inflows, ETH is unlikely to break above $3,800 in the near term.ETH Struggles to Sustain Recovery Above $3,700Ether (ETH) has rebounded nearly 9% from Sunday’s low of $3,355, trading around $3,725 at the time of writing. However, on-chain and derivatives data reveal underlying market skepticism regarding the sustainability of this bounce. Despite the upward move, ETH continues to face major resistance at $3,800, a level it briefly touched in late July.The absence of a breakout coincides with a broader slowdown in the altcoin market, where capitalization peaked at $1.3 trillion on July 28, marking ETH’s highest 2025 price. That peak was quickly followed by ETF outflows, weak derivatives momentum, and a drop in total value locked (TVL) across Ethereum-based decentralized apps.ETH Futures and Options Indicate Waning ConfidenceThe three-month ETH futures premium, which typically reflects trader sentiment and institutional positioning, currently sits at just 5% — a neutral-to-bearish threshold. This level failed to rise even when ETH neared $3,900 last week, suggesting traders expect limited upside in the short term.Options market data backs up the bearish outlook. The 25% delta skew, a measure of demand for put (sell) vs. call (buy) options, touched 6% on Saturday, showing a tilt toward protective strategies. While the skew has since fallen to 3%, the sentiment remains tentatively neutral, far from bullish.Declining Ethereum TVL Hits Investor SentimentAnother bearish signal is Ethereum’s declining Total Value Locked (TVL), which has dropped 9% over the past 30 days to 23.8 million ETH, according to DeFiLlama. In contrast:BNB Chain’s TVL rose 8% to 6.94 billion BNB.Solana TVL increased 4% to 69.2 million SOL.Although Ethereum still dominates in USD-denominated TVL with a 59% market share, the decline in ETH-denominated deposits points to weaker demand for Ethereum-based DeFi protocols.ETF Outflows and Exchange Discounts Signal Weaker Institutional DemandEther has also seen a sharp drop in ETF inflows. Between Wednesday and Friday, ETH spot ETFs recorded net outflows of $129 million, according to SoSoValue. This follows a 20-day inflow streak and reflects broader risk-off behavior among institutional investors.Compounding this is the emerging discount in ETH prices on Coinbase and Kraken, compared to Binance and Bitfinex. Since U.S.-based platforms are often favored by institutions, this price divergence signals reduced U.S. institutional participation — a sharp contrast to the July 10–23 period, when Coinbase premiums reflected active ETH accumulation by funds.Lack of Catalysts Leaves ETH Tied to Broader MarketEther remains highly correlated with overall altcoin performance and macroeconomic conditions. Global trade war risks, U.S. labor market uncertainty, and cautious central bank policy continue to weigh on investor sentiment.In the absence of clear catalysts — such as a surge in ETH staking, major L2 activity, or successful ETF traction — Ethereum’s price is unlikely to decouple from the broader crypto market. The recent pullback in Total Value Locked, falling ETF demand, and muted derivatives positioning all reinforce the case for continued consolidation below $3,800.Despite a 9% recovery from recent lows, Ether’s upward momentum is limited by weak institutional demand, ETF outflows, and a lack of new catalysts. With ETH trading at a discount on U.S. exchanges and DeFi deposits falling, there’s little evidence to support a breakout above $3,800 in the short term.Unless institutional inflows return or macro conditions improve, ETH is likely to remain locked in a broader altcoin-dependent sideways range, mirroring investor caution across the digital asset market, according to Cointelegraph.

