Guotou Silver LOF has announced a temporary suspension of trading starting from the market opening on April 13, 2026, until 10:30 on the same day. According to Jin10, the fund's redemption services will continue to operate as usual during the suspension period. Trading will resume at 10:30 on April 13, 2026.

The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament stated that the Iranian delegation put forward forward-looking initiatives, but ultimately failed to win the trust of the Iranian delegation in this round of negotiations. The US has understood Iran's logic and principles; now it is time for them to decide whether they can win our trust. He thanked Pakistan for its efforts in advancing the negotiation process. (Jin Shi)

Macro analyst Jordi Visser stated that despite widespread market expectations of a bear market in the crypto sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum are less than 10% away from key levels triggering a trend reversal. He pointed out that if Bitcoin breaks through $76,000 and Ethereum rises above $2,400, it could signal the start of a year-long upward trend. Visser believes the probability of a US recession in the short term is low, a judgment consistent with the pricing of the prediction market Kalshi, which currently estimates a recession probability of approximately 24% in 2026. He also noted that with inflation remaining high and traditional markets (such as the S&P 500) lacking significant growth momentum, funds may continue to flow into asset classes with yield potential. However, market opinions remain divided. Veteran trader Peter Brandt recently stated that Bitcoin's lows for the year may not have been reached yet, and the price may retest or even fall below the $60,000 range. Visser emphasized that the market should not be simply divided by bull and bear cycles, but rather judged from the perspective of longer-term structural and liquidity changes. (Cointelegraph)

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost recently shared insights on the X platform regarding the current structure of U.S. inflation. According to Odaily, while the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data recorded the largest month-on-month increase since 2022, the core CPI remained largely unchanged. This indicates that inflationary pressures have not yet fully spread across the economy. This trend requires ongoing monitoring through subsequent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data and in the coming months. As long as this structure persists, it suggests that inflation has not become systematically embedded in the U.S. economy and may be more of a temporary phenomenon, potentially linked to geopolitical conflicts. However, if the conflict between the U.S. and Iran prolongs, inflation could gradually evolve into a systemic risk, potentially impacting economic growth. In such a scenario, the Federal Reserve might be compelled to continue raising interest rates to address the situation.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost wrote on the X platform that the current inflation structure in the United States is gradually becoming clearer. Although the March CPI data recorded the largest month-on-month increase since 2022, the core CPI remained basically unchanged, indicating that inflationary pressures have not yet spread comprehensively. This trend needs to be continuously monitored in subsequent PCE data and in the coming months. As long as this structure continues, it means that inflation has not yet become systemically embedded in the US economy, but is more of a phase phenomenon, possibly related to geopolitical conflicts. However, if the US-Iran conflict continues for a long time, inflation may gradually evolve into a systemic risk and begin to affect economic growth. At that time, the Federal Reserve may only be able to deal with it by continuing to raise interest rates.

As Robinhood accelerates its expansion into prediction markets, it has proactively excluded some contract products due to concerns about potential market manipulation and insider trading risks. Jordan Sinclair, President of Robinhood UK, stated that the company is highly concerned about market abuse and will not offer users all prediction markets or event contracts, selectively launching products more suitable for its clients. Recent incidents of "precision betting" have raised regulatory concerns. For example, unusually large bets appeared on Polymarket before the US action against Iran; Israeli regulators also prosecuted two individuals for using confidential information to participate in betting. Furthermore, "market mentions" (such as betting on words appearing in speeches) are explicitly excluded from Robinhood's product offerings due to their susceptibility to manipulation. Currently, Robinhood primarily provides compliant prediction market services through partnerships with Kalshi and ForecastEx, prioritizing regulated platforms to reduce information misuse and cross-border compliance risks. In contrast, Polymarket, which is not subject to similar regulations, allows users to trade through crypto wallets and has more lenient identity verification. Robinhood previously projected that forecasting markets would become a significant growth engine, with CEO Vlad Tenev stating that the business would be one of the fastest-growing segments by 2025, potentially driving trillions of dollars in annual transaction volume. (Financial Times)

