The Federal Reserve has made it clear that the main theme of monetary policy in 2025-2026 will no longer be "fighting inflation" or "soft landing," but rather "preventing a liquidity crisis." All subsequent macroeconomic narratives must be reconstructed around this new theme.

Stellar is drawing renewed attention after analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a fresh buy signal on XLM’s weekly chart, one that previously marked the start of a 95% rally. The signal appears again inside the same demand zone where past reversals have formed, prompting traders to reassess XLM’s short-term setup. source: https://www.ethnews.com/stellar-shows-new-buy-signal-as-xlm-holds-key-support-zone/

الرؤى الرئيسية سجّل سعر الإيثريوم اليوم قفزة هائلة تجاوزت 6% مع تحول معنويات سوق العُملات الرقمية الأوسع نطاقًا إلى إيجابية قبل قرار اللجنة الفيدرالية للسوق المفتوحة الأمريكية بخفض أسعار الفائدة. والجدير بالذكر أن الارتفاع القوي في سعر الإيثيريوم قد فاق سعر البيتكوين والعملات البديلة الأخرى، مما أثار المزيد من التفاؤل بين المتداولين. source: https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/ar/2025/12/11/%d8%a3%d9%87%d9%85-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%b3%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%a8-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%aa%d9%8a-%d9%82%d8%af-%d8%aa%d8%ac%d8%b9%d9%84-%d8%b3%d8%b9%d8%b1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a5%d9%8a%d8%ab%d8%b1%d9%8a%d9%88%d9%85/

Canada targets Dapper Labs users in a crypto tax probe after collecting millions through audits but struggling to bring criminal charges. source: https://catenaa.com/markets/cryptocurrencies/canada-seeks-dapper-labs-user-data-in-crypto-tax-probe/

Tydro, the lending protocol backed by Aave, currently has nearly $600 million in deposits and $250 million in loans. Deposits have grown by 50% and loans by 85% in the past month. The recent growth has primarily come from re-collateralized ETH. ezETH and wrsETH now have over $100 million in deposits used as collateral on Tydro.

Cryptocurrency trading platform Ave.ai officially released a major update today for its Android version, version 2.3.06, focusing on user experience optimization to create a more efficient and reliable trading environment. This version is now available for download, and users can upgrade immediately. A new feature update for iOS is also coming soon. Highlights of this update include: 1. New Homepage Design: The new homepage adopts a minimalist style for a cleaner visual experience. Users can directly access popular token trading areas from the homepage, eliminating the need for navigating through layers of links. 2. Bot Copy Trading System: The innovative Bot copy trading function is directly introduced into the app, allowing users to follow the trading strategies of experienced wallet holders with a single click. The system includes a built-in risk filtering mechanism to help beginners avoid common pitfalls and make earning money simpler and more reliable. 3. Multi-Signature Wallet Upgrade (Added Bitcoin and Polygon Support): To address users' common concerns about asset theft, Ave.ai has strengthened its multi-signature wallet mechanism, now fully supporting the Bitcoin and Polygon networks. Users need multi-party authorization to execute transactions. Offline multisignature wallets are currently the most secure asset storage method proven by facts, surpassing the security of hardware wallets. Multisignature wallet solutions for Solana, BNBchain, and the Ethereum blockchain will be launched subsequently. An Ave.ai spokesperson stated, “We are always user-centric, and this update is a key step in the evolution of our platform ecosystem. Ave.ai will continue to strengthen its characteristics as an industry-leading wallet product and trading platform, providing users with the most convenient asset management services and the strongest trading services. Ensuring the safety of users' assets within the platform and achieving faster and greater asset appreciation is Ave.ai's unwavering pursuit.”