The U. S. CFTC has initiated a framework for listing spot crypto assets on registered futures exchanges. source: https://coincu.com/352617-cftc-launches-crypto-sprint-to-enable

Ethereum's monthly onchain transaction volume stood at over $238 billion, while Ethereum also saw 46. 67 million transactions on the network. source: https://www.theblock.co/post/365482/ethereums-onchain-revival-on-full-display-last-month-as-transaction-volume-nears-240-billion?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Handle’s H.A.L. NFT Collection is revolutionizing the concept of virtual identity within the Cardano blockchain ecosystem, offering innovative and unique digital assets that allow users to express themselves in unprecedented ways. source: https://blocknews.com/handles-h-a-l-nft-collection-redefines-virtual-identity-on-cardano/

Key Highlights:Bitcoin faces stiff resistance at $117K and $120K amid macro uncertainty and ETF outflows.ETH, XRP, BNB, and SOL show fragile rebounds, with altcoin rallies likely delayed.DOGE, ADA, and XLM remain range-bound, with sellers active on minor rallies.Institutional buying continues despite retail caution, with Metaplanet and SharpLink accumulating BTC and ETH.Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: Bulls Defend $112K, Eyes on $117K ResistancePrice: $115,219Bitcoin is attempting a rebound from the critical support at $112,000 but faces intense resistance at $117,000 and then $120,000. The 20-day SMA near $117,237 and a weakening RSI signal that bears are attempting to regain control.A decisive move above $117K would open the path to $120K–$123,218. On the downside, failure to hold $110,530 could see BTC retest $105K and potentially drop to $100K, as noted by Arthur Hayes.ETF redemptions remain a concern. Friday saw $812 million in BTC ETF outflows, showing institutional caution.Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction: Bulls Defend Fibonacci LevelsPrice: $3,727Ethereum is holding above key retracement support between $3,422 and $3,300, but upside attempts may stall near the 20-day SMA at $3,652. If bulls break that, ETH could test $3,941, then $4,094.SharpLink's purchase of 30,755 ETH at $3,530 shows ongoing confidence, despite $152M in ETF outflows on Friday. A drop below $3,354 could send ETH down to the 50-day SMA at $3,013.XRP Price Prediction: Range-Bound Between SMAsPrice: $3.07XRP bounced off the 50-day SMA at $2.66 but faces resistance near $3.19 (20-day SMA). A breakout above this could trigger a rally toward $3.33 and $3.66.If bulls fail and price breaks below $2.66, expect a deeper correction to $2.40. The RSI and moving averages show a balanced but cautious market.BNB Price Prediction: Holding Key Support at $732Price: $766.83BNB rebounded from strong support at $732, but upside will face selling at the 20-day SMA ($769). A clean break above that level could lead to a rally toward $794 and $815.If BNB breaks below $732, the next support lies at the 50-day SMA ($702).Solana (SOL) Price Prediction: Bears and Bulls in StandoffPrice: $168.63SOL dipped below its 50-day SMA at $161 but bounced back. The RSI and moving averages indicate indecision. A move above $179 (20-day SMA) may trigger a rally toward $195.Conversely, a break below $155 could send SOL tumbling to $144 or even $137.Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Prediction: Consolidation ContinuesPrice: $0.2095DOGE remains stuck in a long-term range between $0.14 and $0.29. A move above the 20-day SMA ($0.22) would be the first bullish signal, targeting $0.26 and $0.29.If DOGE fails to reclaim short-term moving averages, a drop below $0.19 (50-day SMA) could push it back to $0.14.Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction: Buyers and Sellers Evenly MatchedPrice: $0.7547ADA rebounded from the 50-day SMA ($0.68). With both SMAs flattening and the RSI near neutral, expect sideways action unless one side takes clear control.A break above the 20-day SMA could push ADA to $0.80, while a move below $0.68 could open a path to $0.50.Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction: Bouncing From Fibonacci SupportPrice: $0.4152XLM is attempting to bounce from the 61.8% retracement level at $0.34, but the rally may face resistance at $0.43 (20-day SMA).If the price turns down again, the 50-day SMA ($0.33) will be the last major support. A breakdown could drag XLM to $0.29. A close above $0.43 would be bullish, with upside targets at $0.46 and $0.49.Macro Outlook: S&P 500 and US Dollar Index in FocusS&P 500: Still bullish but facing resistance near all-time highs. A break below 6,139 (50-day SMA) may trigger more profit-taking.US Dollar Index (DXY): Trying to hold above moving averages; resistance at 100.54 and then 102. A drop below 98 would favor risk-on assets like crypto.Bitcoin's recovery toward $117K may determine the next move for altcoins, but ETF outflows and macro headwinds are dampening sentiment. Traders are watching for clear breakouts from resistance zones across ETH, SOL, BNB, and DOGE, while BTC ETF flows remain the biggest wildcard in gauging institutional appetite.

