The Trump administration's move to exert maximum pressure on Iran by blocking the Strait of Hormuz has prompted a strong response from Iran, which has threatened retaliation against all ports in the Gulf. The crude oil market is already experiencing tight spot supply, with some refineries even paying record premiums of up to $50 per barrel. The U.S. Central Command stated that the blockade will begin at 10:00 AM Eastern Time on Monday and will be "fairly enforced against all vessels traveling to and from Iranian ports and coastal areas, covering all Iranian ports in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman." JPMorgan analysts stated in a report: "Reopening the Strait of Hormuz has become the most time-sensitive priority for the market. The last oil tanker to pass through the strait on February 28 is expected to arrive at its destination around April 20, at which point pre-war inventories will be completely depleted from the global supply chain." Trump has long claimed that rising U.S. gasoline prices are only temporary. However, he admitted on Fox News' "Sunday Briefing" that high oil prices could persist until the midterm elections in November. (Jinshi)

Brazilian economists have increased their inflation forecast for 2026, surpassing the central bank's target ceiling. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the impact of the ongoing energy shock resulting from the Iran war. The adjustment reflects concerns over rising energy prices and their potential effects on the Brazilian economy. Economists are closely monitoring the situation as they anticipate further implications for inflation and economic stability in the region.

India is currently grappling with significant economic challenges, as reported by Bloomberg posted on X. The country is experiencing a double whammy of rising prices and a gas shortage, which is impacting various sectors. Menaka Doshi highlights the inflationary pressures that are affecting the economy, while Satviki Sanjay focuses on the difficulties faced by Firozabad's glass makers due to the gas shortage. These issues are contributing to a complex economic environment, requiring careful management and strategic solutions to mitigate their effects.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, Polymarket's probability of "the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal by May 31st" is only 37%, a 9% drop in 24 hours. The contract rules for this event state that if the International Monetary Fund's Portwatch reports a 7-day moving average of vessel arrivals ("vessel arrivals") in the Strait of Hormuz equal to or greater than 60 on any date between the market's creation and May 31, 2026, the market will be rated "Yes"; otherwise, it will be rated "No". Daily vessel arrivals include container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and tankers; vessels not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. According to Xinhua News Agency, the US military announced it will begin implementing a blockade of the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea east of the Strait of Hormuz, and any unauthorized entry into or departure from the blockade area may be intercepted, diverted, and detained. In addition, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu expressed support for Trump's decision to impose a naval blockade on Iran, adding that his government is maintaining full coordination with Washington on the matter. According to a video statement released by the Prime Minister's office, Netanyahu stated at a cabinet meeting: "Iran has violated the rules, and President Trump has decided to impose a naval blockade." "We certainly support this firm stance, and we are maintaining continuous coordination with the United States." Odaily Seer continues to focus on prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing them in.

MicroStrategy has increased its Bitcoin holdings with the acquisition of 13,927 BTC, bringing its total to 780,897 BTC. According to Odaily, the total acquisition cost is approximately $59.02 billion. Since the beginning of 2026, the company's Bitcoin yield has been 5.6%.

Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey are set to maintain discussions with the United States and Iran. According to Odaily, these diplomatic engagements aim to address ongoing regional issues and foster cooperation. The dialogues are part of broader efforts to stabilize relations and enhance mutual understanding among the involved nations.

South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) has announced plans to investigate accounts exhibiting abnormal trading patterns in the cryptocurrency market. According to Foresight News, the FSS has identified several unfair trading practices involving API-based automated order placements, which currently account for over 30% of the market's trading volume in South Korea. The FSS outlined four primary manipulation techniques: creating a false sense of trading activity through repeated small market orders while manually placing high-priced limit orders to inflate prices; pre-setting sell orders above the holding price and using APIs to place high-priced limit buy orders to reach target prices for profit; repeatedly placing and canceling orders to create fake buy interest; and using multiple accounts to distort the market. Investors are advised to be cautious of significant price fluctuations around the time exchanges reset prices, as this is when high-frequency API trading is most concentrated. The FSS also warned that if an API key is leaked, the holder could unknowingly become an accomplice to illegal activities such as money laundering.

Strategy's STRC preferred stock offers an annualized dividend of 11.5% on $5.3 billion outstanding. According to NS3.AI, this structure could incentivize hedge funds to increase short positions on MSTR. Currently, short interest surpasses 35 million MSTR shares, accounting for 11% of the float.

According to AXIOS: Pakistan, Egypt, and Türkiye will continue dialogue with the United States and Iran. (Jinshi)

OPEC has released its monthly report, maintaining its forecast for U.S. economic growth at 2.2% for 2026 and 2% for 2027. According to Jin10, these projections reflect OPEC's assessment of the U.S. economic outlook over the next two years. The organization has not adjusted its expectations from previous reports, indicating a stable view of the U.S. economy's future performance. This forecast comes amid ongoing discussions about global economic trends and potential impacts on energy markets.

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