ASIC has removed separate licensing requirements for intermediaries distributing stablecoins and wrapped tokens. source: https://cryptonews.com/news/asic-finalizes-exemptions-to-boost-stablecoin-and-wrapped-token-distribution/

XRP retreated 4.3% on Wednesday, dropping from $2.09 to $2.00 as traders unwound risk following Bitcoin profit-taking — despite institutional flows into XRP ETFs surging well above trend. The move highlights a growing divergence between strong fundamental inflows and short-term technical weakness in the token.Institutional trading activity spiked 54% above the weekly average, signaling strategic selling at resistance, not retail-driven panic.What You Need to KnowXRP fell 4.3%, underperforming the broader crypto market by ~1%.Institutional flows jumped 54% above the 7-day average — consistent with distribution at resistance.ETF inflows remain strong, but XRP continues to fail at the $2.09–$2.10 ceiling.Exchange balances dropped to 2.6B tokens, the lowest in 60 days — tightening long-term supply.The rejection at $2.08 triggered a 205% volume surge (172.8M tokens), flipping the move into a clean failed breakout and driving price back to the $2.00 psychological support.Market BackgroundU.S. spot XRP ETFs added another $170 million in inflows this week — marking yet another week of zero outflows.Market makers report heavy layered sell pressure above $2.10, with persistent offers blocking upside.Exchange-held XRP supply dropped from 3.95B → 2.6B over two months, a structurally bullish signal despite near-term weakness.XRP lagged peers as the CD5 index fell 3.1%, suggesting the move was token-specific, not macro-led.The result is a market caught between strong long-term accumulation and short-term technical rejection.Price Action SummaryHigh → Low: $2.09 → $2.00Daily range: 5.4%Peak volume: 172.8M at 19:00 UTC (205% above daily avg)Resistance rejections: Multiple failures at $2.08–$2.10Late-session stabilization: Higher lows forming at $1.999–$2.005Technical AnalysisSupport$2.00: Psychological level and first defensive line$1.95: Secondary demand zone from prior accumulationResistance$2.09–$2.10: The key barrier; sellers defending aggressivelyA close above $2.10 flips structure short-term bullishVolume Structure54% above weekly trend → institutional flows, not retail breakdownVolume spike during the failed breakout confirms active sell wallsMarket StructurePrice remains inside a multi-month triangular compression, tightening as exchange supply falls.Short-term momentum bearish, with bounce attempts capped under $2.08.What Traders Are Watching$2.00 test #2: A breakdown exposes $1.95 quickly.ETF inflows: Continued inflows offset spot weakness; any slowdown would remove a key support pillar.Breakout confirmation: Requires multiple hourly closes above $2.10 with sustained >100M volume.Compression setup: Structure suggests the next breakout or breakdown will be larger than the last.Shrinking exchange supply: The wildcard — thinner supply can accelerate moves once direction confirms.

Charlie Ripley, Vice President of Portfolio Management at Allianz Investment Management, stated in a report that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and his team are in a difficult position, as they must continue to find a balance between their dual mandates of employment and inflation. Ripley said, "Looking ahead, this is likely the last rate cut implemented by Chairman Powell. While we are not yet back to neutral in terms of interest rates, we can say that substantial progress has been made in curbing inflation." He pointed out that whoever is the next Fed chairman will face the same challenging balancing act, especially given the continued strong hawkish expectations for a policy stance following the rotation of voting members. (Jinshi)

Norway’s central bank says a digital krone is unnecessary for now, citing an already efficient and secure payment system. source: https://cryptonews.com/news/norway-rules-out-immediate-need-cbdc-heres-why/

