A New Interpretation of Market Cycle Prediction from a Dynamic Probability Perspective in the Crypto Market (Jinse Finance): Tactical Defense, Not Strategic Retreat, is Needed.

There are no shortcuts in the cryptocurrency world, no magic tokens, and no "once-in-a-lifetime" get-rich-quick schemes. But the key lies in a clear mindset.

Key TakeawaysXRP price jumped 11.16% to $2.53 amid ETF optimism and U.S. stimulus and shutdown resolutionWhales reduced selling, easing $650 million in outflows, signaling possible market stabilizationResistance zone between $2.60–$2.80 remains key, with $3.00 as a major psychological target XRP Jumps on Stimulus and ETF MomentumXRP price surged 11.16% to trade around $2.53, buoyed by a mix of macro optimism and ETF-related speculation.The rally followed U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a $2,000 stimulus check for most Americans and a bipartisan agreement in the U.S. Senate to end the government shutdown.Additionally, new XRP ETF filings were seen on the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), triggering a 20-day SEC review countdown and fueling renewed speculative positioning across the crypto market. The DTCC listings included Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, Canary Capital, 21Shares, and CoinShares. Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute and President of the ETF Store, wrote on X that “government shutdown ending [equals] spot crypto ETF floodgates opening. In meantime, could see first [Securities Act of 1933] spot XRP ETF launch this week.” Technical Indicators: Neutral Momentum, Growing StrengthAccording to the latest oscillator and moving average data, XRP’s technical outlook shows steady recovery signals and emerging bullish momentum:Relative Strength Index (RSI): 53.49, showing neutral momentum with room for further upsideMomentum (10): 0.03457, suggesting upward movement after recent consolidationMACD Level (12, 26): –0.06355, flattening near equilibrium, a potential trend reversal pointSource: TradingViewWhat the moving averages show:The Exponential Moving Average (10) sits at 2.38877, while the Simple Moving Average (10) is 2.36086, both below the current market price — reflecting short-term bullish momentum.The 50-day EMA at 2.56543 and 100-day SMA at 2.80213 form a critical resistance cluster between $2.60–$2.80, aligning with on-chain data showing 1.86 billion XRP held at these levels.Source: TradingView Profit-Taking and Whale Behavior Suggest CautionDespite the surge, on-chain data from Glassnode show profit realization volume rising 240%, from $65M to $220M per day since late September, as long-term holders locked in gains.Meanwhile, Santiment data indicate that whales holding 1M–10M XRP reduced their collective holdings from 7B to 6.23B XRP, offloading around 500,000 tokens over 48 hours.However, the $650 million in recent whale outflows appears to be stabilizing, hinting at reduced selling pressure and a possible bottom formation. What’s Next for XRP: Resistance Challenges and OutlookXRP faces significant hurdles ahead. The $2.60–$2.80 zone represents the 50 and 100-day moving averages and a dense supply cluster, marking the next major test for the bulls.A decisive close above $2.60 could open the path toward $3.00–$3.40, while failure to hold current levels risks a correction back to $2.30.Technical analyst ChartNerd noted that clearing $2.70 resistance would be crucial for XRP to target its seven-year high of $3.66.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Coinbase's token sale platform will conduct monthly token sales, using an algorithm to determine token allocation to investors, aiming for a broad and fair distribution. Investors can submit purchase requests within one week. Investors must have a good credit history, be registered with Coinbase, and comply with relevant regulations to use the platform. Token purchases will support USDC payments. The token sale platform will initially be open to individual investors in most parts of the world, with plans for further expansion in the future.

Jinse Finance launches the "Jinse Web3.0 Daily," providing you with the latest and fastest news on MEME, DeFi, DAO, NFT, and the metaverse industry.

Federal Reserve Chairman Daly stated that the Fed does not want to make the mistake of keeping interest rates unchanged for too long. He acknowledged that the Fed is indeed in a period of low inflation and low job growth, and that financial conditions are one of many factors in its decisions. Historically, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has been more divided in the past than it is now. (Jinshi)

