According to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week is 96.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 3.9%. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October is 20.1%, the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 76.8%, and the probability of a 75 basis point cut is 3.1%.

The rally that has propelled U.S. stocks to new highs may experience some volatility in the coming weeks but is expected to finish strong by year-end, said Scott Rubner, head of equity and equity derivatives strategy at Citadel Securities. The S&P 500 is up 17% from its low for the year, and short-term risks include stretched valuations, seasonal volatility typical of September and October, and potential selling by trend-following funds, Rubner wrote. However, these potential signs of weakness are unlikely to persist as the tailwinds supporting the stock market’s rise—including corporate spending on artificial intelligence and demand from retail investors—will continue to power the market in the final months of 2025. “Stay positive on structural demand, but hedge against near-term risks as September-October remains a window of vulnerability,” Rubner wrote, adding that investors should view short-term pullbacks as buying opportunities.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: The Commission will soon propose the 19th round of sanctions against Russia, targeting cryptocurrencies, banks and energy.

Several major US tech companies have announced they will invest over $40 billion to expand the UK's AI infrastructure, a significant boon for the country, coinciding with a state visit from President Trump. Microsoft (MSFT.O) said on Tuesday it would invest $30 billion in UK AI infrastructure and existing operations by 2028, its largest financial commitment to the country. Google (GOOG.O) said it will invest approximately $6.8 billion in AI, R&D, and related engineering in the UK over the next two years. Meanwhile, Nvidia (NVDA.O), OpenAI, and the British company Nscale are collaborating to build AI infrastructure in the UK to meet OpenAI's computing needs. The project, called "Stargate UK," is expected to be located in northeast England and utilize tens of thousands of Nvidia's Grace Blackwell Ultra graphics processing units. Among other investments, AI cloud computing company CoreWeave plans to invest approximately $2.04 billion in AI data center capacity and operations in the UK. Salesforce announced it would invest a further $2 billion in its UK operations by 2030, while BlackRock will pour £500 million into data centers across the UK.

Publicly listed VivoPower International (stock symbol: VVPR) announced that its crypto mining subsidiary, Caret Digital, will increase its XRP holdings at an effective cost of 65% below the market price by expanding its mining scale and exchanging the mined tokens for XRP. The company did not specify the planned XRP acquisition amount or the type of mining token to be used for the exchange. VivoPower began implementing its XRP treasury strategy in May of this year, supported by a $121 million private placement led by the chairman of Saudi Arabia's Eleventh Holding. The company previously partnered with BitGo for custody and over-the-counter trading, and has also partnered with the Ripple-backed Flare network for a yield farming program. Last month, VivoPower also announced plans to acquire $100 million in private Ripple Labs shares, which it said represented an XRP holding at $0.47 per share, an 86% discount to the market price at the time. The company stated that its strategy combines mining exchange and equity acquisitions to reduce its average holding cost. As of Tuesday's close, VivoPower's stock price fell slightly by 0.5% to $5, with a market value of approximately $50 million.

Executives at Tether, the world's largest stablecoin issuer, announced on Tuesday that the company is returning to the US market and aiming to become the dominant stablecoin issuer in the country. Bo Hines, Tether's digital asset and US strategy advisor, stated that Tether's goal in returning to the US market is to replicate its success overseas. Tether's flagship token, USDT (Tether), is the world's largest stablecoin, with a supply of $171 billion and primarily backed by US Treasury bonds.

Asset management giant Apollo, along with blockchain platforms Centrifuge and Plume, has launched a new tokenized credit fund, ACRDX, which has received a $50 million investment from crypto credit firm Grove. The fund brings Apollo's diversified credit investments onto the blockchain, making it more accessible and transparent for institutional investors.

Twitter data shows that CZ changed his profile from ex-@binance to @binance, which may imply that he will resume his position related to Binance.

The 0G Foundation has announced the launch of its first airdrop eligibility query. All airdrop recipients must complete KYC verification by 08:00 (UTC+8) on September 21st to be eligible to receive tokens on Day 1. Officials stated that the 0G token airdrop will be available on the first day of the TGE. Users will need to upload their wallet address and link their social media account to the query tool before entering the KYC process. 0G's core uses include: staking for validators, paying for AI service marketplaces, data storage, and computing power services, on-chain transaction fees, and providing governance voting rights.

Possibly influenced by the news that "Binance is close to reaching an agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice to lift compliance supervision", BNB briefly broke through $955, setting a new historical high. It is now at $953.2, with a daily increase of more than 4%.

Recommended reading for tonight: 1. Polymarket launches new product and token? What other prediction platforms are worth watching? 2. BTC poised for further price increases. 3. Coinbase and Google team up to give AI agents the ability to spend money.

Changpeng Zhao, Binance, CZ's return to Binance after the ban is lifted? BNB is really going to soar. Golden Finance: Binance is still Binance, and CZ is still CZ.

With the introduction of the GENIUS Act, it is seen by the outside world as a turning point in the US government's attitude towards stablecoins.

A TaskUs employee allegedly stole and sold Coinbase customer data, affecting at least 69,000 users and causing losses of up to $400 million. The scheme involved insider co-workers and hackers, with TaskUs accused of covering up the breach while Coinbase reimbursed affected customers and tightened security.

Speculation is heating up that Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, the founder of Binance, could be preparing for a dramatic return to the exchange he was forced to leave nearly two years ago.

Pump.fun, the revamped live streaming platform Pump.Fun has made a comeback. Golden Finance, MEME has launched a revamped content platform.

What new initiatives has Polymarket launched? What other prediction market platforms are worth watching? Why is the prediction market sector rapidly gaining popularity?

Cryptocurrencies are bracing for a Federal Reserve rate cut as Washington debates central bank independence; traders are betting that looser policy will boost risk appetite for BTC, ETH, and SOL.

Sui has partnered with Google to allow AI agents to make stablecoin payments automatically using its blockchain. The news boosted SUI’s price and trading, while the network also released developer tools and may see further growth from a planned SUI-based ETF.

Google has unveiled a groundbreaking open-source protocol that allows artificial intelligence (AI) applications to send and receive payments — including stablecoin transactions — marking a major step in merging crypto with the AI-powered digital economy.