Solana Mobile stands to earn at least $67. 5 million from sales of the Seeker, which had pre-orders many times higher than the first-generation device. source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/solana-mobile-device-seeker-ships-50-countries?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

null source: https://x.com/BTC_Archive/status/1952493953242001545

Key Takeaways:Bitcoin targets $116,000 as bulls test key resistance after weekend recovery.Strong buy support is seen near $112K–$110K if price corrects.Spot Bitcoin ETF flows and declining leverage may determine next market direction.ETF outflows hit $812M Friday, but traders look for renewed inflows this week.Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering near $116,000 as traders focus on a key liquidity wall amid growing anticipation of a bullish reversal. Exchange order book data and ETF netflows suggest the market is at a critical juncture, with both upside and downside liquidity zones in play.Bitcoin Price Tests Resistance at $116KBitcoin rebounded from weekend lows and traded at $115,732 on Bitstamp as of Monday's U.S. market open. Analysts are eyeing the $116K level as the next major target, coinciding with a CME futures gap filled over the weekend.“After completely filling the Daily CME Gap, Bitcoin will now try to exit this gap in an effort to reclaim levels above,” said market analyst Rekt Capital.Order book data from CoinGlass revealed a dense wall of sell orders around $115,800–$116,000, suggesting this level may be a near-term ceiling unless broken with strong momentum.Support Zones at $112K and BelowBuy-side liquidity remains strong, with bids stacked between $113,800 and $112,000, and additional interest near the old all-time high of $110,000.“$BTC above $115,850 will confirm that the $112k area was likely the bottom,” noted trader BigMike7335, highlighting key Fibonacci support levels.“If downside gets swept first — expect a bounce near $110.5K,” added trader Cipher X, suggesting that any pullback could be short-lived.ETF Netflows, Leverage Reset Key to DirectionCrypto trading firm QCP Capital said in a note that Bitcoin’s correction appears “more corrective than capitulatory,” following its highest monthly close on record in July.“Historically, such post-rally shakeouts, particularly those that flush out excess leverage, have laid the groundwork for renewed accumulation,” QCP noted.According to CoinGlass, Bitcoin futures open interest dropped to its lowest since July 10, signaling that a major leverage reset may be complete.Still, ETF sentiment remains mixed. Friday saw $812 million in net outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs — the second-largest daily outflow on record. However, traders are closely watching Monday’s and Tuesday’s netflows for signs of institutional reaccumulation.“Spot levels near $112K warrant vigilance, especially amid persistent macro uncertainty,” QCP added. “But signs of stabilization, such as renewed spot ETF inflows, declining implied vols and narrowing skew, would be constructive.”Liquidity Compression Sets Up for BreakoutBitcoin's current range between $112K and $116K is compressing liquidity, with ETF flows and macro conditions likely to determine the breakout direction.While July’s Fed policy dampened sentiment temporarily, the cooling U.S. labor market and rising expectations of a September rate cut may reignite institutional buying if macro headwinds subside, according to Cointelegraph.

The reduction affects teams across Lido Labs, Lido Alliance, and the Ecosystem. source: https://cryptopotato.com/lido-slashes-15-of-staff-cites-operational-cost-concerns/

Crypto market today: key points source: https://u.today/xrp-3-comeback-journey-begins-bitcoin-banned-in-china-again-shiba-inu-stagnates-crypto-news-digest

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