A 27-year-old German hacker, Noah Christopher, has been arrested in Bangkok, Thailand, facing up to 74 arrest warrants for cybercrimes in Europe. According to Odaily, investigations reveal that between 2021 and 2025, Christopher allegedly developed and operated a ransomware platform and a 'Cybercrime-as-a-Service' (CaaS) system. This included providing tools for distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attacks, such as Fluxstress and Neldowner, assisting global clients in launching cyberattacks for payment. The ransom payments involved cryptocurrencies and other digital assets, constituting transnational cybercrime activities. His visa has been revoked, and he is currently detained awaiting extradition to Germany.

CITIC Securities stated that, from the perspective of the US's core demands, if Iran abandons uranium enrichment, it will become the US's most significant war achievement and Trump's biggest "achievement" to appease domestic concerns. This round of conflict has already had a significant negative impact on the US midterm elections, necessitating an early exit. Since the Iranian Islamic Revolution, the US has lost control over Iran's nuclear capabilities, and past US presidents have failed to resolve this issue, severely impacting the US's Middle East strategy. Compared to the significant political propaganda effect of Iran's "abandonment of nuclear weapons," the indirect link between oil prices and inflation may have a smaller impact on elections. Therefore, the Trump administration might be willing to compromise on issues such as control of the Strait of Hormuz. From Iran's core demands, this war has proven that blocking the Strait and threatening Middle Eastern infrastructure are extremely important balancing forces, even more destructive and flexible than the threat of nuclear weapons. Compared to the extremely costly and difficult-to-control nuclear weapons, blocking the Strait and attacking infrastructure can have a significant impact on the US and global economies simply by using low-cost drones, thus forming a tool for Iran to counterbalance the US. The fact that both the US and Iran have repeatedly halted their advances at the red line of potential large-scale infrastructure destruction suggests that the probability of an extreme escalation of war is not high, and the likelihood of extreme oil prices, a severe recession, or stagflation is decreasing. (Jinshi)

Citic Securities stated on April 12 that if Iran were to abandon uranium enrichment, it would represent a significant achievement for the U.S., particularly for U.S. President Donald Trump, who could use it to appease domestic concerns. According to Jin10, the ongoing conflict has already negatively impacted the midterm elections, necessitating a swift resolution. Since the Iranian Islamic Revolution, the U.S. has lost control over Iran's nuclear capabilities, a challenge that has persisted through multiple U.S. presidencies, affecting America's Middle East strategy. The political impact of Iran's potential nuclear disarmament is seen as more significant than the indirect effects of oil prices and inflation on elections. Consequently, the Trump administration might consider compromises on issues like control over the Strait of Hormuz. From Iran's perspective, the conflict has demonstrated that blocking the strait and threatening Middle Eastern infrastructure are powerful leverage tools, potentially more impactful than nuclear threats. These actions, which can be executed with low-cost drones, pose significant risks to the U.S. and global economies, providing Iran with a strategic counterbalance. Repeated near-escalations to large-scale infrastructure damage suggest that the likelihood of extreme war escalation is low, reducing the chances of extreme oil prices, severe recession, or stagflation.

Former Bank of China Vice President Wang Yongli has expressed that the United States' method of classifying and regulating crypto assets warrants examination. According to NS3.AI, Wang Yongli noted that the CLARITY Act guidance document represents a notable advancement. However, he emphasized that nations should tailor their crypto asset regulations to align with their specific circumstances.

Golden Weekly is a weekly blockchain industry summary column launched by Golden Finance, covering key news, mining information, project updates, technological advancements, and other industry dynamics.

From the threat of a "Stone Age" conflict to the swift implementation of a two-week ceasefire, the conflict surrounding Iran has undergone a dramatic shift in a short period. On the surface, the situation has cooled and the market has rebounded, but the deeper structural problems have not been resolved.

近日，《The New York Times》发布长篇调查报道，重新追问一个困扰加密行业 17 年的问题：中本聪究竟是谁？

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