Polymarket Predicts 52% Chance of U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Meeting by April 30

Polymarket data indicates a 52% probability of a diplomatic meeting between the U.S. and Iran occurring by April 30, marking a 6% increase in a short period. According to Odaily, New Delhi Television reports that sources have stated the second round of talks between Iran and the United States is scheduled for April 27. Under the market rules, if U.S. and Iranian representatives hold an official diplomatic meeting by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on April 30, the market will conclude with a 'yes' outcome. The definition of a diplomatic meeting includes formal meetings attended by authorized representatives in an official capacity, including indirect face-to-face meetings through mediators, but excludes brief greetings or encounters not intended for diplomatic purposes. The meeting must be face-to-face and recognized by the government or credible media reports.