U.S. stock futures showed an upward trend at the start of trading, with Nasdaq futures increasing by nearly 1%. According to Jin10, this movement reflects a positive sentiment in the market as investors anticipate upcoming economic data and corporate earnings reports. The rise in futures suggests optimism among traders, potentially driven by expectations of favorable outcomes in the financial markets. Market participants are closely monitoring these developments to gauge the direction of the U.S. economy and its impact on investment strategies.

According to Jin10, CME's "FedWatch" tool indicates a 9.3% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in April, while the likelihood of maintaining the current rate stands at 90.7%. Looking ahead to June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 17.1%, with an 80.2% chance of rates remaining unchanged.

European stock markets closed with varied performances. According to RTHK, Germany's DAX index ended at 22,636 points, experiencing a slight decline of 16 points, or nearly 0.1%. Meanwhile, France's CAC index rose by 17 points, marking a 0.2% increase to close at 7,743 points. The UK's FTSE 100 index saw a more significant rise, gaining 71 points, or 0.7%, to finish at 9,965 points.

Actively managed crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) are poised to become a significant trend in the crypto investment landscape, according to 21Shares President Duncan Moir. According to NS3.AI, Moir highlighted that as global active ETF assets are projected to reach $1.8 trillion by the end of 2025, the crypto sector is particularly well-suited for active management. He noted that issuers are increasingly developing more complex products, including those with staking structures, to cater to evolving investor needs.

The United Kingdom's Ministry of Defence has stated that the Sovereign Base Areas have never been part of the Republic of Cyprus. According to Jin10, the UK has no plans to alter this status. The Sovereign Base Areas, which are British Overseas Territories, have been a point of contention in the region. The UK maintains these areas for strategic military purposes, and their status has been a longstanding issue in UK-Cyprus relations. The statement reaffirms the UK's position on the matter, indicating no forthcoming changes to the current arrangement.

Duncan Moir, President of 21Shares, stated that as the crypto market matures from simple price-tracking funds, actively managed exchange-traded products will become the next stage of crypto investment. Data compiled by Morningstar and Goldman Sachs Asset Management shows that global actively managed ETF assets will approach $1.8 trillion by the end of 2025. Moir pointed out that crypto, as an emerging and growing asset class, is particularly well-suited for active management; 21Shares combines bottom-up research and quantification of single assets with independent top-down strategies for risk and allocation management, and has expanded its portfolio management and trading teams. Moir added that the integration following FalconX's acquisition of 21Shares in October is expected to accelerate product development, especially in more complex products. Moir noted that demand for crypto ETPs and ETFs varies across regions; in Europe, where the investor base is more mature, institutions already holding Bitcoin and Ethereum are seeking to further increase their crypto allocations. Against this backdrop, 21Shares recently launched an exchange-traded product in Europe linked to Strategy Preferred Stock (STRC), offering exposure to high-yield instruments related to the company's Bitcoin capital strategy, and reported strong early demand in several regions. The report notes that as the crypto ETP and ETF markets develop, issuers are launching more complex structures, with staking becoming one of the growth directions; Grayscale introduced staking into its ETP in October, and BlackRock launched a Nasdaq-listed Ethereum product with a staking mechanism in March, recording $15.5 million in trading volume on its first day. Duncan Moir stated that 21Shares evaluates new products based on internal research, customer needs, and market trends, citing its Bitcoin and Gold ETPs as examples, noting that these products have been running for four years and recently cross-listed in London. (Cointelegraph)

A senior official from the U.S. Transportation Security Administration (TSA) has expressed concerns over significant security risks due to a funding stalemate. According to Jin10, the official highlighted in written testimony that the ongoing financial impasse is creating substantial challenges for maintaining security measures. The TSA is facing difficulties in ensuring adequate resources to address potential threats, which could compromise the safety of transportation systems. The testimony underscores the urgency of resolving the funding issues to prevent any adverse impact on national security.

Republican members of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee are calling on the White House to disclose a report on stablecoin interest, which remains undisclosed. According to NS3.AI, lawmakers have nearly reached a 99% consensus on the provisions related to the CLARITY bill. The report by the Council of Economic Advisers analyzes the potential impact of paying interest on stablecoins, particularly concerning deposit outflows from traditional banks and the implications for bank lending. While Republican committee members have been briefed on the findings, the document has yet to be made public.

BHP Group, the leading mining company globally, forecasts a tightening in the global potash market over the coming decade. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting BHP's strategic focus on expanding its potash operations to meet anticipated demand. The company is investing in its Jansen project in Canada, which is expected to become one of the world's largest potash mines. BHP's move aligns with its long-term strategy to diversify its portfolio and capitalize on the growing need for fertilizers driven by global population growth and agricultural demands. The company believes that the potash market will experience significant supply constraints, prompting the need for increased production capacity. BHP's commitment to the Jansen project underscores its confidence in the future of the potash industry and its potential to contribute to global food security.

According to The Washington Post, court records show that a senior deputy to Justice Department official Jenny Piro admitted at a closed-door hearing this month that the Justice Department had no evidence of wrongdoing by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in its criminal investigation into the costs of renovating the Federal Reserve building.

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