Binance Blog published a new article, detailing the multilayered security measures employed by Binance to ensure user safety. The article highlights the collaborative efforts of various teams, including Cloud Security, Chain Security, and Investigations, which work together as a 'human firewall' to protect users and assets. The publication aims to inform users about the robust security protocols in place and the importance of adopting consistent safety habits. Security at Binance is a company-wide discipline that influences daily operations, from design to monitoring and response. The Security organization comprises specialist units such as Chain Security, Security Operations (SecOps), and Investigations, all dedicated to safeguarding users. Alex’s Cloud Security Operations team plays a crucial role in maintaining platform stability and safety by planning defenses for new features, vetting AI systems, securing internal file sharing, and automating monitoring to swiftly contain issues. Daniel’s Investigations team traces stolen assets, coordinates precautionary freezes with partners, and supports lawful steps to return funds to victims. Michael’s Chain Security team enhances Binance’s on-chain ecosystem through smart-contract audits, monitoring, incident response, and risk tools that guide users and builders in making safer choices. The article emphasizes the importance of rapid detection and response to potential threats. Alex’s team, for instance, runs the 'digital locks and alarms' of Binance, ensuring the platform remains secure and responsive. They focus on rapid detection, targeted access reviews, device isolation, credential resets, and cross-team coordination to quickly contain any foothold and protect users. The analogy of Binance as a busy restaurant illustrates how the Cloud OpSec team manages traffic during Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attacks, ensuring legitimate users can access services while filtering out noise. Michael’s Chain Security team is integral to safeguarding Binance’s on-chain ecosystem. They audit smart contracts, monitor activity, respond to incidents, and provide risk-assessment APIs to warn users before they sign transactions. The team’s proactive approach includes validating findings, contacting projects through established security channels, and deploying fixes to mitigate risks. They also guide users in revoking unneeded approvals and recommend longer-term hardening measures. Daniel’s Investigations team steps in when hacks or thefts occur, tracing stolen assets in near-real time and working with exchanges to request precautionary holds. They emphasize the importance of speed and signal quality in shaping outcomes, urging victims to report incidents promptly with complete details. The team follows a disciplined playbook to verify signals, trace routes, and coordinate with exchanges and law enforcement to facilitate asset recovery. The article concludes with practical tips for users to enhance their security, such as enabling two-factor authentication, verifying URLs before signing transactions, and safeguarding private keys. It also advises caution against fraudulent recovery services and emphasizes the importance of auditing smart contracts for builders. Binance’s security measures are a testament to its commitment to user protection, speed with care, and clear guidance when it matters most.

According to BlockBeats, UBS anticipates the S&P 500 index will rise to 7500 points next year, propelled by a 14% increase in earnings, with nearly half of this growth contributed by the technology sector. The bank predicts that the economic slowdown at the beginning of 2026 will be replaced by stronger global growth in the latter half of the year. U.S. stocks are expected to achieve approximately a 10% return rate, primarily driven by corporate earnings rather than valuation expansion. The upward trend is likely to extend beyond technology giants to other sectors by mid-year. UBS expresses a preference for equities over credit bonds and forecasts that the U.S. market will outperform both European and emerging markets.

According to Odaily, Nasdaq-listed SUI Group has announced an investment of 2 million Swiss francs (approximately 2.5 million USD) in the Sui ecosystem's decentralized exchange, Bluefin. The collaboration aims to introduce hedge funds, asset management companies, and market makers to the on-chain market.

According to an official announcement, Binance Futures will close out and automatically settle the USDⓈ-MMYROUSDT and 1000XUSDT perpetual contracts at 09:00 (UTC) on November 14, 2025. The contracts will be delisted after settlement. From 08:30 (UTC) on November 14, 2025, users will be unable to open new positions. Users are advised to close their positions manually before the contracts are delisted to avoid automatic settlement. (This news item was generated with AI assistance.)

According to Odaily, Federal Reserve official Daly stated that the rate cuts implemented so far have bolstered the labor market and continue to exert downward pressure on inflation. The policy is currently in a favorable state.

According to Coinglass data, the total trading volume of ETH futures contracts increased by 6.26% in the past 24 hours, with a current total open interest of $42.03 billion. The top three exchanges in terms of ETH futures open interest are Binance ($8.484 billion), CME ($7.832 billion), and Gate ($3.949 billion).

"BNB has successfully surged past the significant threshold of $1,000, propelled by a broader market rally that has seen many cryptocurrencies gain momentum. However, despite this impressive achievement, the emergence of a potential reversal pattern raises concerns and casts a shadow over the future outlook for the asset, indicating that investors should remain cautious even amidst the prevailing bullish sentiment." source: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/11/10/bnb-breaks-above-usd1-000-amid-broader-market-rally-but-reversal-pattern-clouds-outlook

Coinbase's $400 million acquisition of Echo and Flying Tulip's perpetual put option experiment demonstrate that funding mechanisms are being fundamentally restructured.

The current market environment is very different. Factors such as institutional funds brought by ETFs, global monetary policy divergences, and the uncertainty of the Trump administration may make this rebound trajectory different from the past. History can be referenced, but it cannot be completely replicated.

Argentina has undeniably become a core testing ground for the practical application and innovation of Web3 globally.

Roman Novak, a self-proclaimed “crypto millionaire,” once known for his luxury-fueled lifestyle and bold promises of digital wealth, was found dismembered and buried in the Dubai desert alongside his wife, Anna. What began as a glamorous tale of fast money and blockchain ambition has turned into one of the darkest chapters in crypto’s wild frontier.

OpenAI plans to develop AI tools that could replace traditional office software like Slack, Word, and Google Docs. This move puts it in direct competition with Microsoft, which has heavily invested in OpenAI but now faces a potential rival in its own market.

From the implementation of RWA in ZKsync to the Fusaka upgrade, the Ethereum ZK roadmap is approaching a singularity.

Hong Kong is issuing a new set of multi-currency digital bonds using blockchain to make transactions faster and more transparent. The bonds, covering US dollars, Hong Kong dollars, euros, and offshore yuan, aim to attract institutional investors and strengthen Hong Kong’s position as a digital finance hub.