The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected 25 bps rate cut on Wednesday, lowering the target range to 3.50%–3.75%, but uncertain forward guidance from Chair Jerome Powell dampened expectations for a near-term Bitcoin breakout.Analysts say Powell’s remarks — neither fully hawkish nor dovish — signal that the meaningful portion of the easing cycle may not begin until 2026, leaving crypto markets without a strong macro catalyst in the short term.Powell Warns of “No Risk-Free Path,” Signals Caution AheadAt the December FOMC meeting, Powell emphasized the complexity of the current economic landscape:“In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside and risks to employment to the downside — a challenging situation. There is no risk-free path for policy.”While the comments were softer than some feared, they lacked the clarity markets hoped for. According to Coin Bureau founder Nic Puckrin, Powell’s communication suggests only one rate cut may materialize in 2026 under his leadership.Puckrin noted that liquidity, not rates, will be the key macro driver:“Attention will turn to liquidity and the Fed’s balance sheet policy in early 2026. Despite the Treasury bill purchase announced today, quantitative easing isn’t coming until things start breaking — and that always means more volatility and potential pain.”Market Data Shows Traders Skeptical of Further Cuts Before 2026Bitcoin typically benefits from lower rates and increased liquidity, but futures traders remain cautious.Only 24.4% of the market currently expects another rate cut at the January 2026 FOMC meeting, according to CME FedWatch data.This uncertainty follows months of missing economic data due to the U.S. government shutdown — a gap Powell acknowledged during the press conference.Meanwhile, BTC traded around $90,375 following the announcement, holding within its recent range but lacking directional conviction.Inside the Fed’s Assessment: Growth Resilient, Housing Weak, Inflation StubbornPowell said consumer spending and business investment remain “solid,” while labor markets continue to show low layoffs and stable hiring.However, he emphasized that inflation remains elevated, and the housing sector shows persistent weakness, limiting the Fed’s room for aggressive easing.The lack of recent public economic reports has forced the Fed to rely heavily on market-based indicators — a point Powell admitted may complicate policymaking.Politics Loom Over Monetary Policy: Trump Signals Incoming Fed Leadership ShiftWith Powell’s term set to expire in May 2026, President Donald Trump has been openly weighing a replacement.Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council and a former adviser to Coinbase’s Academic and Regulatory Advisory Council, is widely viewed as the frontrunner.Trump has already signaled that the next chair will be expected to accelerate rate cuts, adding political pressure to an already delicate macro environment.Bitcoin Rally Delayed, Not CanceledThe Fed’s December decision reinforces a familiar short-term setup:Rates are lower, but not enough to trigger a risk-asset surge.Forward guidance is mixed, limiting near-term conviction.Liquidity injections have begun, but QE remains off the table until conditions worsen.BTC derivatives show skepticism, with limited expectations of a breakout before 2026.In other words, Bitcoin may remain range-bound until clearer signals emerge from the Fed — or until the next phase of easing begins.

The Federal Reserve announced overnight that it would begin purchasing short-term Treasury bonds as needed, and the New York Fed simultaneously announced plans to buy $40 billion in short-term Treasury bonds over the next 30 days. Although the RMP is not QE, the market did not care, and US Treasuries, US stocks, gold and crude oil all rose.

Ken realized that cryptocurrency was nothing more than a casino, not a revolution. But the real answer was: pragmatic optimism was the right attitude.

The gradual print begins.

The Federal Reserve ended the year with a 25 basis point rate cut, but why are internal divisions still intensifying? The dot plot and Powell's press conference were more dovish than the market expected; what are the reasons behind this, and how should we interpret them? Where will the market go from here?

In short: The 25bps rate cut was in line with expectations, but the dot plot and press conference information were more dovish than the market expected.

Powell, Federal Reserve, interest rate cuts, tariffs, inflation; Powell's underlying message: a carefully designed "scapegoating" and farewell. Golden Finance: Will there only be one interest rate cut next year?

美联储,降息,鲍威尔,货币政策,2025年12月美联储议息会议实录：RMP来了 金色财经,美联储RMP来了。

The UAE has a very clear macroeconomic strategy: to accelerate its transformation from a past oil-based economy to a future-oriented fintech hub. The crypto industry is a key sector for this leapfrog development, and it is currently in a relatively advantageous position.

Jinse Finance launches its daily cryptocurrency and blockchain news bulletin, "Jinse 8 AM," issue 2905, providing you with the latest and fastest news on the digital currency and blockchain industry.